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Long Trade on STX

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01 Oct 2026 at 10:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 286.39 STX at 0.372$ per unit. Take profit: 0.3816 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3444 (7.49 %)

STX LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 10:15 → 10:35 · 19 minutes

Position

Entry 0.3723$

Qty 286.3933 STX

Size 106.63$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.3816 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.66$

SL 0.3444 (-7.49%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.33

Status win PnL +2.50% / +2.66$ MAE -0.38% MFE +4.92% 0.7R expires 01 Oct 16:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169835)
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9706

Quality Score
0.670
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.49 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#5 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
96 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.49 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 3.15×ATR
4h clear 1.33×ATR
1d near -0.26×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late OK
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up late BLOCKED
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
6.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 10:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 09:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4561
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.1%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 14.8%
1h 39.3%
4h 31.2%
24h 18.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.9% -0.21%
4h 31.2% -0.35%
24h 29.5% -2.73%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.152
Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8612
Score SMA
0.6657
Rank
#1 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6746
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9717 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 1.5913% · dist_ema21: 21.227%
Force Relative 25% 0.9615 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 1.565
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.29× · zscore_50: 3.569 · trend: 109.40%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8622 ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 10:00
Score brut
0.6702
Score SMA
0.5793
Rank
#5 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9706
Rank Norm SMA
0.5540
Calculé le
01/10/2026 10:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6765 r1h: -0.245% · r4h: -3.651% · r1d: 13.94% · r3d: 17.19% · ema21_slope: 0.5850% · dist_ema21: -0.111%
Force Relative 25% 0.6481 rs_1h: -0.510% · rs_4h: -3.873% · rs_1d: 14.76% · rs_3d: 16.82% · beta_24h: -0.710
Volume 20% 0.6247 rvol_20: 1.60× · zscore_50: 1.686 · trend: 51.87%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9489 ADX: 59.1 (trend) · Chop: 43.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9562 ATR%: 3.131% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.7046
Score SMA
0.6256
Rank
#4 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9803
Rank Norm SMA
0.5771
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7504 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -5.444% · r1d: 17.78% · r3d: 19.45% · ema21_slope: 0.5317% · dist_ema21: 9.624%
Force Relative 25% 0.7500 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.029% · rs_1d: 17.79% · rs_3d: 18.47% · beta_24h: 1.589
Volume 20% 0.6154 rvol_20: 1.49× · zscore_50: 0.847 · trend: 196.07%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7561 ADX: 30.7 (trend) · Chop: 16.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.5549 ATR%: 4.335% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.494% (0.0279)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.876% 0.5R -0.376% 0.1R 10.3× 12
2h +4.915% 0.7R -0.376% 0.1R 13.1× 24
4h +4.915% 0.7R -0.376% 0.1R 13.1× 48
6h ★ +4.915% 0.7R -0.376% 0.1R 13.1× 72
8h +4.915% 0.7R -0.376% 0.1R 13.1× 96
12h +4.915% 0.7R -0.886% 0.1R 5.6× 144
24h +4.915% 0.7R -2.426% 0.3R 2.0× 288
48h +4.915% 0.7R -5.721% 0.8R 0.9× 576
72h +6.984% 0.9R -5.721% 0.8R 1.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 1304 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 6.26
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 49% late — near -0.3ATR 0.63 bull_high +12.59% +0.99 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 47% mid — — 0.37 bull_high +1.77% +0.89 01/10 04:00
1h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 39% late — — 0.33 range_medium +0.18% +0.36 01/10 09:00
15m ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind compression range_high
36%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.9ATR — 0.30 range_low +0.16% -0.45 01/10 09:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187556
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.554 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
66%
noisy_chop 49% late 14b 2.0ATR — near -0.3ATR 4.29 100% ↑ +0.62 above_value +5.97 — #101571 0.63 bull_high +12.59% +0.99
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:19
4h
#192509
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.685 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
62%
noisy_chop 47% mid 1b 2.0ATR — — 1.49 98% ↑ +0.87 above_value +5.23 — #103678 0.37 bull_high +1.77% +0.89
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:13
1h anchor
#193353
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.659 expansion bull_high
65%
noisy_chop 39% late 7b 0.0ATR — — 1.60 99% ↓ -0.41 value +5.17 — #104070 0.33 range_medium +0.18% +0.36
01/10 09:00
upd 01/10 10:10
15m
#193200
 ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.589 compression range_high
36%
noisy_chop 45% late 27b -1.7ATR near -0.9ATR — 0.08 29% ↓ -0.19 above_value +5.22 — #103914 0.30 range_low +0.16% -0.45
01/10 09:30
upd 01/10 09:45
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up late 14b — 4.895×ATR p62 +1.959×ATR p82
4h ↓ down mid 1b — 2.495×ATR p28 +2.019×ATR p78
1h ↓ down late 7b — 3.786×ATR p83 -0.03×ATR p2
15m ↓ down late 27b — 8.937×ATR p100 -1.71×ATR p68

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.34438639
  2. tp_price: 0.381628
  3. atr: 0.01117345
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T20:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 4
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.6716
  4. delta_2h: 0.0294
  5. extension_atr: -0.32
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.969
  9. confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3723 0.3444 0.3816 0.33 0.3017
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3723
  • Stop Loss: 0.3444
  • Take Profit: 0.3816

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3444 - 0.3723 = -0.0279

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3723 - 0.3816 = -0.0093

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0093 / -0.0279 = 0.3333

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
106.63 100 286.3933 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0279

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0279 = -286.74

Taille de position USD = -286.74 x 0.3723 = -106.75

Donc, tu peux acheter -286.74 avec un stoploss a 0.3444

Avec un position size USD de -106.75$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -286.74 x -0.0279 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -286.74 x -0.0093 = 2.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -286.74
  • Taille de position USD -106.75
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 2.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3333

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 2.66 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
7.49 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
2.66 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.376 % 5.02 % 1
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.3723 0.3444 0.3816 0.33 0.3017
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.3723
  • Stop Loss: 0.3444
  • Take Profit: 0.3816

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.3444 - 0.3723 = -0.0279

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.3723 - 0.3816 = -0.0093

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0093 / -0.0279 = 0.3333

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.494% (0.0279)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.876% 0.5R -0.376% 0.1R 10.3× 12
2h +4.915% 0.7R -0.376% 0.1R 13.1× 24
4h +4.915% 0.7R -0.376% 0.1R 13.1× 48
6h ★ +4.915% 0.7R -0.376% 0.1R 13.1× 72
8h +4.915% 0.7R -0.376% 0.1R 13.1× 96
12h +4.915% 0.7R -0.886% 0.1R 5.6× 144
24h +4.915% 0.7R -2.426% 0.3R 2.0× 288
48h +4.915% 0.7R -5.721% 0.8R 0.9× 576
72h +6.984% 0.9R -5.721% 0.8R 1.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 104 min MAE in 1304 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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