Short Trade on 2Z

Previous Trade Next Trade

30 Sep 2026 at 22:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2669.65 2Z at 0.0587$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05722 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06169 (5.11 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 30 Sep 2026 22:15 → 22:20 · 4 minutes

Position

Entry 0.05869$

Qty 2669.6478 2Z

Size 156.679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05722 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.92$

SL 0.06169 (-5.11%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.49

Status win PnL +2.50% / +3.92$ MAE -1.12% MFE +2.99% 0.6R expires 01 Oct 04:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168728)

#70 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2907

Quality Score

0.439

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 22:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168728)

#70 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 30/09/2026 22:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2907

Quality Score

0.439

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#70 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-1

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.11 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#70 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.11 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.46×ATR
4h	clear	0.72×ATR
1d	clear	1.88×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
30/09 22:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 30/09 21:00 Score : -1 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

30/09 21:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4513

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	compression

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 70.4%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	45.2%
1h	64.5%
4h	79.0%
24h	54.8%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	33.9%	-0.01%
4h	80.7%	+0.80%
24h	54.8%	+0.42%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.128

Universe : 62 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 30/09 22:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5520

Score SMA

0.6841

Rank

#46 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6512

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6375	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative	25%	0.4319	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume	20%	0.6983	rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7538	ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 22:00

Score brut

0.4391

Score SMA

0.5712

Rank

#70 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2907

Rank Norm SMA

0.5637

Calculé le

30/09/2026 22:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2276	r1h: -1.325% · r4h: 0.438% · r1d: -10.77% · r3d: -8.59% · ema21_slope: -0.3995% · dist_ema21: -4.957%
Force Relative	25%	0.2642	rs_1h: -1.343% · rs_4h: 0.733% · rs_1d: -10.89% · rs_3d: -8.41% · beta_24h: 0.897
Volume	20%	0.3786	rvol_20: 0.88× · zscore_50: 0.021 · trend: 37.81%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7799	ADX: 33.6 (trend) · Chop: 36.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.135% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4483

Score SMA

0.6485

Rank

#51 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3311

Rank Norm SMA

0.7121

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4333	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.774% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: -0.0586% · dist_ema21: -6.857%
Force Relative	25%	0.3971	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.798% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 2.654
Volume	20%	0.4532	rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 0.478 · trend: 20.74%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6087	ADX: 24.2 (weak) · Chop: 49.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.3712	ATR%: 4.887% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.112% (0.0030)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.985%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+2.985%	0.6R	-1.121%	0.2R	2.7×	24
4h	+2.985%	0.6R	-1.121%	0.2R	2.7×	48
6h ★	+2.985%	0.6R	-1.121%	0.2R	2.7×	72
8h	+2.985%	0.6R	-2.208%	0.4R	1.4×	96
12h	+2.985%	0.6R	-2.208%	0.4R	1.4×	144
24h	+8.170%	1.6R	-2.208%	0.4R	3.7×	288
48h	+24.345%	4.8R	-2.232%	0.4R	10.9×	576
72h	+24.435%	4.8R	-2.232%	0.4R	11.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 864 min MAE in 439 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 2.9

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.33	bull_high	+1.53%	-0.73	30/09 16:00
1h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	normal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 44%	late	near -0.5ATR	—	0.33	range_medium	-0.32%	-0.76	30/09 21:00
15m	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 39%	mid	near -0.7ATR	—	0.46	range_low	-0.27%	-0.04	30/09 21:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187747	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.802	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early 4b 0.4ATR	—	—	1.84	98%	↑ +0.95	below_value	-6.90	—	#101622	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #187604	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.426	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late 10b -1.7ATR	—	—	1.29	94%	↓ -0.43	below_value	-6.90	—	#101622	0.33	bull_high	+1.53%	-0.73	30/09 16:00 upd 30/09 20:21
1h anchor #188466	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.314	normal	bear_high_confirmed	52%	noisy_chop 44%	late 23b -2.2ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	0.88	63%	↑ +0.79	below_value	-7.58	—	#102009	0.33	range_medium	-0.32%	-0.76	30/09 21:00 upd 30/09 22:12
15m #188387	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.563	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 10b -1.9ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.57	70%	↑ +0.25	below_value	-7.27	—	#101853	0.46	range_low	-0.27%	-0.04	30/09 21:45 upd 30/09 22:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.454×ATR	p35	+0.443×ATR	p30
4h	↓ down	late	10b	—	3.449×ATR	p32	-1.687×ATR	p82
1h	↓ down	late	23b	—	6.377×ATR	p98	-2.229×ATR	p91
15m	↓ down	mid	10b	—	2.571×ATR	p23	-1.924×ATR	p78

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.06168565
tp_price: 0.05722177
atr: 0.00119866
expires_at: 2026-10-01T08:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 77
total: 77
score: 0.2781
delta_2h: -0.0183
extension_atr: -2.22
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2842
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05869	0.06169	0.05722	0.49	0.03041

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05869
Stop Loss: 0.06169
Take Profit: 0.05722

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06169 - 0.05869 = 0.003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05869 - 0.05722 = 0.00147
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00147 / 0.003 = 0.49

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
156.679	100	2669.6478	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.003

Taille de position = 8 / 0.003 = 2666.67

Taille de position USD = 2666.67 x 0.05869 = 156.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 2666.67 avec un stoploss a 0.06169

Avec un position size USD de 156.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2666.67 x 0.003 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2666.67 x 0.00147 = 3.92

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.92$

Résumé

Taille de position 2666.67
Taille de position USD 156.51
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.92
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.49

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.92 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.11 %	8.01 $

PNL	PNL %
3.92 $	2.50

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05869	0.06169	0.05722	0.49	0.03041

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05869
Stop Loss: 0.06169
Take Profit: 0.05722

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06169 - 0.05869 = 0.003
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05869 - 0.05722 = 0.00147
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00147 / 0.003 = 0.49

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.112% (0.0030)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.985%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+2.985%	0.6R	-1.121%	0.2R	2.7×	24
4h	+2.985%	0.6R	-1.121%	0.2R	2.7×	48
6h ★	+2.985%	0.6R	-1.121%	0.2R	2.7×	72
8h	+2.985%	0.6R	-2.208%	0.4R	1.4×	96
12h	+2.985%	0.6R	-2.208%	0.4R	1.4×	144
24h	+8.170%	1.6R	-2.208%	0.4R	3.7×	288
48h	+24.345%	4.8R	-2.232%	0.4R	10.9×	576
72h	+24.435%	4.8R	-2.232%	0.4R	11.0×	864

⏱ MFE in 864 min MAE in 439 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 days ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.