Short Trade on FIL

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01 Oct 2026 at 04:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on FIL (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 219.53 FIL at 1.024$ per unit. Take profit: 0.9984 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 1.0604 (3.55 %)

FIL SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 04:15 → 10:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 1.024$

Qty 219.534 FIL

Size 224.8028$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.9984 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.62$

SL 1.0604 (-3.55%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.7

Status win PnL +2.29% / +5.16$ MAE -0.62% MFE +2.33% 0.7R expires 01 Oct 10:15 Exit time_expired

V2 Shadow Analysis

Ce trade aurait-il passé les filtres v2 (quality rank + confidence + régime) ?

Quality Rank (id: 169231)

#78 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1745

Quality Score

0.378

score brut du coin

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Regime Score

0 BLOCKED

seuil : score ≥ 1

Décision V2

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:00

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169231)

#78 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 04:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1745

Quality Score

0.378

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#78 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.55 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#78 / 78 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

3.55 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.71×ATR
4h	clear	1.18×ATR
1d	clear	3.32×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.1M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 04:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 00:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 03:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 00:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 03:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4537

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 32.8%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	66.1%
1h	5.1%
4h	30.5%
24h	55.9%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	50.9%	+0.07%
4h	32.2%	-0.66%
24h	40.7%	+0.15%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.185

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 04:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5379

Score SMA

0.6251

Rank

#51 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3333

Rank Norm SMA

0.4864

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.7458	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.48% · r3d: -8.61% · ema21_slope: 1.5380% · dist_ema21: 7.361%
Force Relative	25%	0.6199	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.47% · rs_3d: -7.62% · beta_24h: 1.526
Volume	20%	0.2273	rvol_20: 0.32× · zscore_50: -0.405 · trend: -9.26%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7581	ADX: 31.2 (trend) · Chop: 38.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.085% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.3781

Score SMA

0.5615

Rank

#78 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1745

Rank Norm SMA

0.5465

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2678	r1h: -2.542% · r4h: -3.251% · r1d: -3.48% · r3d: -3.88% · ema21_slope: -0.0754% · dist_ema21: -2.426%
Force Relative	25%	0.2876	rs_1h: -1.701% · rs_4h: -2.839% · rs_1d: -3.64% · rs_3d: -4.44% · beta_24h: 1.142
Volume	20%	0.2590	rvol_20: 0.93× · zscore_50: -0.231 · trend: -45.35%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.3900	ADX: 10.7 (weak) · Chop: 62.8 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.493% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 04:00

Score brut

0.4545

Score SMA

0.5763

Rank

#59 / 78

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2949

Rank Norm SMA

0.5449

Calculé le

01/10/2026 04:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4384	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.251% · r1d: -3.48% · r3d: -3.88% · ema21_slope: -0.0860% · dist_ema21: -3.322%
Force Relative	25%	0.3865	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.839% · rs_1d: -3.64% · rs_3d: -4.44% · beta_24h: 1.813
Volume	20%	0.1352	rvol_20: 0.36× · zscore_50: -0.972 · trend: -63.12%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4216	ADX: 16.6 (weak) · Chop: 65.0 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.7613	ATR%: 3.716% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.555% (0.0364)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.186%	0.1R	-0.615%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+1.602%	0.5R	-0.615%	0.2R	2.6×	24
4h	+1.602%	0.5R	-0.615%	0.2R	2.6×	48
6h ★	+2.334%	0.7R	-0.615%	0.2R	3.8×	72
8h	+3.172%	0.9R	-0.615%	0.2R	5.2×	96
12h	+3.172%	0.9R	-0.615%	0.2R	5.2×	144
24h	+3.172%	0.9R	-2.070%	0.6R	1.5×	288
48h	+6.493%	1.8R	-4.180%	1.2R	1.6×	576
72h	+6.493%	1.8R	-5.752%	1.6R	1.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 394 min MAE in 1234 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 days ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 4.34

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 44%	early	—	—	0.61	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.97	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 41%	early	—	—	0.38	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.74	01/10 00:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	late	near -0.7ATR	—	0.38	range_medium	-0.47%	-0.40	01/10 03:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.59	range_low	-0.47%	-0.26	01/10 03:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187636	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.609	volatile_reversal	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 44%	early 7b 0.7ATR	—	—	0.32	80%	↔ +0.08	above_value	+0.52	—	#101588	0.61	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.97	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:22
4h #190883	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.591	compression	bull_high	52%	noisy_chop 41%	early 10b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.36	25%	↓ -0.57	value	-0.60	—	#102985	0.38	bull_high	+1.21%	-0.74	01/10 00:00 upd 01/10 04:14
1h anchor #190882	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.497	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 41%	late 6b -2.0ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.93	44%	↓ -0.61	value	-0.60	—	#102985	0.38	range_medium	-0.47%	-0.40	01/10 03:00 upd 01/10 04:14
15m #190775	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.416	expansion_after_compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 44%	late 16b -3.1ATR	—	—	0.20	7%	↑ +0.19	above_value	+1.25	—	#102829	0.59	range_low	-0.47%	-0.26	01/10 03:45 upd 01/10 04:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	early	7b	—	1.499×ATR	p0	+0.664×ATR	p48
4h	↓ down	early	10b	—	2.4×ATR	p28	-0.978×ATR	p52
1h	↓ down	late	6b	—	2.636×ATR	p56	-2.017×ATR	p89
15m	↓ down	late	16b	—	5.443×ATR	p100	-3.141×ATR	p99

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 1.06044083
tp_price: 0.9984
atr: 0.01457633
expires_at: 2026-10-01T14:15:07+00:00

Details

rank: 76
total: 78
score: 0.32
delta_2h: -0.1444
extension_atr: -1.55
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1729
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.024	1.0604	0.9984	0.7	0.9015

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.024
Stop Loss: 1.0604
Take Profit: 0.9984

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.0604 - 1.024 = 0.0364
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.024 - 0.9984 = 0.0256
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0256 / 0.0364 = 0.7033

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
224.8028	100	219.534	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0364

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0364 = 219.78

Taille de position USD = 219.78 x 1.024 = 225.05

Donc, tu peux acheter 219.78 avec un stoploss a 1.0604

Avec un position size USD de 225.05$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 219.78 x 0.0364 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 219.78 x 0.0256 = 5.63

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.63$

Résumé

Taille de position 219.78
Taille de position USD 225.05
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 5.63
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7033

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	5.62 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
3.55 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
5.16 $	2.29

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6152 %	17.31 %	11

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
1.024	1.0604	0.9984	0.7	0.9015

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 1.024
Stop Loss: 1.0604
Take Profit: 0.9984

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 1.0604 - 1.024 = 0.0364
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 1.024 - 0.9984 = 0.0256
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0256 / 0.0364 = 0.7033

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.555% (0.0364)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.186%	0.1R	-0.615%	0.2R	0.3×	12
2h	+1.602%	0.5R	-0.615%	0.2R	2.6×	24
4h	+1.602%	0.5R	-0.615%	0.2R	2.6×	48
6h ★	+2.334%	0.7R	-0.615%	0.2R	3.8×	72
8h	+3.172%	0.9R	-0.615%	0.2R	5.2×	96
12h	+3.172%	0.9R	-0.615%	0.2R	5.2×	144
24h	+3.172%	0.9R	-2.070%	0.6R	1.5×	288
48h	+6.493%	1.8R	-4.180%	1.2R	1.6×	576
72h	+6.493%	1.8R	-5.752%	1.6R	1.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 394 min MAE in 1234 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 5 days ago

Commentaires

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