01 Oct 2026 at 00:12:11 hyperliquid

Long Trade on DOGE (BalanceBreakoutRegime)

With 4643.93 DOGE at 0.0958$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1001 (4.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.09405 (1.8 %)

DOGE LONG BalanceBreakoutRegime hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 00:12 → 04:10 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.09577$

Qty 4643.9269 DOGE

Size 444.7628$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)

Risk Setup

TP 0.1001 (+4.52%)

TP $ 20.11$

SL 0.09405 (-1.8%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 2.52

Status loss PnL -1.80% / -7.99$ MAE -2.37% MFE +0.40% 0.2R expires 01 Oct 12:12

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 168824)
#32 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5871

Quality Score
0.490
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
19.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 00:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 168824)
#32 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 00:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5871

Quality Score
0.490
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#32 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#32 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
58 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.80 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.30×ATR
4h near 0.34×ATR
1d clear 2.65×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up early OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
19.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 00:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

30/09 16:00

Tactical (1H) : range_high (0)

30/09 22:00

Score : +5 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4521
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

compression

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 69.9%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 50.8%
1h 57.4%
4h 68.9%
24h 75.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 37.7% +0.00%
4h 72.1% +0.31%
24h 72.1% +0.93%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.143
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 00:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5208
Score SMA
0.5496
Rank
#55 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2800
Rank Norm SMA
0.2306
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7140 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.71% · r3d: -2.45% · ema21_slope: 0.8335% · dist_ema21: 3.242%
Force Relative 25% 0.5475 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.73% · rs_3d: -1.46% · beta_24h: 1.684
Volume 20% 0.2882 rvol_20: 0.77× · zscore_50: -0.243 · trend: -3.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7424 ADX: 31.9 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0074 ATR%: 5.978% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.4903
Score SMA
0.5166
Rank
#32 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5871
Rank Norm SMA
0.4239
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5778 r1h: 0.545% · r4h: 1.296% · r1d: 2.57% · r3d: 1.82% · ema21_slope: 0.0023% · dist_ema21: 1.090%
Force Relative 25% 0.5692 rs_1h: 0.226% · rs_4h: 1.146% · rs_1d: 2.01% · rs_3d: 1.29% · beta_24h: 1.235
Volume 20% 0.4826 rvol_20: 1.59× · zscore_50: 0.690 · trend: -2.90%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4021 ADX: 12.8 (weak) · Chop: 63.5 (range)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.025% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 00:00
Score brut
0.5024
Score SMA
0.5332
Rank
#37 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4830
Rank Norm SMA
0.4146
Calculé le
01/10/2026 00:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.5837 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.296% · r1d: 2.57% · r3d: 1.82% · ema21_slope: -0.0347% · dist_ema21: 1.009%
Force Relative 25% 0.5787 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.146% · rs_1d: 2.01% · rs_3d: 1.29% · beta_24h: 1.883
Volume 20% 0.2361 rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.374 · trend: -33.76%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4485 ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 60.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.240% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.796% (0.0017)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.404% 0.2R -0.313% 0.2R 1.3× 12
2h +0.404% 0.2R -0.313% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +0.404% 0.2R -1.961% 1.1R 0.2× 48
8h +0.404% 0.2R -2.373% 1.3R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.404% 0.2R -2.373% 1.3R 0.2× 144
24h +0.404% 0.2R -2.740% 1.5R 0.2× 288
36h +2.307% 1.3R -2.740% 1.5R 0.8× 432
48h +2.307% 1.3R -5.740% 3.2R 0.4× 576
72h +2.307% 1.3R -5.740% 3.2R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1687 min MAE in 1267 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.19
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.79 bull_high +12.59% +0.41 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind normal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.1ATR near 0.3ATR 0.72 bull_high +1.53% -0.15 30/09 16:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression range_high
44%
noisy_chop 40% early — near 0.3ATR 0.69 range_medium -0.36% +0.18 30/09 22:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 40% late — — 0.82 range_low +0.05% +0.13 30/09 23:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187528
↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.571 expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 37% early 14b 0.5ATR — — 0.77 71% ↑ +0.51 value -2.80 — #101564 0.79 bull_high +12.59% +0.41
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:17
4h
#187429
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.609 normal bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 36% early 2b -0.1ATR near -0.1ATR near 0.3ATR 0.14 7% ↓ -0.42 value -2.80 — #101564 0.72 bull_high +1.53% -0.15
30/09 16:00
upd 30/09 20:12
1h anchor
#188799
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.647 compression range_high
44%
noisy_chop 40% early 7b 0.6ATR — near 0.3ATR 0.70 46% ↓ -0.67 value -2.29 — #102106 0.69 range_medium -0.36% +0.18
30/09 22:00
upd 30/09 23:09
15m
#189117
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.582 expansion_after_compression bull_medium_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 40% late 6b 1.9ATR — — 0.91 67% ↑ +0.89 value -2.29 — #102106 0.82 range_low +0.05% +0.13
30/09 23:45
upd 01/10 00:00
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 2.88×ATR p16 +0.459×ATR p27
4h ↓ down early 2b — 1.652×ATR p0 -0.081×ATR p4
1h ↑ up early 7b — 1.722×ATR p13 +0.589×ATR p35
15m ↑ up late 6b — 2.821×ATR p60 +1.86×ATR p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: 1
  2. confidence: 0.5825
  3. reason: up_bo width=2.93×ATR dur=60b phase=fresh|ob:ask_pressure(-0.10)|ob:obi_bearish(-0.05)
  4. stop_price: 0.09405032
  5. tp_price: 0.10007971
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.73249585539784
  8. expires_at: 2026-10-01T16:12:03.719463
  9. max_bars: 12
  10. max_bars_tf: 1h
  11. confidence_pre_ob: 0.73249585539784
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. ¸
  10. trend_analyzer_1h
  11. ¸
  12. orderbook_context
  13. obi_top5 : -0.4892
  14. obi_top10 : -0.2102
  15. micro_price : 0.09564425
  16. spread_pct : 0.010456
  17. mid_price : 0.095645
  18. bid_wall_price : 0.0948
  19. bid_wall_size : 29775183
  20. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  21. ask_wall_price :
  22. ask_wall_size :
  23. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  24. snapshots_count : 5
  25. obi_top5_mean : -0.4918
  26. obi_top5_std : 0.0056
  27. pressure_side : ask
  28. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  29. collection_ms : 7022
  30. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  31. error :
  32. ¸
  33. strategy_details
  34. strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
  35. strategy_details
  36. balance_zone_top:
    0.095485
  37. balance_zone_bottom:
    0.092799
  38. balance_zone_mid:
    0.094142
  39. balance_zone_start_time:
    1790614800
  40. balance_zone_end_time:
    1790827200
  41. balance_zone_width_atr:
    2.9296
  42. balance_zone_duration_bars:
    60
  43. balance_zone_quality: loose
  44. balance_zone_maturity: stretched
  45. balance_zone_confidence:
    0.7325
  46. balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
  47. balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
  48. balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
  49. balance_zone_breakout_time:
    1790823600
  50. balance_zone_breakout_price:
    0.095485
  51. strategy_details
  52. balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
    0.8
  53. balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
    1
  54. balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
    0.3141
  55. balance_metrics_has_retested:
    
