Long Trade on RUNE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 184.68 RUNE at 0.807$ per unit. Take profit: 0.8276 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.7641 (5.36 %)
30 Sep 2026 at 15:15:06
hyperliquid
RUNE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
30 Sep 2026 15:15
→ 21:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.8074$
Qty 184.6849 RUNE
Size 149.1183$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.8276 (+2.5%)
TP $ 3.73$
SL 0.7641 (-5.36%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.47
Status
loss
PnL
-0.22%
/ -0.32$
MAE -1.71%
MFE +0.62%
0.1R
expires
30 Sep 21:15
Exit
time_expired
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 167920)
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 15:00
score du 30/09/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5045
Quality Score
0.758
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 15:00
30/09 15:00
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+6
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.36 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | near | 0.46×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | late | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Regime
| BTC Market Regime | BTC Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : range_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low Score : 0 |
ml_regime : range_high Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+2) Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0) Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0) 24/09 15:01 Score : +2 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime | Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|---|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 28/09 20:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 14:00 Score : +4 / ±6 |
Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4485
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic | bull | expansion | 0.90 | +2 |
| Operational | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Tactical | range | range | 0.25 | 0 |
| Micro | range | range | 0.25 |
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
31.6%
Impulse :
+0.00
Participation :
mixed_dispersion
Leadership :
mixed
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.6% |
| 1h | 8.5% |
| 4h | 37.3% |
| 24h | 44.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 62.7% | +0.05% |
| 4h | 35.6% | -0.25% |
| 24h | 39.0% | -0.29% |
Dispersion :
0.148
Universe :
59
(≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
30/09 15:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6741
Score SMA
0.7119
Rank
#20
/ 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7683
Rank Norm SMA
0.8021
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7729 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.06% · r3d: -3.04% · ema21_slope: 2.4733% · dist_ema21: 20.700% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6918 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.25% · rs_3d: -2.10% · beta_24h: 1.599 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6573 | rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 1.121 · trend: 196.56% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9189 | ADX: 50.3 (trend) · Chop: 12.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.926% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
30/09/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.7578
Score SMA
0.6015
Rank
#2
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5045
Rank Norm SMA
0.6317
Calculé le
30/09/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6805 | r1h: -2.479% · r4h: 2.914% · r1d: 6.83% · r3d: 6.24% · ema21_slope: 0.2800% · dist_ema21: 3.416% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5995 | rs_1h: -2.378% · rs_4h: 2.750% · rs_1d: 6.46% · rs_3d: 7.26% · beta_24h: 1.543 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9445 | rvol_20: 3.93× · zscore_50: 2.168 · trend: 153.84% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7660 | ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 25.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.292% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.363%
(0.0433)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.709% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.709% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.050% | 0.0R | -1.709% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.617% | 0.1R | -1.709% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.331% | 0.3R | -2.981% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.331% | 0.3R | -2.981% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.69 | bull_high | +12.90% | +1.00 | 28/09 20:00 |
| 4h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
noisy_chop 46% | early | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.50 | range_medium | +0.17% | +0.58 | 30/09 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.50 | range_low | +0.16% | +0.28 | 30/09 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Regime | Tradability | Move | PAQ | Momentum | Near S/D | RVOL | Vol zone | POC dist | LVN | VP ref | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
177502 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
late 2b 2.2ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.569 |
— near 0.5ATR |
1.64 | above_value | -2.07 ATR | — | #97250 |
28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:21
|
|
4h
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
|
1h
anchor
185402 |
↑ up | bull_high_confirmed |
59%
|
early 1b 1.3ATR | noisy_chop 46% | 0.816 |
near 0.0ATR — |
3.93 | value | +1.01 ATR | — | #100725 |
30/09 14:00
upd 30/09 15:09
|
|
15m
185330 |
↑ up | bull_high |
66%
|
early 4b 0.0ATR | noisy_chop 43% | 0.651 |
— — |
4.65 | above_value | +5.10 ATR | — | #100570 |
30/09 14:45
upd 30/09 15:01
|
|
5m
|
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade | ||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.835×ATR | p0 | +2.226×ATR | p87 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 1.688×ATR | p18 | +1.297×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.893×ATR | p27 | +0.02×ATR | p1 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.76410298
- tp_price: 0.8276055
- atr: 0.01732681
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T01:15:06+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 79
- score: 0.6805
- delta_2h: 0.2642
- extension_atr: 1.26
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5045
- confidence: 0.986
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8074 | 0.7641 | 0.8276 | 0.47 | 0.6481 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8074
- Stop Loss: 0.7641
- Take Profit: 0.8276
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7641 - 0.8074 = -0.0433
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8074 - 0.8276 = -0.0202
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0202 / -0.0433 = 0.4665
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 149.1183 | 100 | 184.6849 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0433
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0433 = -184.76
Taille de position USD = -184.76 x 0.8074 = -149.18
Donc, tu peux acheter -184.76 avec un stoploss a 0.7641
Avec un position size USD de -149.18$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -184.76 x -0.0433 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -184.76 x -0.0202 = 3.73
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.73$
Résumé
- Taille de position -184.76
- Taille de position USD -149.18
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 3.73
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4665
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 3.73 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.36 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -0.32 $ | -0.22 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.7092 % | 31.87 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.8074 | 0.7641 | 0.8276 | 0.47 | 0.6481 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.8074
- Stop Loss: 0.7641
- Take Profit: 0.8276
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.7641 - 0.8074 = -0.0433
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.8074 - 0.8276 = -0.0202
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0202 / -0.0433 = 0.4665
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -5.363%
(0.0433)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.709% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.709% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.050% | 0.0R | -1.709% | 0.3R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.617% | 0.1R | -1.709% | 0.3R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.331% | 0.3R | -2.981% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.331% | 0.3R | -2.981% | 0.6R | 0.5× | 144 |
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
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