Short Trade on XPL (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1549.17 XPL at 0.0952$ per unit. Take profit: 0.09279 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1003 (5.39 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 03:15:06
hyperliquid
XPL
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 03:15
→ 09:15
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.09517$
Qty 1549.1657 XPL
Size 147.4341$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.09279 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.69$
SL 0.1003 (-5.39%)
SL $ 7.95$
RR 0.46
Status
loss
PnL
-4.46%
/ -6.57$
MAE -5.19%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
30 Sep 09:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 166772)
#78 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 03:00
score du 30/09/2026 03:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.0940
Quality Score
0.353
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
28.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 03:02
30/09 03:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#78 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#78 / 81
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.39 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.66×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.62×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.51×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : -2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 29/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 30/09 02:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4437
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | -2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | compression | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
28.7%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
btc_led_risk_on
Leadership :
btc
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 15.5% |
| 1h | 3.5% |
| 4h | 25.9% |
| 24h | 43.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 29.3% | -0.13% |
| 4h | 34.5% | -0.69% |
| 24h | 53.5% | -0.59% |
Dispersion :
0.136
Universe :
58
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 03:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4974
Score SMA
0.6233
Rank
#65
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2195
Rank Norm SMA
0.4935
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6287 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.58% · r3d: -14.17% · ema21_slope: 1.0559% · dist_ema21: -0.266% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3953 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.77% · rs_3d: -13.23% · beta_24h: 1.406 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5490 | rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.721 · trend: 100.05% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6679 | ADX: 23.1 (weak) · Chop: 41.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 12.192% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 03:00
Score brut
0.3526
Score SMA
0.5241
Rank
#78
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0940
Rank Norm SMA
0.3777
Calculé le
30/09/2026 03:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.2385 | r1h: -2.568% · r4h: -1.512% · r1d: -5.69% · r3d: -14.03% · ema21_slope: -0.1736% · dist_ema21: -2.390% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2273 | rs_1h: -2.171% · rs_4h: -1.108% · rs_1d: -4.55% · rs_3d: -12.27% · beta_24h: 1.826 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3419 | rvol_20: 1.37× · zscore_50: 0.044 · trend: -50.03% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3798 | ADX: 17.4 (weak) · Chop: 70.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.298% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.3213
Score SMA
0.5079
Rank
#80
/ 82
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0184
Rank Norm SMA
0.3073
Calculé le
30/09/2026 00:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3310 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.354% · r1d: -0.47% · r3d: -13.19% · ema21_slope: -0.5268% · dist_ema21: -5.775% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3975 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.064% · rs_1d: -0.76% · rs_3d: -11.88% · beta_24h: 2.059 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1313 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -1.157 · trend: -43.65% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4938 | ADX: 22.9 (weak) · Chop: 62.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2231 | ATR%: 5.331% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.390%
(0.0051)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.525% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.023% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.689% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.191% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.696% | 0.5R | -5.317% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.976% | 0.9R | -5.317% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.54 | bull_high | +12.90% | +0.05 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
47%
|
noisy_chop 45% | late | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +1.30% | -0.95 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 39% | mid | near -1.7ATR | — | 0.44 | bear_medium | -0.86% | -0.30 | 30/09 02:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bear_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 45% | mid | near -1.2ATR | — | 0.69 | range_low | -0.52% | -0.16 | 30/09 02:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177653 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
60%
|
early 4b 0.0ATR | noisy_chop 41% | 0.674 |
— near -0.2ATR |
1.13 | below_value | -6.68 ATR | — | #97294 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
|
|
4h
179271 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
47%
|
late 22b -1.3ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.571 |
— — |
0.19 | below_value | -7.30 ATR | — | #98038 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 00:19
|
|
1h
anchor
180451 |
↓ down | bear_high |
54%
|
mid 5b -1.1ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.648 |
near -1.7ATR — |
1.37 | below_value | -7.58 ATR | — | #98612 |
30/09 02:00
upd 30/09 03:11
|
|
15m
180371 |
↔ neutral | bear_high |
59%
|
mid 3b -1.4ATR | noisy_chop 45% | 0.399 |
near -1.2ATR — |
7.73 | below_value | -6.87 ATR | — | #98448 |
30/09 02:45
upd 30/09 03:03
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.562×ATR | p8 | -0.02×ATR | p2 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 22b | — | 5.313×ATR | p80 | -1.31×ATR | p77 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 1.364×ATR | p2 | -1.148×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 2.841×ATR | p39 | -1.416×ATR | p79 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.10033407
- tp_price: 0.09279075
- atr: 0.00206563
- expires_at: 2026-09-30T13:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 79
- total: 81
- score: 0.2815
- delta_2h: -0.0964
- extension_atr: -0.92
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0956
- confidence: 0.975
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09517 | 0.1003 | 0.09279 | 0.46 | 0.08135 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09517
- Stop Loss: 0.1003
- Take Profit: 0.09279
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1003 - 0.09517 = 0.00513
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09517 - 0.09279 = 0.00238
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00238 / 0.00513 = 0.4639
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 147.4341 | 100 | 1549.1657 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.00513
Taille de position = 8 / 0.00513 = 1559.45
Taille de position USD = 1559.45 x 0.09517 = 148.41
Donc, tu peux acheter 1559.45 avec un stoploss a 0.1003
Avec un position size USD de 148.41$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1559.45 x 0.00513 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1559.45 x 0.00238 = 3.71
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.71$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1559.45
- Taille de position USD 148.41
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.71
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4639
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.69 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.39 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.57 $ | -4.46 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -5.1907 % | 96.3 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.09517 | 0.1003 | 0.09279 | 0.46 | 0.08135 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.09517
- Stop Loss: 0.1003
- Take Profit: 0.09279
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1003 - 0.09517 = 0.00513
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.09517 - 0.09279 = 0.00238
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00238 / 0.00513 = 0.4639
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.390%
(0.0051)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.525% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.023% | 0.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.689% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.191% | 1.0R | 0.0× | 72 |
| 8h | +2.696% | 0.5R | -5.317% | 1.0R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +4.976% | 0.9R | -5.317% | 1.0R | 0.9× | 144 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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