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Short Trade on JTO

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30 Sep 2026 at 12:15:09 hyperliquid

Short Trade on JTO (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 276.23 JTO at 0.537$ per unit. Take profit: 0.5233 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5656 (5.38 %)

JTO SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 12:15 → 17:05 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.5367$

Qty 276.2275 JTO

Size 148.2458$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.5233 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.7$

SL 0.5656 (-5.38%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.46

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.7$ MAE -1.26% MFE +2.98% 0.6R expires 30 Sep 18:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 167627)
#41 / 76 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2276

Quality Score
0.485
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
3.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 12:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#41 / 76 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.38 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#41 / 76 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.38 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.57×ATR
4h clear 2.87×ATR
1d clear 2.96×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down mid OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 11:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4473
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 28.1%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 64.9%
1h 64.9%
4h 24.6%
24h 56.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.2% +0.10%
4h 21.1% -1.16%
24h 36.8% +0.44%
Dispersion : 0.197
Universe : 57 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4935
Score SMA
0.5501
Rank
#68 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1829
Rank Norm SMA
0.3386
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6344 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.42% · r3d: -8.63% · ema21_slope: 1.1963% · dist_ema21: 7.835%
Force Relative 25% 0.5084 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.62% · rs_3d: -7.69% · beta_24h: 1.372
Volume 20% 0.3816 rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.029 · trend: 35.88%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6653 ADX: 19.8 (weak) · Chop: 35.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.982% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4851
Score SMA
0.5738
Rank
#41 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2276
Rank Norm SMA
0.5520
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2754 r1h: -1.047% · r4h: -3.689% · r1d: -2.92% · r3d: -10.82% · ema21_slope: -0.0510% · dist_ema21: -3.375%
Force Relative 25% 0.2173 rs_1h: -1.443% · rs_4h: -3.979% · rs_1d: -4.21% · rs_3d: -10.45% · beta_24h: 1.949
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 7.53× · zscore_50: 4.561 · trend: 176.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5587 ADX: 11.4 (weak) · Chop: 42.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.287% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3883
Score SMA
0.5950
Rank
#67 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2000
Rank Norm SMA
0.5615
Calculé le
30/09/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3846 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.689% · r1d: -2.92% · r3d: -10.82% · ema21_slope: -0.1697% · dist_ema21: -4.072%
Force Relative 25% 0.3712 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.979% · rs_1d: -4.21% · rs_3d: -10.45% · beta_24h: 1.643
Volume 20% 0.6856 rvol_20: 2.16× · zscore_50: 1.936 · trend: 18.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4020 ADX: 19.7 (weak) · Chop: 70.6 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.5413 ATR%: 4.376% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.385% (0.0289)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.570% 0.1R -1.261% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +0.583% 0.1R -1.261% 0.2R 0.5× 24
4h +2.478% 0.5R -1.261% 0.2R 2.0× 48
6h ★ +2.981% 0.6R -1.261% 0.2R 2.4× 72
8h +2.981% 0.6R -1.261% 0.2R 2.4× 96
12h +2.981% 0.6R -3.587% 0.7R 0.8× 144

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.53
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 47% early — — 0.40 bull_high +12.90% +0.96 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
51%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.45 bull_high +2.22% -0.89 30/09 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
54%
noisy_chop 40% mid near -1.6ATR — 0.42 range_medium +0.42% -0.41 30/09 11:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 44% mid — — 0.70 range_medium +0.52% -0.35 30/09 11:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177551 		↔ neutral bull_high
68%
early 25b 0.8ATR noisy_chop 47% 0.582

—

—

0.93 value -1.33 ATR — #97262 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:23
4h
184221 		↔ neutral bull_high
51%
mid 19b -1.0ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.672

—

—

2.16 value -2.29 ATR — #100199 30/09 08:00
upd 30/09 12:14
1h anchor
184220 		↔ neutral bear_high_confirmed
54%
mid 2b -1.6ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.381

near -1.6ATR

—

7.53 value -2.29 ATR — #100199 30/09 11:00
upd 30/09 12:14
15m
184114 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
51%
mid 2b -1.4ATR noisy_chop 44% 0.414

—

—

0.33 value -1.89 ATR — #100043 30/09 11:45
upd 30/09 12:02
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 25b — 3.654×ATR p16 +0.788×ATR p49
4h ↓ down mid 19b — 4.685×ATR p62 -1.004×ATR p50
1h ↓ down mid 2b — 2.941×ATR p71 -1.569×ATR p74
15m ↑ up mid 2b — 1.552×ATR p0 -1.429×ATR p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.56564163
  2. tp_price: 0.523263
  3. atr: 0.01158465
  4. expires_at: 2026-09-30T22:15:09+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 78
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.2323
  4. delta_2h: -0.1434
  5. extension_atr: -1.45
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2259
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5367 0.5656 0.5233 0.46 0.5042
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5367
  • Stop Loss: 0.5656
  • Take Profit: 0.5233

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5656 - 0.5367 = 0.0289

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5367 - 0.5233 = 0.0134

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0289 = 0.4637

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
148.2458 100 276.2275 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0289

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0289 = 276.82

Taille de position USD = 276.82 x 0.5367 = 148.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 276.82 avec un stoploss a 0.5656

Avec un position size USD de 148.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 276.82 x 0.0289 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 276.82 x 0.0134 = 3.71

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.71$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 276.82
  • Taille de position USD 148.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.71
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4637

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.7 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.38 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
3.7 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.2614 % 23.43 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.5367 0.5656 0.5233 0.46 0.5042
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.5367
  • Stop Loss: 0.5656
  • Take Profit: 0.5233

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5656 - 0.5367 = 0.0289

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.5367 - 0.5233 = 0.0134

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0134 / 0.0289 = 0.4637

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.385% (0.0289)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.570% 0.1R -1.261% 0.2R 0.5× 12
2h +0.583% 0.1R -1.261% 0.2R 0.5× 24
4h +2.478% 0.5R -1.261% 0.2R 2.0× 48
6h ★ +2.981% 0.6R -1.261% 0.2R 2.4× 72
8h +2.981% 0.6R -1.261% 0.2R 2.4× 96
12h +2.981% 0.6R -3.587% 0.7R 0.8× 144

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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