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Long Trade on ASTER

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30 Sep 2026 at 08:45:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on ASTER (momentum_pullback_v1)

With 419.07 ASTER at 0.77$ per unit. Take profit: 0.7866 (2.13 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7511 (2.48 %)

ASTER LONG momentum_pullback_v1 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 08:45 → 14:35 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.7702$

Qty 419.0676 ASTER

Size 322.7658$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.7866 (+2.13%)

TP $ 6.87$

SL 0.7511 (-2.48%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.86

Status loss PnL -2.48% / -8$ MAE -3.01% MFE +1.48% 0.6R expires 30 Sep 20:45

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167264)
#3 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 08:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9550

Quality Score
0.760
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
10.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 08:32

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#3 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.48 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 81 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
84 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.48 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.54×ATR
4h near -0.19×ATR
1d near 0.41×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : +2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

30/09 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 07:00

Score : +6 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4459
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 +2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.5%
Impulse : -0.01
Participation : mixed_dispersion
Leadership : mixed
% Positive (universe)
15m 60.0%
1h 27.3%
4h 74.6%
24h 34.6%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 29.1% +0.07%
4h 47.3% +0.88%
24h 41.8% -1.08%
Dispersion : 0.147
Universe : 55 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 08:31 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4550
Score SMA
0.4199
Rank
#76 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0854
Rank Norm SMA
0.0432
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6133 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.47% · r3d: -1.66% · ema21_slope: 0.0613% · dist_ema21: 0.580%
Force Relative 25% 0.5323 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.28% · rs_3d: -0.72% · beta_24h: 0.706
Volume 20% 0.2548 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.419 · trend: -30.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5172 ADX: 15.7 (weak) · Chop: 52.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0940 ATR%: 5.718% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7603
Score SMA
0.5385
Rank
#3 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9550
Rank Norm SMA
0.4844
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6463 r1h: 0.068% · r4h: 0.312% · r1d: 4.42% · r3d: 3.27% · ema21_slope: 0.2808% · dist_ema21: 2.191%
Force Relative 25% 0.5924 rs_1h: 0.062% · rs_4h: -0.433% · rs_1d: 4.94% · rs_3d: 4.45% · beta_24h: 0.794
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 3.92× · zscore_50: 4.422 · trend: 153.04%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7886 ADX: 34.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.7 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7302
Score SMA
0.5113
Rank
#2 / 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9814
Rank Norm SMA
0.3195
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5857 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.312% · r1d: 4.42% · r3d: 3.27% · ema21_slope: 0.0659% · dist_ema21: 4.580%
Force Relative 25% 0.6420 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.433% · rs_1d: 4.94% · rs_3d: 4.45% · beta_24h: 1.319
Volume 20% 0.9642 rvol_20: 3.43× · zscore_50: 2.464 · trend: 139.48%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6744 ADX: 20.9 (weak) · Chop: 37.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.267% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.480% (0.0191)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.484% 0.6R -0.997% 0.4R 1.5× 12
2h +1.484% 0.6R -1.167% 0.5R 1.3× 24
4h +1.484% 0.6R -1.167% 0.5R 1.3× 48
8h +1.484% 0.6R -3.008% 1.2R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +1.484% 0.6R -3.008% 1.2R 0.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.45
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong grind compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.3ATR near 0.4ATR 0.57 bull_high +12.90% -0.65 28/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion bull_high_confirmed
60%
noisy_chop 39% late — near -0.2ATR 0.39 bull_high +1.97% +0.45 30/09 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
63%
noisy_chop 42% mid — near -0.5ATR 0.50 range_medium +0.20% +0.47 30/09 07:00
15m ↑ up range range moderate grind normal bull_high
59%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.51 range_low +0.51% -0.09 30/09 08:15
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177657 		↑ up bull_high
54%
early 6b 0.1ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.613

near -0.3ATR

near 0.4ATR

0.85 above_value +2.32 ATR — #97296 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:29
4h
182650 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
60%
late 11b 1.9ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.514

—

near -0.2ATR

3.43 above_value +4.95 ATR — #99516 30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:20
1h anchor
182649 		↑ up bull_high_confirmed
63%
mid 1b 1.2ATR noisy_chop 42% 0.604

—

near -0.5ATR

3.92 above_value +4.95 ATR — #99516 30/09 07:00
upd 30/09 08:20
15m
182796 		↑ up bull_high
59%
early 3b -0.5ATR noisy_chop 36% 0.608

—

—

0.15 above_value +4.95 ATR — #99516 30/09 08:15
upd 30/09 08:33
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 6b — 2.022×ATR p0 +0.102×ATR p9
4h ↑ up late 11b — 4.142×ATR p74 +1.901×ATR p87
1h ↓ down mid 1b — 1.019×ATR p2 +1.236×ATR p71
15m ↓ down early 3b — 1.399×ATR p0 -0.476×ATR p17

