Short Trade on FARTCOIN (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 998.84 FARTCOIN at 0.172$ per unit. Take profit: 0.1517 (11.7 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1798 (4.66 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 11:44:33
hyperliquid
FARTCOIN
SHORT
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 11:44
→ 23:40
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.1718$
Qty 998.8438 FARTCOIN
Size 171.5714$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.1517 (+11.7%)
TP $ 20.08$
SL 0.1798 (-4.66%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 2.51
Status
loss
PnL
-3.57%
/ -6.12$
MAE -4.59%
MFE +0.57%
0.1R
expires
01 Oct 23:44
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 169950)
#59 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 11:00
score du 01/10/2026 11:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4424
Quality Score
0.454
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-2
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#59 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-4
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.66 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.07×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.59×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.25×ATR |
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 11:31
01/10 11:31
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : range_high (0) 01/10 04:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 10:00 Score : -2 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4567
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
-2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
10.7%
Macro
alt_capitulation
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 42.4% |
| 1h | 50.9% |
| 4h | 11.9% |
| 24h | 23.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 52.5% | -0.09% |
| 4h | 6.8% | -2.04% |
| 24h | 23.7% | -2.27% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.206
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 11:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4139
Score SMA
0.4960
Rank
#74
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0267
Rank Norm SMA
0.1274
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5687 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.45% · r3d: -9.14% · ema21_slope: 1.1291% · dist_ema21: 1.293% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3714 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.44% · rs_3d: -8.15% · beta_24h: 2.374 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2443 | rvol_20: 0.64× · zscore_50: -0.563 · trend: -5.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6774 | ADX: 24.0 (weak) · Chop: 41.0 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 10.470% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 11:00
Score brut
0.4541
Score SMA
0.5029
Rank
#59
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4424
Rank Norm SMA
0.3444
Calculé le
01/10/2026 11:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.3722 | r1h: -1.926% · r4h: -1.792% · r1d: -2.75% · r3d: 2.97% · ema21_slope: -0.0655% · dist_ema21: -2.547% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3524 | rs_1h: -2.032% · rs_4h: -1.900% · rs_1d: -3.03% · rs_3d: 1.74% · beta_24h: 1.792 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3883 | rvol_20: 1.38× · zscore_50: -0.149 · trend: -7.01% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5113 | ADX: 20.2 (weak) · Chop: 57.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.914% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
Score brut
0.4227
Score SMA
0.4684
Rank
#63
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1960
Rank Norm SMA
0.2065
Calculé le
01/10/2026 08:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4474 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.300% · r1d: -2.47% · r3d: 3.28% · ema21_slope: -0.0855% · dist_ema21: -1.401% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4424 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.886% · rs_1d: -2.47% · rs_3d: 2.31% · beta_24h: 3.018 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2505 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: -0.232 · trend: -41.97% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4333 | ADX: 16.2 (weak) · Chop: 63.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6282 | ATR%: 4.115% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.657%
(0.0080)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.180% | 0.0R | -1.525% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.570% | 0.1R | -3.469% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.570% | 0.1R | -3.527% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.570% | 0.1R | -4.505% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.570% | 0.1R | -4.587% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.570% | 0.1R | -11.700% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.293% | 0.5R | -11.700% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.293% | 0.5R | -11.700% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.293% | 0.5R | -11.700% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1620 min
MAE in 1270 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.65 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.92 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early | — | — | 0.59 | bull_high | +1.77% | -0.46 | 01/10 04:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid | — | — | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.28% | -0.39 | 01/10 10:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | near 0.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | 0.73 | range_low | +0.31% | -0.09 | 01/10 11:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187704
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.635 | expansion | bull_high |
65%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 7b 0.1ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.64 | 38% | ↑ +0.56 | value | -1.74 | — | #101608 | 0.65 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.92 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:25
