Long Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 26.7 UNI at 9.176$ per unit. Take profit: 9.9251 (8.16 %) & Stop Loss: 8.8762 (3.27 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 09:11:43
hyperliquid
UNI
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 09:11
→ 10:15
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 9.1759$
Qty 26.6969 UNI
Size 244.9681$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 9.9251 (+8.16%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.8762 (-3.27%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-3.27%
/ -8$
MAE -4.56%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
30 Sep 21:11
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167381)
#6 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
score du 30/09/2026 09:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.2503
Quality Score
0.695
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
30.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 09:00
30/09 09:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#6 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 79
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.27 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -1.75×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 2.34×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.60×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 28/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 30/09 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 08:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4461
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | bull | exhaustion | 0.90 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
88.5%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
broad_risk_on
Leadership :
alts
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 50.9% |
| 1h | 92.7% |
| 4h | 94.6% |
| 24h | 45.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 41.8% | +0.01% |
| 4h | 72.7% | +2.21% |
| 24h | 47.3% | -0.11% |
Dispersion :
0.198
Universe :
55
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 09:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5513
Score SMA
0.6262
Rank
#49
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4146
Rank Norm SMA
0.5223
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7137 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 1.08% · r3d: -8.39% · ema21_slope: 2.5382% · dist_ema21: 7.819% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5108 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.89% · rs_3d: -7.45% · beta_24h: 1.597 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2973 | rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.033 · trend: 10.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 1.0000 | ADX: 60.5 (trend) · Chop: 29.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.457% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
Score brut
0.6946
Score SMA
0.5079
Rank
#6
/ 79
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2503
Rank Norm SMA
0.3775
Calculé le
30/09/2026 09:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5936 | r1h: 3.380% · r4h: 4.442% · r1d: 1.31% · r3d: -6.34% · ema21_slope: -0.0231% · dist_ema21: 3.375% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5529 | rs_1h: 1.730% · rs_4h: 1.745% · rs_1d: 0.17% · rs_3d: -6.92% · beta_24h: 1.903 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9918 | rvol_20: 6.66× · zscore_50: 4.187 · trend: 93.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5327 | ADX: 15.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.541% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.3989
Score SMA
0.5182
Rank
#72
/ 81
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1242
Rank Norm SMA
0.3514
Calculé le
30/09/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4207 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.825% · r1d: -3.36% · r3d: -10.48% · ema21_slope: -0.3696% · dist_ema21: -1.861% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3471 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.080% · rs_1d: -2.85% · rs_3d: -9.30% · beta_24h: 3.053 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1450 | rvol_20: 0.33× · zscore_50: -0.825 · trend: -55.19% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5032 | ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 62.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8143 | ATR%: 3.557% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.266%
(0.2997)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.967% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.516% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.516% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.516% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.563% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.741% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.39 | bull_high | +1.97% | -0.68 | 30/09 04:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 39% | late | — | near -1.8ATR | 0.34 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.82% | +0.16 | 30/09 08:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.78 | bull_low_confirmed | +2.06% | +0.17 | 30/09 08:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177494 |
↑ up | bull_high |
60%
|
early 6b 0.6ATR | noisy_chop 40% | 0.621 |
— — |
0.61 | value | -2.45 ATR | — | #97248 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:20
|
|
4h
182529 |
↓ down | bull_high |
56%
|
early 8b -0.5ATR | noisy_chop 44% | 0.371 |
— — |
0.33 | value | -2.92 ATR | — | #99470 |
30/09 04:00
upd 30/09 08:14
|
|
1h
anchor
182990 |
↔ neutral | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
late 9b 2.3ATR | noisy_chop 39% | 0.526 |
— near -1.8ATR |
6.66 | above_value | -0.40 ATR | — | #99714 |
30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 09:09
|
|
15m
182915 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
49%
|
late 9b 3.5ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.494 |
— near 0.1ATR |
9.63 | value | -2.92 ATR | — | #99470 |
30/09 08:45
upd 30/09 09:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 2.444×ATR | p0 | +0.624×ATR | p33 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.445×ATR | p0 | -0.533×ATR | p27 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 9b | — | 3.371×ATR | p80 | +2.287×ATR | p94 |
| 15m | ↓ down | late | 9b | — | 0×ATR | p0 | +3.471×ATR | p100 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.928
- reason: up_bo width=2.48×ATR dur=50b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.87623981
- tp_price: 9.92505049
- atr:
- score: 0.92799212425151
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T01:11:35.326570
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.92799212425151
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0273
- obi_top10 : -0.0813
- micro_price : 9.1446455
- spread_pct : 0.021872
- mid_price : 9.145
- bid_wall_price : 9.12
- bid_wall_size : 57547.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 9.18
- ask_wall_size : 77224.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0626
- obi_top5_std : 0.0222
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6880
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
9.06
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.7199
- balance_zone_mid:
8.88995
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790596800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.4806
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
50
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.928
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790769600
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
9.06
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.76
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8454
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
7
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.13710194 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
50
inside_close_ratio
0.76
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8454
Signaux confirmants (5)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:11 | 9.17590000 | 0% |
| 2 | 09:23 | 9.17590000 | 0% |
| 3 | 09:34 | 9.17590000 | 0% |
| 4 | 09:46 | 9.09620000 | -0.869% |
| 5 | 09:57 | 9.09620000 | -0.869% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6880ms
Confidence avant OB :
93%
→
93%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.027
avg 0.063
± 0.022
OBI Top 10
-0.081
Microstructure
Mid Price
9.1450
Micro Price
9.1446
Spread
0.0219%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
9.1200
Size
57,547.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
9.1800
Size
77,224.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.1759 | 8.8762 | 9.9251 | 2.5 | 7.5462 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 9.1759
- Stop Loss: 8.8762
- Take Profit: 9.9251
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8762 - 9.1759 = -0.2997
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.1759 - 9.9251 = -0.7492
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7492 / -0.2997 = 2.4998
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 244.9681 | 100 | 26.6969 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.2997
Taille de position = 8 / -0.2997 = -26.69
Taille de position USD = -26.69 x 9.1759 = -244.9
Donc, tu peux acheter -26.69 avec un stoploss a 8.8762
Avec un position size USD de -244.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -26.69 x -0.2997 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -26.69 x -0.7492 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -26.69
- Taille de position USD -244.9
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4998
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 8.16 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.27 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -3.27 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.4351 % | 105.17 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.1759 | 8.8762 | 9.9251 | 2.5 | 7.5462 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 9.1759
- Stop Loss: 8.8762
- Take Profit: 9.9251
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8762 - 9.1759 = -0.2997
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.1759 - 9.9251 = -0.7492
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.7492 / -0.2997 = 2.4998
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.9251
[entry_price] => 9.1759
[stop_loss] => 8.84623
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.9251
[entry_price] => 9.1759
[stop_loss] => 8.81626
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 9.9251
[entry_price] => 9.1759
[stop_loss] => 8.78629
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-09-30 14:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -3.266%
(0.2997)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.967% | 0.9R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.516% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.516% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.516% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.563% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.741% | 1.5R | 0.0× | 288 |
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.