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Short Trade on CHIP

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01 Oct 2026 at 12:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CHIP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 4507.91 CHIP at 0.0417$ per unit. Take profit: 0.04064 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04346 (4.27 %)

CHIP SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 12:15 → 18:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.04168$

Qty 4507.9057 CHIP

Size 187.903$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.04064 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.69$

SL 0.04346 (-4.27%)

SL $ 8.02$

RR 0.58

Status loss PnL -2.38% / -4.47$ MAE -3.81% MFE +0.35% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 18:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170051)
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 12:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0804

Quality Score
0.383
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.27 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#75 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
95 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.27 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.70×ATR
4h near -0.89×ATR
1d clear 2.46×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 12:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 04:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 10:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4569
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 11.7%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 76.7%
1h 40.0%
4h 10.0%
24h 20.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 76.7% +0.21%
4h 10.0% -1.97%
24h 25.0% -2.34%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.205
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 12:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4160
Score SMA
0.4970
Rank
#73 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0400
Rank Norm SMA
0.1583
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6122 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.72% · r3d: -7.18% · ema21_slope: 0.3920% · dist_ema21: -3.299%
Force Relative 25% 0.4710 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -1.71% · rs_3d: -6.20% · beta_24h: 2.694
Volume 20% 0.1933 rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.716 · trend: -37.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5065 ADX: 23.8 (weak) · Chop: 62.0 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.949% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3832
Score SMA
0.5259
Rank
#75 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0804
Rank Norm SMA
0.4195
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3166 r1h: 0.624% · r4h: -2.331% · r1d: -6.86% · r3d: -4.66% · ema21_slope: -0.1719% · dist_ema21: -2.940%
Force Relative 25% 0.3338 rs_1h: 0.498% · rs_4h: -2.628% · rs_1d: -6.86% · rs_3d: -5.57% · beta_24h: 1.736
Volume 20% 0.1873 rvol_20: 0.31× · zscore_50: -0.640 · trend: -27.51%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6249 ADX: 21.9 (weak) · Chop: 45.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.788% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3041
Score SMA
0.4665
Rank
#74 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0329
Rank Norm SMA
0.2197
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2567 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.331% · r1d: -6.86% · r3d: -4.66% · ema21_slope: -0.2678% · dist_ema21: -5.547%
Force Relative 25% 0.2770 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.628% · rs_1d: -6.86% · rs_3d: -5.57% · beta_24h: 2.565
Volume 20% 0.2611 rvol_20: 0.95× · zscore_50: -0.426 · trend: -37.44%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4267 ADX: 10.7 (weak) · Chop: 58.3 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.6155 ATR%: 4.153% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.271% (0.0018)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.348% 0.1R -1.380% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.348% 0.1R -3.673% 0.9R 0.1× 24
4h +0.348% 0.1R -3.815% 0.9R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.348% 0.1R -3.815% 0.9R 0.1× 72
8h +0.348% 0.1R -3.815% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.348% 0.1R -4.427% 1.0R 0.1× 144
24h +0.348% 0.1R -10.161% 2.4R 0.0× 288
48h +0.348% 0.1R -10.161% 2.4R 0.0× 576
72h +0.348% 0.1R -13.702% 3.2R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 1274 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.14
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 37% early — — — bull_high +12.59% -0.90 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 34% early near -0.9ATR — 0.37 bull_high +1.77% -0.55 01/10 04:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 41% late near -0.7ATR — 0.40 range_medium +0.28% -0.46 01/10 10:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% early near 0.3ATR near -0.6ATR 0.66 range_low +0.39% -0.24 01/10 11:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187777
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.654 compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 37% early 14b -0.3ATR — — 0.65 57% ↓ -0.19 below_value -6.64 — #101632 — bull_high +12.59% -0.90
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:27
4h
#192676
 ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.520 compression bear_high
52%
noisy_chop 34% early 5b -1.0ATR near -0.9ATR — 0.60 10% ↔ +0.03 below_value -9.07 — #103742 0.37 bull_high +1.77% -0.55
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:22
1h anchor
#193805
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.534 compression bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 41% late 8b -2.4ATR near -0.7ATR — 0.60 34% ↑ +0.23 below_value -9.88 — #104289 0.40 range_medium +0.28% -0.46
01/10 10:00
upd 01/10 11:12
15m
#194116
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.639 expansion_after_compression bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 43% early 3b -0.8ATR near 0.3ATR near -0.6ATR 0.36 39% ↓ -0.16 below_value -9.88 — #104289 0.66 range_low +0.39% -0.24
01/10 11:45
upd 01/10 12:05
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 1.456×ATR p0 -0.265×ATR p13
4h ↓ down early 5b — 2.342×ATR p9 -1.037×ATR p57
1h ↓ down late 8b — 3.965×ATR p79 -2.406×ATR p96
15m ↑ up early 3b — 1.45×ATR p0 -0.808×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.04345766
  2. tp_price: 0.04064092
  3. atr: 0.00070986
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T22:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 73
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.2727
  4. delta_2h: -0.0191
  5. extension_atr: -1.46
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.0772
  9. confidence: 0.947

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04168 0.04346 0.04064 0.58 0.04397
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04168
  • Stop Loss: 0.04346
  • Take Profit: 0.04064

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04346 - 0.04168 = 0.00178

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04168 - 0.04064 = 0.00104

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00104 / 0.00178 = 0.5843

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
187.903 100 4507.9057 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00178

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00178 = 4494.38

Taille de position USD = 4494.38 x 0.04168 = 187.33

Donc, tu peux acheter 4494.38 avec un stoploss a 0.04346

Avec un position size USD de 187.33$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4494.38 x 0.00178 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4494.38 x 0.00104 = 4.67

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.67$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4494.38
  • Taille de position USD 187.33
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.67
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5843

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.69 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.27 % 8.02 $
PNL PNL %
-4.47 $ -2.38
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.8148 % 89.33 % 4
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.04168 0.04346 0.04064 0.58 0.04397
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.04168
  • Stop Loss: 0.04346
  • Take Profit: 0.04064

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04346 - 0.04168 = 0.00178

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.04168 - 0.04064 = 0.00104

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00104 / 0.00178 = 0.5843

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.271% (0.0018)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.348% 0.1R -1.380% 0.3R 0.3× 12
2h +0.348% 0.1R -3.673% 0.9R 0.1× 24
4h +0.348% 0.1R -3.815% 0.9R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.348% 0.1R -3.815% 0.9R 0.1× 72
8h +0.348% 0.1R -3.815% 0.9R 0.1× 96
12h +0.348% 0.1R -4.427% 1.0R 0.1× 144
24h +0.348% 0.1R -10.161% 2.4R 0.0× 288
48h +0.348% 0.1R -10.161% 2.4R 0.0× 576
72h +0.348% 0.1R -13.702% 3.2R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 24 min MAE in 1274 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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