Short Trade on EIGEN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 1140.77 EIGEN at 0.24$ per unit. Take profit: 0.223 (7.28 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2475 (2.91 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 11:19:52
hyperliquid
EIGEN
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 11:19
→ 13:45
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.2405$
Qty 1140.7663 EIGEN
Size 274.3543$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.223 (+7.28%)
TP $ 19.96$
SL 0.2475 (-2.91%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-2.91%
/ -7.99$
MAE -5.07%
MFE +0.00%
0.0R
expires
01 Oct 23:19
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 169942)
#63 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 11:00
score du 01/10/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3656
Quality Score
0.440
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#63 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#63 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
87 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.02×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.61×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.33×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.9M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 11:16
01/10 11:16
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 10:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4566
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.7%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 45.8% |
| 1h | 50.9% |
| 4h | 11.9% |
| 24h | 23.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.8% | -0.10% |
| 4h | 6.8% | -2.04% |
| 24h | 23.7% | -2.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.206
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 11:16
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5321
Score SMA
0.6190
Rank
#52
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3200
Rank Norm SMA
0.4760
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6748 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.19% · r3d: -11.24% · ema21_slope: 1.2783% · dist_ema21: 3.484% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5010 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.18% · rs_3d: -10.26% · beta_24h: 1.352 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4784 | rvol_20: 1.20× · zscore_50: 0.834 · trend: 32.86% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7251 | ADX: 29.8 (trend) · Chop: 41.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.266% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4396
Score SMA
0.5392
Rank
#63
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3656
Rank Norm SMA
0.4908
Calculé le
01/10/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3465 | r1h: -1.356% · r4h: -1.719% · r1d: -2.48% · r3d: -3.38% · ema21_slope: -0.0712% · dist_ema21: -2.312% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3282 | rs_1h: -1.462% · rs_4h: -1.828% · rs_1d: -2.75% · rs_3d: -4.60% · beta_24h: 1.861 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2285 | rvol_20: 0.26× · zscore_50: -0.634 · trend: 3.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4580 | ADX: 12.5 (weak) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.897% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.5160
Score SMA
0.5470
Rank
#30
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4066
Rank Norm SMA
0.4394
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3762 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.937% · r1d: -2.88% · r3d: -5.41% · ema21_slope: -0.2643% · dist_ema21: -3.383% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3990 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.522% · rs_1d: -2.87% · rs_3d: -6.38% · beta_24h: 3.017 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8959 | rvol_20: 3.22× · zscore_50: 2.420 · trend: 50.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4275 | ADX: 13.7 (weak) · Chop: 61.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6011 | ATR%: 4.197% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.911%
(0.0070)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.622% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.037% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.657% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.657% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.073% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -11.227% | 3.9R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.913% | 0.7R | -11.227% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.913% | 0.7R | -11.227% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.913% | 0.7R | -11.227% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1675 min
MAE in 1355 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.58 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.45 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | near -0.6ATR | — | 0.52 | bull_high | +1.77% | -0.63 | 01/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.53 | range_medium | +0.28% | -0.20 | 01/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.67 | range_low | +0.31% | -0.13 | 01/10 11:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187683
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.576 | expansion | bull_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 14b 0.3ATR | — | — | 1.20 | 83% | ↑ +0.66 | value | -0.98 | — | #101601 | 0.58 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.45 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:24
|
|
4h
#192576
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.538 | compression | range_high |
33%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 12b -0.9ATR | near -0.6ATR | — | 3.22 | 99% | ↑ +0.32 | above_value | -1.58 | — | #103709 | 0.52 | bull_high | +1.77% | -0.63 |
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:16
|
|
1h
anchor #193772
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.548 | compression | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 36% | late 3b -1.4ATR | near 0.0ATR | — | 0.26 | 24% | ↑ +0.30 | above_value | -2.27 | — | #104256 | 0.53 | range_medium | +0.28% | -0.20 |
01/10 10:00
upd 01/10 11:10
|
|
15m
#193851
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.511 | expansion | bear_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 5b -1.3ATR | — | — | 0.14 | 43% | ↓ -0.71 | above_value | -2.27 | — | #104256 | 0.67 | range_low | +0.31% | -0.13 |
01/10 11:00
upd 01/10 11:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.739×ATR | p11 | +0.32×ATR | p23 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 12b | — | 2.685×ATR | p42 | -0.868×ATR | p54 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 3b | — | 1.691×ATR | p11 | -1.398×ATR | p84 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 5b | — | 2.274×ATR | p33 | -1.339×ATR | p73 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.8687
- reason: down_bo width=2.84×ATR dur=62b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.24751283
- tp_price: 0.22296792
- atr:
- score: 0.86867249729159
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T03:19:44.737596
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.86867249729159
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.036
- obi_top10 : 0.2223
- micro_price : 0.24338269
- spread_pct : 0.123355
- mid_price : 0.24335
- bid_wall_price : 0.237
- bid_wall_size : 386122
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.248
- ask_wall_size : 309343.8
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0392
- obi_top5_std : 0.006
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6985
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.2533
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.24085
- balance_zone_mid:
0.247075
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790647200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790866800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.8436
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
62
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: stretched
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8687
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790863200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.24085
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7258
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0799
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
10
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
8
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.00437832 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
62
inside_close_ratio
0.7258
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0799
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:19 | 0.24050000 | 0% |
| 2 | 11:31 | 0.24050000 | 0% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6985ms
Confidence avant OB :
87%
→
87%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.036
avg 0.039
± 0.006
OBI Top 10
0.222
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.2434
Micro Price
0.2434
Spread
0.1234%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.2370
Size
386,122.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.2480
Size
309,343.80
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2405 | 0.2475 | 0.223 | 2.5 | 0.1856 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2405
- Stop Loss: 0.2475
- Take Profit: 0.223
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2475 - 0.2405 = 0.007
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2405 - 0.223 = 0.0175
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0175 / 0.007 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 274.3543 | 100 | 1140.7663 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.007
Taille de position = 8 / 0.007 = 1142.86
Taille de position USD = 1142.86 x 0.2405 = 274.86
Donc, tu peux acheter 1142.86 avec un stoploss a 0.2475
Avec un position size USD de 274.86$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1142.86 x 0.007 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1142.86 x 0.0175 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1142.86
- Taille de position USD 274.86
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.28 % | 19.96 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.91 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.99 $ | -2.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.9106 % | 100 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2405 | 0.2475 | 0.223 | 2.5 | 0.1856 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.2405
- Stop Loss: 0.2475
- Take Profit: 0.223
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2475 - 0.2405 = 0.007
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2405 - 0.223 = 0.0175
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0175 / 0.007 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.223
[entry_price] => 0.2405
[stop_loss] => 0.2482
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.223
[entry_price] => 0.2405
[stop_loss] => 0.2489
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.223
[entry_price] => 0.2405
[stop_loss] => 0.2496
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:35:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.223
[entry_price] => 0.2405
[stop_loss] => 0.251
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-01 19:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.911%
(0.0070)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.622% | 0.6R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -2.037% | 0.7R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.657% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.657% | 1.6R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -5.073% | 1.7R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -11.227% | 3.9R | 0.0× | 288 |
| 36h | +1.913% | 0.7R | -11.227% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +1.913% | 0.7R | -11.227% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.913% | 0.7R | -11.227% | 3.9R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1675 min
MAE in 1355 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
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