Long Trade on 2Z (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 2371.1 2Z at 0.0696$ per unit. Take profit: 0.07805 (12.12 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06624 (4.84 %)
29 Sep 2026 at 03:10:03
hyperliquid
2Z
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
29 Sep 2026 03:10
→ 13:20
· 10 hours
Position
Entry 0.06961$
Qty 2371.101 2Z
Size 165.0547$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.07805 (+12.12%)
TP $ 20.01$
SL 0.06624 (-4.84%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-4.84%
/ -7.99$
MAE -5.19%
MFE +0.32%
0.1R
expires
29 Sep 15:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 164197)
#6 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 29/09/2026 03:00
score du 29/09/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8424
Quality Score
0.706
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
29/09 03:02
29/09 03:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 87
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
77 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.84 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.96×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.36×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.30×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 27/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 29/09 01:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4341
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | transition | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
77.6%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 47.1% |
| 1h | 94.3% |
| 4h | 95.7% |
| 24h | 41.4% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 60.0% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 84.3% | +2.29% |
| 24h | 38.6% | -0.71% |
Dispersion :
0.221
Universe :
70
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
29/09 03:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7693
Score SMA
0.7280
Rank
#12
/ 89
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8750
Rank Norm SMA
0.7244
Calculé le
28/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8439 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.55% · r3d: 14.86% · ema21_slope: 1.2811% · dist_ema21: 21.088% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8310 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.61% · rs_3d: 15.58% · beta_24h: 1.086 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9892 | rvol_20: 3.80× · zscore_50: 2.838 · trend: 270.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7370 | ADX: 28.4 (trend) · Chop: 14.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.940% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.7058
Score SMA
0.5790
Rank
#6
/ 87
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8424
Rank Norm SMA
0.5831
Calculé le
29/09/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6947 | r1h: 4.508% · r4h: 6.544% · r1d: 5.21% · r3d: -1.17% · ema21_slope: 0.1168% · dist_ema21: 4.339% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7769 | rs_1h: 3.827% · rs_4h: 5.288% · rs_1d: 4.20% · rs_3d: -1.29% · beta_24h: 3.053 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7882 | rvol_20: 3.84× · zscore_50: 1.360 · trend: 23.15% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4619 | ADX: 11.8 (weak) · Chop: 55.0 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.652% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.6233
Score SMA
0.7145
Rank
#13
/ 88
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8515
Rank Norm SMA
0.8407
Calculé le
29/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7865 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.129% · r1d: 5.07% · r3d: 16.10% · ema21_slope: 0.4329% · dist_ema21: 3.224% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8044 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.620% · rs_1d: 5.38% · rs_3d: 17.14% · beta_24h: 4.207 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2708 | rvol_20: 0.55× · zscore_50: 0.025 · trend: -4.57% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6538 | ADX: 37.8 (trend) · Chop: 58.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.3405 | ATR%: 4.979% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.841%
(0.0034)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -2.678% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -3.688% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -3.688% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -3.688% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.320% | 0.1R | -5.186% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 143 |
computed 1 minute ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.96% | +0.98 | 27/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
70%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.33 | bull_high | +1.23% | +0.89 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | explosive | normal | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.29 | range_medium | -0.52% | +0.34 | 29/09 01:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | strong | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 51% | late | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.49 | range_low | +0.63% | +0.46 | 29/09 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
167100 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
late 2b 2.1ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.677 |
— near -0.3ATR |
3.80 | above_value | -0.08 ATR | — | #92670 |
27/09 20:00
upd 28/09 20:31
|
|
4h
168931 |
↑ up | bull_high |
70%
|
early 16b 0.7ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.693 |
— — |
0.55 | above_value | -1.10 ATR | — | #93478 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 00:22
|
|
1h
anchor
169755 |
↑ up | bull_high |
65%
|
early 4b 0.1ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.823 |
— — |
1.55 | above_value | -1.08 ATR | — | #93918 |
29/09 01:00
upd 29/09 02:15
|
|
15m
170098 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
late 5b 2.2ATR | noisy_chop 51% | 0.496 |
— near -0.2ATR |
2.32 | above_value | -1.08 ATR | — | #93918 |
29/09 02:45
upd 29/09 03:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 2.138×ATR | p0 | +2.09×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 16b | — | 3.678×ATR | p39 | +0.659×ATR | p41 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 1.317×ATR | p2 | +0.111×ATR | p7 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 3.624×ATR | p67 | +2.203×ATR | p91 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.7723
- reason: up_bo width=2.50×ATR dur=64b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.06623704
- tp_price: 0.07804591
- atr:
- score: 0.77227986986784
- expires_at: 2026-09-29T19:09:56.071728
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.77227986986784
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1224
- obi_top10 : 0.0652
- micro_price : 0.06926693
- spread_pct : 0.129964
- mid_price : 0.069295
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1226
- obi_top5_std : 0.0008
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7024
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.068569
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.064251
- balance_zone_mid:
0.06641
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790438400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790665200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4965
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
64
- balance_zone_quality: loose
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.7723
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790661600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.068569
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.6562
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6024
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
13
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00172963 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
64
inside_close_ratio
0.6562
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6024
Signaux confirmants (11)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:10 | 0.06961100 | +0.001% |
| 2 | 03:20 | 0.06961100 | +0.001% |
| 3 | 03:29 | 0.06961100 | +0.001% |
| 4 | 03:40 | 0.06896900 | -0.921% |
| 5 | 03:50 | 0.06896900 | -0.921% |
| 6 | 03:59 | 0.06896900 | -0.921% |
| 7 | 08:19 | 0.06895800 | -0.937% |
| 8 | 08:30 | 0.06895800 | -0.937% |
| 9 | 08:40 | 0.06904700 | -0.809% |
| 10 | 08:50 | 0.06904700 | -0.809% |
| 11 | 09:00 | 0.06904700 | -0.809% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7024ms
Confidence avant OB :
77%
→
77%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.122
avg -0.123
± 0.001
OBI Top 10
0.065
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0693
Micro Price
0.0693
Spread
0.1300%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06961 | 0.06624 | 0.07805 | 2.5 | 0.06563 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06961
- Stop Loss: 0.06624
- Take Profit: 0.07805
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06624 - 0.06961 = -0.00337
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06961 - 0.07805 = -0.00844
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00844 / -0.00337 = 2.5045
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 165.0547 | 100 | 2371.101 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00337
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00337 = -2373.89
Taille de position USD = -2373.89 x 0.06961 = -165.25
Donc, tu peux acheter -2373.89 avec un stoploss a 0.06624
Avec un position size USD de -165.25$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2373.89 x -0.00337 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2373.89 x -0.00844 = 20.04
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.04$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2373.89
- Taille de position USD -165.25
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.04
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5045
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 12.12 % | 20.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.84 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -4.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.186 % | 107.12 % | 2 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06961 | 0.06624 | 0.07805 | 2.5 | 0.06563 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06961
- Stop Loss: 0.06624
- Take Profit: 0.07805
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06624 - 0.06961 = -0.00337
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06961 - 0.07805 = -0.00844
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00844 / -0.00337 = 2.5045
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.841%
(0.0034)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -2.678% | 0.6R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -3.688% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -3.688% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.320% | 0.1R | -3.688% | 0.8R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.320% | 0.1R | -5.186% | 1.1R | 0.1× | 143 |
computed 1 minute ago
Commentaires
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