Long Trade on SUI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 213.39 SUI at 1.193$ per unit. Take profit: 1.2871 (7.85 %) & Stop Loss: 1.1559 (3.14 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 09:09:52
hyperliquid
SUI
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 09:09
→ 10:25
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 1.1934$
Qty 213.3851 SUI
Size 254.6537$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 1.2871 (+7.85%)
TP $ 19.99$
SL 1.1559 (-3.14%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.14%
/ -8$
MAE -4.16%
MFE +1.51%
0.5R
expires
30 Sep 21:09
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167370)
#26 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3994
Quality Score
0.614
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
24.1M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:00
30/09 09:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#26 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#26 / 79
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.14 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.31×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.77×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.02×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 30/09 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4461
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | exhaustion | 0.90 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
88.5%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.9% |
| 1h | 92.7% |
| 4h | 94.6% |
| 24h | 45.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 41.8% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 72.7% | +2.21% |
| 24h | 47.3% | -0.11% |
Dispersion :
0.198
Universe :
55
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 09:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6531
Score SMA
0.7160
Rank
#26
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6951
Rank Norm SMA
0.7698
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7963 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.30% · r3d: -1.15% · ema21_slope: 2.8860% · dist_ema21: 18.215% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7023 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.50% · rs_3d: -0.21% · beta_24h: 1.943 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5611 | rvol_20: 1.16× · zscore_50: 0.841 · trend: 100.79% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8427 | ADX: 41.1 (trend) · Chop: 16.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6138
Score SMA
0.5927
Rank
#26
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3994
Rank Norm SMA
0.6529
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5812 | r1h: 3.222% · r4h: 2.572% · r1d: 1.01% · r3d: -5.62% · ema21_slope: 0.0485% · dist_ema21: 2.515% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5097 | rs_1h: 1.572% · rs_4h: -0.125% · rs_1d: -0.12% · rs_3d: -6.20% · beta_24h: 1.719 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7334 | rvol_20: 3.65× · zscore_50: 0.842 · trend: 7.95% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4357 | ADX: 14.1 (weak) · Chop: 60.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.723% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4675
Score SMA
0.6468
Rank
#54
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5268
Rank Norm SMA
0.7637
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5524 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.201% · r1d: -2.43% · r3d: -7.80% · ema21_slope: -0.0890% · dist_ema21: -0.578% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4772 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.946% · rs_1d: -1.92% · rs_3d: -6.62% · beta_24h: 2.659 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1379 | rvol_20: 0.38× · zscore_50: -0.931 · trend: -52.04% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5403 | ADX: 23.3 (weak) · Chop: 57.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7384 | ATR%: 3.785% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.142%
(0.0375)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -2.229% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -3.829% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -3.829% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -4.165% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.508% | 0.5R | -4.165% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -4.475% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.65
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
noisy_chop 49% | mid | — | — | 0.77 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +1.97% | -0.11 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 34% | mid | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.49 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.82% | +0.18 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | near -1.3ATR | 0.76 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.06% | -0.04 | 30/09 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177449 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
55%
|
mid 14b 1.7ATR | noisy_chop 49% | 0.449 |
— — |
1.16 | above_value | -0.41 ATR | — | #97237 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:18
|
|
4h
182507 |
↑ up | bull_high |
59%
|
early 15b -0.2ATR | noisy_chop 38% | 0.600 |
— — |
0.38 | above_value | -0.55 ATR | — | #99459 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:13
|
|
1h
anchor
182979 |
↔ neutral | bull_high |
58%
|
mid 3b 1.5ATR | noisy_chop 34% | 0.538 |
— near -1.3ATR |
3.65 | above_value | +1.33 ATR | — | #99703 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 09:09
|
|
15m
182904 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
late 2b 2.4ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.663 |
— near -1.3ATR |
2.88 | above_value | -0.55 ATR | — | #99459 |
30/09 08:45
upd 30/09 09:00
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 5.346×ATR | p68 | +1.673×ATR | p77 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 15b | — | 3.275×ATR | p39 | -0.152×ATR | p7 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +1.496×ATR | p68 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 4.322×ATR | p85 | +2.431×ATR | p97 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9344
- reason: up_bo width=2.21×ATR dur=47b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.15590909
- tp_price: 1.28712728
- atr:
- score: 0.93435385137073
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T01:09:44.258390
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.93435385137073
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.0615
- obi_top10 : -0.0615
- micro_price : 1.2101054
- spread_pct : 0.008264
- mid_price : 1.21015
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price :
- ask_wall_size :
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.1054
- obi_top5_std : 0.0263
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6939
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.1796
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.13615
- balance_zone_mid:
1.157875
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790607600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.2102
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
47
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9344
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790769600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.1796
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8085
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.702
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.01965912 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
47
inside_close_ratio
0.8085
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.702
Signaux confirmants (7)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:09 | 1.19340000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:21 | 1.19340000 | 0% |
| 3 | 09:32 | 1.19340000 | 0% |
| 4 | 09:44 | 1.19820000 | +0.402% |
| 5 | 09:55 | 1.19820000 | +0.402% |
| 6 | 10:10 | 1.18860000 | -0.402% |
| 7 | 10:22 | 1.18860000 | -0.402% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6939ms
Confidence avant OB :
93%
→
93%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.062
avg -0.105
± 0.026
OBI Top 10
-0.062
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.2102
Micro Price
1.2101
Spread
0.0083%
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1934 | 1.1559 | 1.2871 | 2.5 | 1.1025 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1934
- Stop Loss: 1.1559
- Take Profit: 1.2871
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1559 - 1.1934 = -0.0375
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1934 - 1.2871 = -0.0937
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0937 / -0.0375 = 2.4987
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 254.6537 | 100 | 213.3851 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0375
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0375 = -213.33
Taille de position USD = -213.33 x 1.1934 = -254.59
Donc, tu peux acheter -213.33 avec un stoploss a 1.1559
Avec un position size USD de -254.59$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -213.33 x -0.0375 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -213.33 x -0.0937 = 19.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.99$
Résumé
- Taille de position -213.33
- Taille de position USD -254.59
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.99
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4987
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.85 % | 19.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.14 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.14 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.3015 % | 105.07 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.1934 | 1.1559 | 1.2871 | 2.5 | 1.1025 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.1934
- Stop Loss: 1.1559
- Take Profit: 1.2871
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.1559 - 1.1934 = -0.0375
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.1934 - 1.2871 = -0.0937
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0937 / -0.0375 = 2.4987
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2871
[entry_price] => 1.1934
[stop_loss] => 1.15215
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:30:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.2871
[entry_price] => 1.1934
[stop_loss] => 1.1484
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:40:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.142%
(0.0375)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -2.229% | 0.7R | 0.7× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -3.829% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -3.829% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -4.165% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +1.508% | 0.5R | -4.165% | 1.3R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.508% | 0.5R | -4.475% | 1.4R | 0.3× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
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