Long Trade on STRK

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01 Oct 2026 at 04:15:07 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STRK (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4139.63 STRK at 0.044$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04513 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.0421 (4.38 %)

STRK LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 04:15 → 10:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04403$

Qty 4139.6297 STRK

Size 182.2679$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04513 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.55$

SL 0.0421 (-4.38%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.57

Status loss PnL -4.38% / -7.99$ MAE -5.16% MFE +0.07% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 10:15

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169238)

#6 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8731

Quality Score

0.672

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

2.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:01

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169238)

#6 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8731

Quality Score

0.672

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#6 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.38 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#6 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

94 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.38 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.42×ATR
4h	near	-0.55×ATR
1d	clear	1.36×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↑ up	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

2.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 03:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 03:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4537

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 32.8%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	66.1%
1h	5.1%
4h	30.5%
24h	55.9%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.9%	+0.07%
4h	32.2%	-0.66%
24h	40.7%	+0.15%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.185

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.6343

Score SMA

0.5953

Rank

#28 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.6400

Rank Norm SMA

0.3732

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8795	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.03% · r3d: 2.35% · ema21_slope: 1.7016% · dist_ema21: 13.304%
Force Relative	25%	0.7764	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 3.05% · rs_3d: 3.33% · beta_24h: 2.517
Volume	20%	0.2591	rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.052 · trend: -3.05%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8302	ADX: 39.6 (trend) · Chop: 32.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.165% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.6717

Score SMA

0.5384

Rank

#6 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8731

Rank Norm SMA

0.4843

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6428	r1h: -0.452% · r4h: 0.250% · r1d: 6.14% · r3d: 12.23% · ema21_slope: 0.1865% · dist_ema21: 2.021%
Force Relative	25%	0.7021	rs_1h: 0.389% · rs_4h: 0.662% · rs_1d: 5.99% · rs_3d: 11.67% · beta_24h: 1.123
Volume	20%	0.7218	rvol_20: 2.19× · zscore_50: 1.631 · trend: 57.46%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5672	ADX: 18.9 (weak) · Chop: 49.4 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.836% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.6427

Score SMA

0.4925

Rank

#8 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.8820

Rank Norm SMA

0.3286

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7702	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.250% · r1d: 6.14% · r3d: 12.23% · ema21_slope: 0.2578% · dist_ema21: 4.344%
Force Relative	25%	0.7713	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.662% · rs_1d: 5.99% · rs_3d: 11.67% · beta_24h: 2.089
Volume	20%	0.4628	rvol_20: 1.58× · zscore_50: 0.627 · trend: -14.07%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5104	ADX: 21.1 (weak) · Chop: 58.7 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.7369	ATR%: 3.789% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.383% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.703%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.068%	0.0R	-2.453%	0.6R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.068%	0.0R	-2.771%	0.6R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.068%	0.0R	-5.156%	1.2R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.068%	0.0R	-5.587%	1.3R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.068%	0.0R	-6.632%	1.5R	0.0×	144
24h	+2.476%	0.6R	-6.632%	1.5R	0.4×	288
48h	+2.476%	0.6R	-7.677%	1.8R	0.3×	576
72h	+28.617%	6.5R	-7.677%	1.8R	3.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 1254 min MAE in 679 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.04

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.57	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	near -0.6ATR	0.41	bull_high	+1.21%	+0.51	01/10 00:00
1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	near -1.4ATR	0.32	range_medium	-0.47%	+0.47	01/10 03:00
15m	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early	near -0.3ATR	—	0.53	range_low	-0.47%	-0.06	01/10 03:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187665	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.824	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	early 10b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.48	89%	↑ +0.72	above_value	+2.57	—	#101595	0.57	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:23
4h #190897	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.589	normal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 4b 1.1ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	1.58	83%	↔ +0.02	above_value	+3.60	—	#102992	0.41	bull_high	+1.21%	+0.51	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:14
1h anchor #190896	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.664	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 40%	late 17b 1.1ATR	—	near -1.4ATR	2.19	93%	↔ +0.03	above_value	+3.60	—	#102992	0.32	range_medium	-0.47%	+0.47	01/10 03:00 upd 01/10 04:14
15m #190782	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.694	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early 2b 0.2ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	2.46	96%	↓ -0.38	above_value	+4.03	—	#102836	0.53	range_low	-0.47%	-0.06	01/10 03:45 upd 01/10 04:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	10b	—	1.98×ATR	p0	+0.924×ATR	p44
4h	↑ up	mid	4b	—	1.815×ATR	p0	+1.07×ATR	p64
1h	↑ up	late	17b	—	3.746×ATR	p86	+1.116×ATR	p68
15m	↓ down	early	2b	—	2.171×ATR	p29	+0.241×ATR	p18

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.04209746
tp_price: 0.04513075
atr: 0.00077302
expires_at: 2026-10-01T14:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 6
total: 78
score: 0.6821
delta_2h: 0.0033
extension_atr: 0.95
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8715
confidence: 0.935

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04403	0.0421	0.04513	0.57	0.04652

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04403
Stop Loss: 0.0421
Take Profit: 0.04513

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0421 - 0.04403 = -0.00193
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04403 - 0.04513 = -0.0011
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0011 / -0.00193 = 0.5699

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
182.2679	100	4139.6297	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00193

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00193 = -4145.08

Taille de position USD = -4145.08 x 0.04403 = -182.51

Donc, tu peux acheter -4145.08 avec un stoploss a 0.0421

Avec un position size USD de -182.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -4145.08 x -0.00193 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -4145.08 x -0.0011 = 4.56

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.56$

Résumé

Taille de position -4145.08
Taille de position USD -182.51
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.56
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5699

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	4.55 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.38 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-7.99 $	-4.38

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.6105 %	105.18 %	2

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.04403	0.0421	0.04513	0.57	0.04652

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.04403
Stop Loss: 0.0421
Take Profit: 0.04513

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.0421 - 0.04403 = -0.00193
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.04403 - 0.04513 = -0.0011
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0011 / -0.00193 = 0.5699

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.04513
            [entry_price] => 0.04403
            [stop_loss] => 0.041907
            [rr_ratio] => 0.52
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 14:10:00+00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.383% (0.0019)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.703%	0.4R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.068%	0.0R	-2.453%	0.6R	0.0×	24
4h	+0.068%	0.0R	-2.771%	0.6R	0.0×	48
6h ★	+0.068%	0.0R	-5.156%	1.2R	0.0×	72
8h	+0.068%	0.0R	-5.587%	1.3R	0.0×	96
12h	+0.068%	0.0R	-6.632%	1.5R	0.0×	144
24h	+2.476%	0.6R	-6.632%	1.5R	0.4×	288
48h	+2.476%	0.6R	-7.677%	1.8R	0.3×	576
72h	+28.617%	6.5R	-7.677%	1.8R	3.7×	864

⏱ MFE in 1254 min MAE in 679 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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