                                                                                                                                
  56. balance_metrics_retest_count:
    0
  57. balance_metrics_touch_upper:
    13
  58. balance_metrics_touch_lower:
    7
  59. regime : bull_high
  60. atr_entry : 0.00091685
  61. ¸

Signal Details

duration_bars
60
inside_close_ratio
0.8
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3141

Signaux confirmants (11)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 00:12 0.09577300 +0.003%
2 00:23 0.09577300 +0.003%
3 00:34 0.09559400 -0.184%
4 00:45 0.09559400 -0.184%
5 00:56 0.09559400 -0.184%
6 01:07 0.09596200 +0.2%
7 01:18 0.09596200 +0.2%
8 01:29 0.09596200 +0.2%
9 01:40 0.09590400 +0.14%
10 01:51 0.09590400 +0.14%
11 02:02 0.09590400 +0.14%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

Orderbook Context

↓ ask ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7022ms Confidence avant OB : 73% → 58%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 -0.489
avg -0.492 ± 0.006
OBI Top 10 -0.210

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0956
Micro Price
0.0956
Spread
0.0105%

↑ Bid Wall (Support)

Price
0.0948
Size
29,775,183.00

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09577 0.09405 0.1001 2.52 0.07713
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09577
  • Stop Loss: 0.09405
  • Take Profit: 0.1001

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09405 - 0.09577 = -0.00172

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09577 - 0.1001 = -0.00433

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00433 / -0.00172 = 2.5174

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
444.7628 100 4643.9269 4.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00172

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00172 = -4651.16

Taille de position USD = -4651.16 x 0.09577 = -445.44

Donc, tu peux acheter -4651.16 avec un stoploss a 0.09405

Avec un position size USD de -445.44$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4651.16 x -0.00172 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4651.16 x -0.00433 = 20.14

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.14$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -4651.16
  • Taille de position USD -445.44
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 20.14
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5174

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
4.52 % 20.11 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.8 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -1.80
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.9609 % 109.18 % 13
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.09577 0.09405 0.1001 2.52 0.07713
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.09577
  • Stop Loss: 0.09405
  • Take Profit: 0.1001

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.09405 - 0.09577 = -0.00172

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.09577 - 0.1001 = -0.00433

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00433 / -0.00172 = 2.5174

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1001
            [entry_price] => 0.09577
            [stop_loss] => 0.093878
            [rr_ratio] => 2.29
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1001
            [entry_price] => 0.09577
            [stop_loss] => 0.093706
            [rr_ratio] => 2.1
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1001
            [entry_price] => 0.09577
            [stop_loss] => 0.093534
            [rr_ratio] => 1.94
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 10:05:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★ 12h) Initial Risk: -1.796% (0.0017)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.404% 0.2R -0.313% 0.2R 1.3× 12
2h +0.404% 0.2R -0.313% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +0.404% 0.2R -1.961% 1.1R 0.2× 48
8h +0.404% 0.2R -2.373% 1.3R 0.2× 96
12h ★ +0.404% 0.2R -2.373% 1.3R 0.2× 144
24h +0.404% 0.2R -2.740% 1.5R 0.2× 288
36h +2.307% 1.3R -2.740% 1.5R 0.8× 432
48h +2.307% 1.3R -5.740% 3.2R 0.4× 576
72h +2.307% 1.3R -5.740% 3.2R 0.4× 864
⏱ MFE in 1687 min MAE in 1267 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 3 days ago

Commentaires

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