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_pullback_v1 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.75111
  2. tp_price: 0.78661619
  3. atr: 0.00656647
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T00:45:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 14
  2. total: 82
  3. score: 0.6463
  4. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.955
  5. rank_velocity: -0.1155
  6. pullback_depth_atr: 3.39
  7. trigger_price: 0.76773
  8. fip_24h: -0.333
  9. confidence: 0.84
  10. market_structures
  11. market_structures
  12. 15m_version: 1.1
  13. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 21:15:00
                    [1] => 0.72255
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 01:15:00
                    [1] => 0.75805
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 02:30:00
                    [1] => 0.73913
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 03:00:00
                    [1] => 0.75452
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 05:45:00
                    [1] => 0.76486
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 06:45:00
                    [1] => 0.744
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 08:15:00
                    [1] => 0.7712
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 10:30:00
                    [1] => 0.7734
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.75111
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 12:30:00
                    [1] => 0.77061
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.053204604144771
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.5415718070589
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5961576866238
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  14. market_structures
  15. 1H_version: 1.1
  16. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 04:00:00
                    [1] => 0.72651
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 08:00:00
                    [1] => 0.74185
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.72015
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-27 21:00:00
                    [1] => 0.73176
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 14:00:00
                    [1] => 0.69047
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
                    [1] => 0.71222
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 01:00:00
                    [1] => 0.69101
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 11:00:00
                    [1] => 0.73334
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-29 15:00:00
                    [1] => 0.71417
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2026-09-30 10:00:00
                    [1] => 0.7734
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.82622187742436
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 7.3987986053741
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 21
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.2935435540558
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    17. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 08:45 0.77020000 0%
2 09:00 0.76938000 -0.106%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.05%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.54%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.60%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0286
3.80%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0132
1.68%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-29 21:15:00 0.72255 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 01:15:00 0.75805 ↑ High
2026-09-30 02:30:00 0.73913 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 03:00:00 0.75452 ↑ High
2026-09-30 05:45:00 0.76486 ↑ High
2026-09-30 06:45:00 0.744 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 08:15:00 0.7712 ↑ High
2026-09-30 10:30:00 0.7734 ↑ High
2026-09-30 11:00:00 0.75111 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 12:30:00 0.77061 ↑ High
1H - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.83%
Dist From Last Low Pct
7.40%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
21 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.29%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0606
8.07%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0132
1.68%
DateTime Price Type
2026-09-27 04:00:00 0.72651 ↓ Low
2026-09-27 08:00:00 0.74185 ↑ High
2026-09-27 15:00:00 0.72015 ↓ Low
2026-09-27 21:00:00 0.73176 ↑ High
2026-09-28 14:00:00 0.69047 ↓ Low
2026-09-28 17:00:00 0.71222 ↑ High
2026-09-29 01:00:00 0.69101 ↓ Low
2026-09-29 11:00:00 0.73334 ↑ High
2026-09-29 15:00:00 0.71417 ↓ Low
2026-09-30 10:00:00 0.7734 ↑ High

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7702 0.7511 0.7866 0.86 0.7065
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7702
  • Stop Loss: 0.7511
  • Take Profit: 0.7866

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7511 - 0.7702 = -0.0191

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7702 - 0.7866 = -0.0164

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0164 / -0.0191 = 0.8586

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
322.7658 100 419.0676 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0191

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0191 = -418.85

Taille de position USD = -418.85 x 0.7702 = -322.6

Donc, tu peux acheter -418.85 avec un stoploss a 0.7511

Avec un position size USD de -322.6$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -418.85 x -0.0191 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -418.85 x -0.0164 = 6.87

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 6.87$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -418.85
  • Taille de position USD -322.6
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 6.87
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.8586

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.13 % 6.87 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
2.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -2.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.6616 % 107.33 % 14
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7702 0.7511 0.7866 0.86 0.7065
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7702
  • Stop Loss: 0.7511
  • Take Profit: 0.7866

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.7511 - 0.7702 = -0.0191

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7702 - 0.7866 = -0.0164

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0164 / -0.0191 = 0.8586

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.7866
            [entry_price] => 0.7702
            [stop_loss] => 0.74919
            [rr_ratio] => 0.78
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.7866
            [entry_price] => 0.7702
            [stop_loss] => 0.74728
            [rr_ratio] => 0.72
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-09-30 18:35:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_pullback_v1 (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -2.480% (0.0191)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.484% 0.6R -0.997% 0.4R 1.5× 12
2h +1.484% 0.6R -1.167% 0.5R 1.3× 24
4h +1.484% 0.6R -1.167% 0.5R 1.3× 48
8h +1.484% 0.6R -3.008% 1.2R 0.5× 96
12h ★ +1.484% 0.6R -3.008% 1.2R 0.5× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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