Long Trade on STX (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 293.43 STX at 0.383$ per unit. Take profit: 0.393 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3561 (7.12 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 13:15:05
hyperliquid
STX
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 13:15
→ 19:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.3834$
Qty 293.4286 STX
Size 112.4947$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.393 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.82$
SL 0.3561 (-7.12%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.35
Status
loss
PnL
-2.59%
/ -2.91$
MAE -3.15%
MFE +1.35%
0.2R
expires
01 Oct 19:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170143)
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 13:00
score du 01/10/2026 13:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9673
Quality Score
0.707
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#2 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.44×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.73×ATR |
| 1d | near | -0.26×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
7.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 13:00
01/10 13:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 12:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4573
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
27.2%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 46.7% |
| 1h | 81.7% |
| 4h | 43.3% |
| 24h | 20.0% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 45.0% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 10.0% | -0.05% |
| 24h | 20.0% | -2.30% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.134
Universe :
60
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 13:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8612
Score SMA
0.6657
Rank
#1
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
1.0000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6746
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9717 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 17.10% · r3d: 9.40% · ema21_slope: 1.5913% · dist_ema21: 21.227% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9615 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 17.12% · rs_3d: 10.38% · beta_24h: 1.565 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.29× · zscore_50: 3.569 · trend: 109.40% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8622 | ADX: 43.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.860% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.7067
Score SMA
0.5841
Rank
#2
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9673
Rank Norm SMA
0.5607
Calculé le
01/10/2026 13:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8371 | r1h: -1.167% · r4h: 2.075% · r1d: 9.75% · r3d: 20.73% · ema21_slope: 0.4197% · dist_ema21: 1.589% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7303 | rs_1h: -1.220% · rs_4h: 1.523% · rs_1d: 9.95% · rs_3d: 20.17% · beta_24h: 0.526 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2041 | rvol_20: 0.19× · zscore_50: -0.488 · trend: -22.53% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8856 | ADX: 54.9 (trend) · Chop: 47.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9930 | ATR%: 3.021% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8153
Score SMA
0.6330
Rank
#2
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9737
Rank Norm SMA
0.5848
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8673 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.573% · r1d: 12.94% · r3d: 22.54% · ema21_slope: 0.6534% · dist_ema21: 11.187% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9224 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.276% · rs_1d: 12.93% · rs_3d: 21.63% · beta_24h: 1.515 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7562 | rvol_20: 2.07× · zscore_50: 1.563 · trend: 170.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7681 | ADX: 32.2 (trend) · Chop: 18.8 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5806 | ATR%: 4.258% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.121%
(0.0273)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.874% | 0.1R | -0.960% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -1.714% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -2.747% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.349% | 0.2R | -3.153% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -3.339% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -3.756% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -5.845% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.078% | 0.4R | -8.451% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.907% | 1.0R | -8.451% | 1.2R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 89 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.87
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.63 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.99 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +2.03% | +0.95 | 01/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.33 | range_medium | +0.44% | +0.52 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | — | 0.29 | range_low | +0.42% | +0.10 | 01/10 12:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187556
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.554 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
66%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 14b 2.0ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 4.29 | 100% | ↑ +0.62 | above_value | +5.97 | — | #101571 | 0.63 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.99 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:19
|
|
4h
#194147
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.691 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 2b 2.3ATR | — | — | 2.07 | 99% | ↑ +0.91 | above_value | +5.96 | — | #104381 | 0.37 | bull_high | +2.03% | +0.95 |
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:13
|
|
1h
anchor #194596
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.693 | expansion | bull_high |
67%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 2b 0.5ATR | — | — | 0.19 | 73% | ↓ -0.39 | above_value | +5.65 | — | #104612 | 0.33 | range_medium | +0.44% | +0.52 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 13:09
|
|
15m
#194522
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.551 | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 3b 0.3ATR | — | — | 0.11 | 41% | ↓ -0.68 | above_value | +5.96 | — | #104381 | 0.29 | range_low | +0.42% | +0.10 |
01/10 12:45
upd 01/10 13:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.895×ATR | p62 | +1.959×ATR | p82 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 2b | — | 1.887×ATR | p0 | +2.305×ATR | p84 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 2b | — | 1.109×ATR | p2 | +0.459×ATR | p21 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 3b | — | 1.392×ATR | p0 | +0.289×ATR | p9 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.35611613
- tp_price: 0.3929645
- atr: 0.01090555
- expires_at: 2026-10-01T23:15:05+00:00
Details
- rank: 2
- total: 77
- score: 0.8371
- delta_2h: 0.0373
- extension_atr: 0.41
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9673
- confidence: 0.987
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3834 | 0.3561 | 0.393 | 0.35 | 0.3009 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3834
- Stop Loss: 0.3561
- Take Profit: 0.393
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3561 - 0.3834 = -0.0273
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3834 - 0.393 = -0.0096
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0273 = 0.3516
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 112.4947 | 100 | 293.4286 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0273
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0273 = -293.04
Taille de position USD = -293.04 x 0.3834 = -112.35
Donc, tu peux acheter -293.04 avec un stoploss a 0.3561
Avec un position size USD de -112.35$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -293.04 x -0.0273 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -293.04 x -0.0096 = 2.81
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.81$
Résumé
- Taille de position -293.04
- Taille de position USD -112.35
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.81
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3516
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.82 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.12 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -2.91 $ | -2.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.8534 % | 40.07 % | 6 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3834 | 0.3561 | 0.393 | 0.35 | 0.3009 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.3834
- Stop Loss: 0.3561
- Take Profit: 0.393
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3561 - 0.3834 = -0.0273
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3834 - 0.393 = -0.0096
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.0096 / -0.0273 = 0.3516
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.121%
(0.0273)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.874% | 0.1R | -0.960% | 0.1R | 0.9× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -1.714% | 0.2R | 0.8× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -2.747% | 0.4R | 0.5× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +1.349% | 0.2R | -3.153% | 0.4R | 0.4× | 72 |
| 8h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -3.339% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -3.756% | 0.5R | 0.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.349% | 0.2R | -5.845% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +3.078% | 0.4R | -8.451% | 1.2R | 0.4× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.907% | 1.0R | -8.451% | 1.2R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 89 min
MAE in 1439 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.