Short Trade on 2Z

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01 Oct 2026 at 10:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2916.17 2Z at 0.0579$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05642 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06061 (4.73 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 10:15 → 12:10 · 1 hour

Position

Entry 0.05787$

Qty 2916.1746 2Z

Size 168.7619$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05642 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.23$

SL 0.06061 (-4.73%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.53

Status win PnL +2.51% / +4.23$ MAE -0.00% MFE +6.87% 1.5R expires 01 Oct 16:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 169887)

#77 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 10:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1826

Quality Score

0.338

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#77 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-1

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.73 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#77 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-3 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.73 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-1.42×ATR
4h	clear	0.51×ATR
1d	clear	1.88×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	mid	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

3.5M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 10:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : range_high (0) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 09:00 Score : -1 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 09:00

Score : -1 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4561

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 25.1%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	14.8%
1h	39.3%
4h	31.2%
24h	18.0%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	45.9%	-0.21%
4h	31.2%	-0.35%
24h	29.5%	-2.73%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.152

Universe : 61 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 10:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5520

Score SMA

0.6841

Rank

#46 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4000

Rank Norm SMA

0.6512

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6375	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative	25%	0.4319	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume	20%	0.6983	rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7538	ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 10:00

Score brut

0.3379

Score SMA

0.5669

Rank

#77 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1826

Rank Norm SMA

0.5518

Calculé le

01/10/2026 10:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.1903	r1h: -1.677% · r4h: -2.198% · r1d: -10.08% · r3d: -11.53% · ema21_slope: -0.2959% · dist_ema21: -3.231%
Force Relative	25%	0.1539	rs_1h: -1.942% · rs_4h: -2.420% · rs_1d: -9.25% · rs_3d: -11.90% · beta_24h: 0.721
Volume	20%	0.3339	rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.344 · trend: -8.94%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5935	ADX: 35.1 (trend) · Chop: 62.8 (range)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.994% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 08:00

Score brut

0.4703

Score SMA

0.6372

Rank

#46 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.4117

Rank Norm SMA

0.6945

Calculé le

01/10/2026 08:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.4737	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.887% · r1d: -6.87% · r3d: -8.04% · ema21_slope: -0.3401% · dist_ema21: -5.968%
Force Relative	25%	0.4248	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.302% · rs_1d: -6.87% · rs_3d: -9.01% · beta_24h: 2.548
Volume	20%	0.3920	rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: -0.056 · trend: 43.18%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6638	ADX: 25.3 (trend) · Chop: 44.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.4400	ATR%: 4.680% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.735% (0.0027)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.158%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+2.808%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+6.869%	1.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+6.869%	1.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+6.869%	1.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+6.869%	1.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144
24h	+6.869%	1.5R	-3.681%	0.8R	1.9×	288
48h	+23.364%	4.9R	-3.681%	0.8R	6.4×	576
72h	+23.364%	4.9R	-3.681%	0.8R	6.4×	864

⏱ MFE in 144 min MAE in 1019 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.58

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early	—	—	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00
4h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 40%	mid	—	—	0.33	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.68	01/10 04:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	near -1.4ATR	—	0.32	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.66	01/10 09:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	late	near 0.2ATR	—	0.42	range_low	+0.19%	-0.19	01/10 09:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187747	↑ up	range	range	strong	explosive	0.802	volatile_reversal	range_high	43%	noisy_chop 43%	early 4b 0.4ATR	—	—	1.84	98%	↑ +0.95	below_value	-6.90	—	#101622	0.55	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.94	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #192643	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.548	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 13b -1.5ATR	—	—	0.95	92%	↔ +0.14	below_value	-7.81	—	#103731	0.33	bull_high	+1.77%	-0.68	01/10 04:00 upd 01/10 08:20
1h anchor #193406	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.486	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 4b -1.8ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	0.85	78%	↓ -0.50	value	-1.21	—	#104123	0.32	range_medium	+0.18%	-0.66	01/10 09:00 upd 01/10 10:12
15m #193328	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.593	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 42%	late 9b -1.9ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.20	22%	↑ +0.44	above_value	+0.01	—	#103966	0.42	range_low	+0.19%	-0.19	01/10 09:45 upd 01/10 10:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	4b	—	3.454×ATR	p35	+0.443×ATR	p30
4h	↓ down	mid	13b	—	3.89×ATR	p50	-1.506×ATR	p75
1h	↓ down	mid	4b	—	2.048×ATR	p22	-1.756×ATR	p79
15m	↓ down	late	9b	—	4.416×ATR	p81	-1.906×ATR	p78

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.06061432
tp_price: 0.05642422
atr: 0.00109733
expires_at: 2026-10-01T20:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 78
total: 78
score: 0.175
delta_2h: -0.1688
extension_atr: -1.32
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.181
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05787	0.06061	0.05642	0.53	0.02864

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05787
Stop Loss: 0.06061
Take Profit: 0.05642

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06061 - 0.05787 = 0.00274
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05787 - 0.05642 = 0.00145
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00145 / 0.00274 = 0.5292

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
168.7619	100	2916.1746	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.00274

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00274 = 2919.71

Taille de position USD = 2919.71 x 0.05787 = 168.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 2919.71 avec un stoploss a 0.06061

Avec un position size USD de 168.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2919.71 x 0.00274 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2919.71 x 0.00145 = 4.23

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.23$

Résumé

Taille de position 2919.71
Taille de position USD 168.96
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.23
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5292

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	4.23 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.73 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
4.23 $	2.51

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
0 %	0 %	0

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.05787	0.06061	0.05642	0.53	0.02864

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.05787
Stop Loss: 0.06061
Take Profit: 0.05642

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.06061 - 0.05787 = 0.00274
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.05787 - 0.05642 = 0.00145
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00145 / 0.00274 = 0.5292

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.735% (0.0027)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+2.158%	0.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+2.808%	0.6R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+6.869%	1.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+6.869%	1.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	72
8h	+6.869%	1.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	96
12h	+6.869%	1.5R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	144
24h	+6.869%	1.5R	-3.681%	0.8R	1.9×	288
48h	+23.364%	4.9R	-3.681%	0.8R	6.4×	576
72h	+23.364%	4.9R	-3.681%	0.8R	6.4×	864

⏱ MFE in 144 min MAE in 1019 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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