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Long Trade on MEGA

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01 Oct 2026 at 04:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3610.56 MEGA at 0.045$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04616 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04282 (4.91 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 04:15 → 05:15 · 59 minutes

Position

Entry 0.04503$

Qty 3610.5645 MEGA

Size 162.5873$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04616 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.08$

SL 0.04282 (-4.91%)

SL $ 7.98$

RR 0.51

Status win PnL +2.51% / +4.08$ MAE -0.29% MFE +6.84% 1.4R expires 01 Oct 10:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169269)
#3 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5838

Quality Score
0.808
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0 BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:02

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169269)
#3 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5838

Quality Score
0.808
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#3 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#3 / 78 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.91 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear —
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h — — OK
4h — — OK
1d — — OK
Décision V4
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:02
Coin Market Regime V2

—
BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4537
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 32.8%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 66.1%
1h 5.1%
4h 30.5%
24h 55.9%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 50.9% +0.07%
4h 32.2% -0.66%
24h 40.7% +0.15%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.185
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.8078
Score SMA
0.6064
Rank
#3 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5838
Rank Norm SMA
0.6619
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6159 r1h: -2.387% · r4h: 1.641% · r1d: 6.30% · r3d: 11.50% · ema21_slope: 0.1972% · dist_ema21: 4.038%
Force Relative 25% 0.6463 rs_1h: -1.547% · rs_4h: 2.053% · rs_1d: 6.14% · rs_3d: 10.94% · beta_24h: 1.316
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.56× · zscore_50: 6.115 · trend: 285.91%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7448 ADX: 29.4 (trend) · Chop: 17.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.003% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.8300
Score SMA
0.6640
Rank
#2 / 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8228
Rank Norm SMA
0.7022
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6856 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.641% · r1d: 6.30% · r3d: 11.50% · ema21_slope: -0.0312% · dist_ema21: 5.277%
Force Relative 25% 0.7298 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.053% · rs_1d: 6.14% · rs_3d: 10.94% · beta_24h: 2.399
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 5.51× · zscore_50: 4.778 · trend: 146.43%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6802 ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 38.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.8725 ATR%: 3.383% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.908% (0.0022)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.038% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.038% 0.6R -0.291% 0.1R 10.4× 24
4h +5.783% 1.2R -0.291% 0.1R 19.9× 48
6h ★ +6.838% 1.4R -0.291% 0.1R 23.5× 72
8h +18.763% 3.8R -0.291% 0.1R 64.5× 96
12h +23.913% 4.9R -0.291% 0.1R 82.2× 144
24h +24.952% 5.1R -0.291% 0.1R 85.8× 288
48h +24.952% 5.1R -0.291% 0.1R 85.8× 576
72h +24.952% 5.1R -0.291% 0.1R 85.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 979 min MAE in 109 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.56
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04281528
  2. tp_price: 0.04615677
  3. atr: 0.00088629
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T14:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.7049
  4. delta_2h: 0
  5. extension_atr: 1.43
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5838
  9. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 04:15 0.04503100 +0.002%
2 05:15 0.04533800 +0.684%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04503 0.04282 0.04616 0.51 0.04703
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04503
  • Stop Loss: 0.04282
  • Take Profit: 0.04616

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04282 - 0.04503 = -0.00221

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04503 - 0.04616 = -0.00113

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00113 / -0.00221 = 0.5113

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
162.5873 100 3610.5645 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00221

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00221 = -3619.91

Taille de position USD = -3619.91 x 0.04503 = -163

Donc, tu peux acheter -3619.91 avec un stoploss a 0.04282

Avec un position size USD de -163$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3619.91 x -0.00221 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3619.91 x -0.00113 = 4.09

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.09$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -3619.91
  • Taille de position USD -163
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.09
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5113

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 4.08 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.91 % 7.98 $
PNL PNL %
4.08 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04503 0.04282 0.04616 0.51 0.04703
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04503
  • Stop Loss: 0.04282
  • Take Profit: 0.04616

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04282 - 0.04503 = -0.00221

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04503 - 0.04616 = -0.00113

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00113 / -0.00221 = 0.5113

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.908% (0.0022)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.038% 0.6R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +3.038% 0.6R -0.291% 0.1R 10.4× 24
4h +5.783% 1.2R -0.291% 0.1R 19.9× 48
6h ★ +6.838% 1.4R -0.291% 0.1R 23.5× 72
8h +18.763% 3.8R -0.291% 0.1R 64.5× 96
12h +23.913% 4.9R -0.291% 0.1R 82.2× 144
24h +24.952% 5.1R -0.291% 0.1R 85.8× 288
48h +24.952% 5.1R -0.291% 0.1R 85.8× 576
72h +24.952% 5.1R -0.291% 0.1R 85.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 979 min MAE in 109 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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