Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 582.3 MET at 0.303$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2952 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3165 (4.52 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 04:15:07
hyperliquid
MET
SHORT
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 04:15
→ 06:00
· 1 hour
Position
Entry 0.3028$
Qty 582.2971 MET
Size 176.3138$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.2952 (+2.51%)
TP $ 4.43$
SL 0.3165 (-4.52%)
SL $ 7.98$
RR 0.55
Status
win
PnL
+2.51%
/ +4.43$
MAE -0.40%
MFE +2.62%
0.6R
expires
01 Oct 10:15
V2 Shadow Analysis
Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?
Quality Rank (id: 169268)
#46 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00
score du 01/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1872
Quality Score
0.460
score brut du coin
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : score ≥ 1
Décision V2
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:02
01/10 04:02
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 169268)
#46 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00
score du 01/10/2026 04:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.1872
Quality Score
0.460
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#46 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#46 / 78
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-7
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.52 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | 2.20×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.54×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:02
01/10 04:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 30/09 20:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4537
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
32.8%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 66.1% |
| 1h | 5.1% |
| 4h | 30.5% |
| 24h | 55.9% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 50.9% | +0.07% |
| 4h | 32.2% | -0.66% |
| 24h | 40.7% | +0.15% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.185
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 04:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4947
Score SMA
0.6448
Rank
#68
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1067
Rank Norm SMA
0.5466
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6501 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.93% · r3d: -16.96% · ema21_slope: 3.2380% · dist_ema21: 8.635% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4203 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.91% · rs_3d: -15.98% · beta_24h: 1.945 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2416 | rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.315 · trend: -3.10% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9754 | ADX: 57.0 (trend) · Chop: 26.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 11.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.4598
Score SMA
0.5119
Rank
#46
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1872
Rank Norm SMA
0.3997
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.1984 | r1h: -2.576% · r4h: -3.819% · r1d: -4.56% · r3d: -7.09% · ema21_slope: -0.1633% · dist_ema21: -3.736% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2340 | rs_1h: -1.735% · rs_4h: -3.407% · rs_1d: -4.71% · rs_3d: -7.65% · beta_24h: 1.402 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7636 | rvol_20: 3.09× · zscore_50: 1.176 · trend: 13.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5692 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 46.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.809% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
Score brut
0.3614
Score SMA
0.5165
Rank
#77
/ 78
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0197
Rank Norm SMA
0.3850
Calculé le
01/10/2026 04:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3322 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.819% · r1d: -4.56% · r3d: -7.09% · ema21_slope: -0.3186% · dist_ema21: -5.758% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.2323 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.407% · rs_1d: -4.71% · rs_3d: -7.65% · beta_24h: 3.357 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2139 | rvol_20: 0.71× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: -41.99% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3930 | ADX: 16.3 (weak) · Chop: 68.3 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.4034 | ATR%: 4.790% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.524%
(0.0137)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.558% | 0.1R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.616% | 0.6R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 6.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.616% | 0.6R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 6.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.616% | 0.6R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 6.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.101% | 0.7R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 7.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.101% | 0.7R | -0.829% | 0.2R | 3.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.101% | 0.7R | -8.534% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.906% | 1.5R | -8.534% | 1.9R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.906% | 1.5R | -8.534% | 1.9R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 414 min
MAE in 1234 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.48 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.35 | bull_high | +1.65% | -0.91 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 1h | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 15m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187756
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.820 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 7b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.45 | 75% | ↔ +0.00 | below_value | -2.62 | — | #101625 | 0.48 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
|
|
4h
#189355
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.522 | compression | bull_high |
50%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 6b -0.6ATR | — | — | 0.77 | 62% | ↓ -0.50 | value | -2.84 | — | #102324 | 0.35 | bull_high | +1.65% | -0.91 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 00:19
|
| 1h anchor | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 15m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.672×ATR | p0 | +0.612×ATR | p38 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.732×ATR | p0 | -0.631×ATR | p40 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.31652869
- tp_price: 0.29522025
- atr: 0.00549548
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T14:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 77
- total: 78
- score: 0.2567
- delta_2h: -0.2
- extension_atr: -2.57
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1872
- confidence: 0.987
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:15 | 0.30279000 | -0.003% |
| 2 | 05:15 | 0.30241000 | -0.129% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3028 | 0.3165 | 0.2952 | 0.55 | 0.316 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3028
- Stop Loss: 0.3165
- Take Profit: 0.2952
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3165 - 0.3028 = 0.0137
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3028 - 0.2952 = 0.0076
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0076 / 0.0137 = 0.5547
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 176.3138 | 100 | 582.2971 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.0137
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0137 = 583.94
Taille de position USD = 583.94 x 0.3028 = 176.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 583.94 avec un stoploss a 0.3165
Avec un position size USD de 176.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 583.94 x 0.0137 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 583.94 x 0.0076 = 4.44
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.44$
Résumé
- Taille de position 583.94
- Taille de position USD 176.82
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.44
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5547
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 4.43 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.52 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.43 $ | 2.51 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4029 % | 8.91 % | 8 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3028 | 0.3165 | 0.2952 | 0.55 | 0.316 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3028
- Stop Loss: 0.3165
- Take Profit: 0.2952
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3165 - 0.3028 = 0.0137
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3028 - 0.2952 = 0.0076
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0076 / 0.0137 = 0.5547
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.524%
(0.0137)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.558% | 0.1R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 1.4× | 12 |
| 2h | +2.616% | 0.6R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 6.5× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.616% | 0.6R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 6.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +2.616% | 0.6R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 6.5× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.101% | 0.7R | -0.403% | 0.1R | 7.7× | 96 |
| 12h | +3.101% | 0.7R | -0.829% | 0.2R | 3.7× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.101% | 0.7R | -8.534% | 1.9R | 0.4× | 288 |
| 48h | +6.906% | 1.5R | -8.534% | 1.9R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.906% | 1.5R | -8.534% | 1.9R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 414 min
MAE in 1234 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 5 days ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.