|
|
4h
#192600
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.396 | compression | range_high |
34%
|
noisy_chop 33% | early 14b -0.4ATR | — | — | 0.85 | 62% | ↓ -0.64 | below_value | -6.41 | — | #103717 | 0.59 | bull_high | +1.77% | -0.46 |
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:18
|
|
1h
anchor #193780
|
↓ down | range | range | weak | fading | 0.663 | normal | bear_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 31% | mid 7b -1.5ATR | — | — | 1.38 | 54% | ↑ +0.45 | below_value | -2.40 | — | #104264 | 0.55 | range_medium | +0.28% | -0.39 |
01/10 10:00
upd 01/10 11:11
|
|
15m
#193939
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.407 | expansion | bear_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 1b -0.8ATR | near 0.2ATR | near 0.4ATR | 1.17 | 68% | ↑ +0.54 | below_value | -2.40 | — | #104264 | 0.73 | range_low | +0.31% | -0.09 |
01/10 11:15
upd 01/10 11:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.25×ATR | p0 | +0.11×ATR | p7 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 2.141×ATR | p4 | -0.361×ATR | p25 |
| 1h | ↓ down | mid | 7b | — | 2.547×ATR | p63 | -1.478×ATR | p78 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 1b | — | 1.353×ATR | p3 | -0.842×ATR | p67 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - SELL
Indicators:
- long_trend: -1
- confidence: 0.893
- reason: down_bo width=2.98×ATR dur=51b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.17977926
- tp_price: 0.15174685
- atr:
- score: 0.89296157867214
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T03:44:25.332287
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.89296157867214
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1313
- obi_top10 : 0.1896
- micro_price : 0.170935
- spread_pct : 0.052665
- mid_price : 0.170935
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.172
- ask_wall_size : 2357808.06
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1386
- obi_top5_std : 0.0087
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6973
- aggregation_tick : 0.001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.18436
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.17454
- balance_zone_mid:
0.17945
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790686800
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790866800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9824
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
51
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.893
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: down
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790863200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.17454
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.9412
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.8413
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bear_high
- atr_entry : 0.0032926 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
51
inside_close_ratio
0.9412
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.8413
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11:44 | 0.17177000 | -0.017% |
| 2 | 11:56 | 0.17177000 | -0.017% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6973ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.131
avg 0.139
± 0.009
OBI Top 10
0.190
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.1709
Micro Price
0.1709
Spread
0.0527%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.1720
Size
2,357,808.06
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1718 | 0.1798 | 0.1517 | 2.51 | 0.119 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1718
- Stop Loss: 0.1798
- Take Profit: 0.1517
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1798 - 0.1718 = 0.008
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1718 - 0.1517 = 0.0201
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0201 / 0.008 = 2.5125
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171.5714 | 100 | 998.8438 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss 0.008
Taille de position = 8 / 0.008 = 1000
Taille de position USD = 1000 x 0.1718 = 171.8
Donc, tu peux acheter 1000 avec un stoploss a 0.1798
Avec un position size USD de 171.8$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1000 x 0.008 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1000 x 0.0201 = 20.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position 1000
- Taille de position USD 171.8
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5125
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 11.7 % | 20.08 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.66 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.12 $ | -3.57 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -4.5867 % | 98.5 % | 4 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.1718 | 0.1798 | 0.1517 | 2.51 | 0.119 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.1718
- Stop Loss: 0.1798
- Take Profit: 0.1517
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.1798 - 0.1718 = 0.008
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.1718 - 0.1517 = 0.0201
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0201 / 0.008 = 2.5125
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -4.657%
(0.0080)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.180% | 0.0R | -1.525% | 0.3R | 0.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.570% | 0.1R | -3.469% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.570% | 0.1R | -3.527% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.570% | 0.1R | -4.505% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +0.570% | 0.1R | -4.587% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.570% | 0.1R | -11.700% | 2.5R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.293% | 0.5R | -11.700% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.293% | 0.5R | -11.700% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.293% | 0.5R | -11.700% | 2.5R | 0.2× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1620 min
MAE in 1270 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.