Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2582.14 2Z at 0.0637$ per unit. Take profit: 0.06208 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06677 (4.85 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 03:15:06
hyperliquid
2Z
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 03:15
→ 09:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.06368$
Qty 2582.1445 2Z
Size 164.4206$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.06208 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.13$
SL 0.06677 (-4.85%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.52
Status
loss
PnL
-0.99%
/ -1.62$
MAE -1.87%
MFE +0.72%
0.2R
expires
30 Sep 09:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 166778)
#79 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 03:00
score du 30/09/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3141
Quality Score
0.345
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 03:02
30/09 03:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#79 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#79 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.85 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 3.41×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.35×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.94×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 29/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 02:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4437
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
28.7%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
btc_led_risk_on
Leadership :
btc
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 15.5% |
| 1h | 3.5% |
| 4h | 25.9% |
| 24h | 43.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.3% | -0.13% |
| 4h | 34.5% | -0.69% |
| 24h | 53.5% | -0.59% |
Dispersion :
0.136
Universe :
58
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 03:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5965
Score SMA
0.7061
Rank
#39
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5366
Rank Norm SMA
0.6931
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6868 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.91% · r3d: -9.17% · ema21_slope: 1.4248% · dist_ema21: 14.644% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5774 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.11% · rs_3d: -8.23% · beta_24h: 1.086 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6656 | rvol_20: 1.73× · zscore_50: 1.034 · trend: 206.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7531 | ADX: 30.4 (trend) · Chop: 16.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.297% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3454
Score SMA
0.5832
Rank
#79
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3141
Rank Norm SMA
0.6063
Calculé le
30/09/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2528 | r1h: -1.482% · r4h: -3.854% · r1d: -8.26% · r3d: -7.60% · ema21_slope: -0.1993% · dist_ema21: -3.036% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2453 | rs_1h: -1.085% · rs_4h: -3.450% · rs_1d: -7.12% · rs_3d: -5.83% · beta_24h: 1.692 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1490 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.766 · trend: -50.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5185 | ADX: 18.3 (weak) · Chop: 54.7 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.066% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4685
Score SMA
0.6786
Rank
#53
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3356
Rank Norm SMA
0.7752
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5559 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.582% · r1d: -4.35% · r3d: -6.13% · ema21_slope: 0.1995% · dist_ema21: -2.279% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5026 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.164% · rs_1d: -4.64% · rs_3d: -4.81% · beta_24h: 3.319 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2955 | rvol_20: 0.80× · zscore_50: 0.055 · trend: -17.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5128 | ADX: 29.7 (trend) · Chop: 67.2 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4007 | ATR%: 4.798% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.852%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -0.856% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -0.856% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -1.391% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.722% | 0.2R | -1.872% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.742% | 0.4R | -1.872% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.429% | 1.1R | -1.872% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.93
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.55 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.98 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | near 0.3ATR | — | 0.33 | bull_high | +1.30% | -0.65 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.30 | bear_medium | -0.86% | -0.47 | 30/09 02:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.48 | range_low | -0.52% | -0.25 | 30/09 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177664 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
60%
|
mid 3b 1.4ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.678 |
— near 0.2ATR |
1.73 | value | -2.13 ATR | — | #97299 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
179289 |
↑ up | bull_high |
53%
|
early 5b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 42% | 0.573 |
near 0.3ATR — |
0.80 | value | -1.94 ATR | — | #98044 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor
180457 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
54%
|
mid 4b -1.6ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.649 |
— — |
0.44 | value | -3.10 ATR | — | #98618 |
30/09 02:00
upd 30/09 03:12
|
|
15m
180374 |
↓ down | bear_high |
60%
|
mid 6b -1.6ATR | noisy_chop 47% | 0.750 |
near -0.6ATR — |
0.40 | value | -2.28 ATR | — | #98454 |
30/09 02:45
upd 30/09 03:04
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.621×ATR | p4 | +1.443×ATR | p72 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.9×ATR | p0 | -0.495×ATR | p31 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.217×ATR | p29 | -1.621×ATR | p73 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 6b | — | 2.392×ATR | p25 | -1.647×ATR | p74 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.0667742
- tp_price: 0.0620841
- atr: 0.00123928
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T13:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 80
- total: 81
- score: 0.2556
- delta_2h: -0.1663
- extension_atr: -1.49
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3157
- confidence: 0.988
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06368 | 0.06677 | 0.06208 | 0.52 | 0.03505 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06368
- Stop Loss: 0.06677
- Take Profit: 0.06208
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06677 - 0.06368 = 0.00309
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06368 - 0.06208 = 0.0016
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0016 / 0.00309 = 0.5178
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 164.4206 | 100 | 2582.1445 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00309
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00309 = 2589
Taille de position USD = 2589 x 0.06368 = 164.87
Donc, tu peux acheter 2589 avec un stoploss a 0.06677
Avec un position size USD de 164.87$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2589 x 0.00309 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2589 x 0.0016 = 4.14
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.14$
Résumé
- Taille de position 2589
- Taille de position USD 164.87
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.14
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5178
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.13 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.85 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -1.62 $ | -0.99 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.8719 % | 38.58 % | 10 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.06368 | 0.06677 | 0.06208 | 0.52 | 0.03505 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.06368
- Stop Loss: 0.06677
- Take Profit: 0.06208
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.06677 - 0.06368 = 0.00309
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.06368 - 0.06208 = 0.0016
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0016 / 0.00309 = 0.5178
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.852%
(0.0031)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -0.856% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -0.856% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.534% | 0.1R | -1.391% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.722% | 0.2R | -1.872% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.742% | 0.4R | -1.872% | 0.4R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.429% | 1.1R | -1.872% | 0.4R | 2.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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