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Short Trade on APT

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30 Sep 2026 at 17:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on APT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 196.53 APT at 0.769$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.8101 (5.29 %)

APT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 17:15 → 20:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.7694$

Qty 196.5283 APT

Size 151.2089$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 151.21$

SL 0.8101 (-5.29%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.27% / -0.41$ MAE -0.79% MFE +1.61% 0.3R expires 30 Sep 20:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168145)
#18 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3234

Quality Score
0.536
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
2.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 17:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank
#18 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#18 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.29 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.12×ATR
4h clear 0.56×ATR
1d clear 3.58×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Regime

BTC Market Regime BTC Market Regime V2

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : range_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

Score : 0

ml_regime : range_high

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-2)

Operational (4H) : bull_medium (0)

Tactical (1H) : range_medium (0)

24/09 15:01

Score : -2

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

28/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 16:00

Score : -4 / ±6

Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4493
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull expansion 0.90 -2
Operational range range 0.25 0
Tactical range range 0.25 0
Micro range range 0.25
MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.6%
Impulse : +0.00
Participation : btc_led_risk_on
Leadership : btc
% Positive (universe)
15m 51.7%
1h 85.0%
4h 11.7%
24h 46.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.3% +0.01%
4h 30.0% -1.62%
24h 45.0% -0.36%
Dispersion : 0.234
Universe : 60 (≥ $2.0M)
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 30/09 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 29/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5452
Score SMA
0.6676
Rank
#52 / 83
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3780
Rank Norm SMA
0.6747
Calculé le
29/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6595 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.82% · r3d: -7.29% · ema21_slope: 2.0560% · dist_ema21: 6.777%
Force Relative 25% 0.4978 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -5.02% · rs_3d: -6.35% · beta_24h: 1.819
Volume 20% 0.4715 rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: 0.792 · trend: 47.38%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8575 ADX: 42.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.608% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.5362
Score SMA
0.5392
Rank
#18 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3234
Rank Norm SMA
0.5006
Calculé le
30/09/2026 17:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2884 r1h: -0.363% · r4h: -3.480% · r1d: -3.94% · r3d: -10.31% · ema21_slope: -0.0714% · dist_ema21: -3.033%
Force Relative 25% 0.2974 rs_1h: -0.454% · rs_4h: -2.675% · rs_1d: -4.03% · rs_3d: -9.31% · beta_24h: 1.411
Volume 20% 0.9654 rvol_20: 4.02× · zscore_50: 2.713 · trend: 88.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5486 ADX: 13.8 (weak) · Chop: 46.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.937% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 30/09/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4026
Score SMA
0.5611
Rank
#61 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2319
Rank Norm SMA
0.5041
Calculé le
30/09/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3695 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.884% · r1d: -2.71% · r3d: -9.69% · ema21_slope: -0.2152% · dist_ema21: -4.828%
Force Relative 25% 0.3661 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.249% · rs_1d: -2.74% · rs_3d: -8.37% · beta_24h: 2.295
Volume 20% 0.3407 rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: -0.111 · trend: -13.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4761 ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 63.1 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6068 ATR%: 4.180% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.290% (0.0407)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.612% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.612% 0.3R -0.650% 0.1R 2.5× 24
3h ★ +1.612% 0.3R -0.793% 0.2R 2.0× 36
4h +1.612% 0.3R -2.366% 0.5R 0.7× 48
8h +1.612% 0.3R -2.742% 0.5R 0.6× 96
12h +1.612% 0.3R -2.742% 0.5R 0.6× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.34
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 38% early — — 0.69 bull_high +12.90% +0.93 28/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind normal bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.39 bull_high +1.54% -0.70 30/09 12:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate balanced normal bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.36 range_medium -0.14% -0.29 30/09 16:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.69 range_low -0.13% -0.27 30/09 16:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Regime Tradability Move PAQ Momentum Near S/D RVOL Vol zone POC dist LVN VP ref Évalué à
1d
177477 		↑ up bull_high
67%
early 13b 0.6ATR noisy_chop 38% 0.545

—

—

1.06 below_value -2.76 ATR — #97244 28/09 20:00
upd 29/09 20:19
4h
185809 		↔ neutral bull_high
50%
mid 25b -1.2ATR noisy_chop 39% 0.655

—

—

1.13 below_value -5.45 ATR — #100875 30/09 12:00
upd 30/09 16:13
1h anchor
186261 		↔ neutral bear_high_confirmed
57%
late 7b -1.6ATR noisy_chop 40% 0.546

—

—

4.02 below_value -5.75 ATR — #101109 30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 17:09
15m
186185 		↓ down bear_high_confirmed
57%
late 15b -1.9ATR noisy_chop 43% 0.731

—

—

0.12 below_value -5.45 ATR — #100875 30/09 16:45
upd 30/09 17:01
5m
Pas de snapshot frais lors de la création du trade
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 13b — 3.905×ATR p41 +0.609×ATR p41
4h ↓ down mid 25b — 3.754×ATR p50 -1.179×ATR p56
1h ↓ down late 7b — 3.702×ATR p87 -1.571×ATR p83
15m ↓ down late 15b — 4.705×ATR p82 -1.909×ATR p86

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.8101066
  2. atr: 0.01356887
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T00:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 73
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.2884
  4. confidence: 0.947

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7694 0.8101 0.7915
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7694
  • Stop Loss: 0.8101
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8101 - 0.7694 = 0.0407

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7694 - = 0.7694

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7694 / 0.0407 = 18.9042

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
151.2089 100 196.5283 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0407

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0407 = 196.56

Taille de position USD = 196.56 x 0.7694 = 151.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 196.56 avec un stoploss a 0.8101

Avec un position size USD de 151.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 196.56 x 0.0407 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 196.56 x 0.7694 = 151.23

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 151.23$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 196.56
  • Taille de position USD 151.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 151.23
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 18.9042

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 151.21 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.29 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.41 $ -0.27
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7928 % 14.99 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.7694 0.8101 0.7915
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.7694
  • Stop Loss: 0.8101
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.8101 - 0.7694 = 0.0407

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.7694 - = 0.7694

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7694 / 0.0407 = 18.9042

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.290% (0.0407)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.612% 0.3R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.612% 0.3R -0.650% 0.1R 2.5× 24
3h ★ +1.612% 0.3R -0.793% 0.2R 2.0× 36
4h +1.612% 0.3R -2.366% 0.5R 0.7× 48
8h +1.612% 0.3R -2.742% 0.5R 0.6× 96
12h +1.612% 0.3R -2.742% 0.5R 0.6× 144

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

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