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Short Trade on 2Z

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01 Oct 2026 at 13:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2605.52 2Z at 0.0555$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05409 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05855 (5.53 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 13:15 → 19:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.05548$

Qty 2605.5152 2Z

Size 144.554$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05409 (+2.51%)

TP $ 3.62$

SL 0.05855 (-5.53%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.45

Status loss PnL -1.09% / -1.58$ MAE -3.25% MFE +1.61% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170195)
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1555

Quality Score
0.335
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.53 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.54×ATR
4h near -0.39×ATR
1d clear 1.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.6M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 13:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 12:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4573
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 27.2%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 46.7%
1h 81.7%
4h 43.3%
24h 20.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.0% -0.01%
4h 10.0% -0.05%
24h 20.0% -2.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.134
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5520
Score SMA
0.6841
Rank
#46 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6512
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6375 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative 25% 0.4319 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume 20% 0.6983 rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7538 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.3348
Score SMA
0.5665
Rank
#77 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1555
Rank Norm SMA
0.5518
Calculé le
01/10/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.0570 r1h: -2.528% · r4h: -5.789% · r1d: -13.08% · r3d: -16.69% · ema21_slope: -0.2939% · dist_ema21: -5.982%
Force Relative 25% 0.0175 rs_1h: -2.581% · rs_4h: -6.340% · rs_1d: -12.87% · rs_3d: -17.25% · beta_24h: 0.357
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.80× · zscore_50: 5.017 · trend: 151.58%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8012 ADX: 36.7 (trend) · Chop: 38.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.299% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3335
Score SMA
0.6299
Rank
#73 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2303
Rank Norm SMA
0.6792
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2532 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.239% · r1d: -11.36% · r3d: -14.31% · ema21_slope: -0.4346% · dist_ema21: -9.132%
Force Relative 25% 0.1699 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.536% · rs_1d: -11.37% · rs_3d: -15.22% · beta_24h: 2.326
Volume 20% 0.3881 rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.073 · trend: 28.80%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6671 ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 44.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3733 ATR%: 4.880% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.534% (0.0031)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.246% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +1.022% 0.2R -3.246% 0.6R 0.3× 24
4h +1.022% 0.2R -3.246% 0.6R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.613% 0.3R -3.246% 0.6R 0.5× 72
8h +1.613% 0.3R -3.246% 0.6R 0.5× 96
12h +1.613% 0.3R -5.615% 1.0R 0.3× 144
24h +19.613% 3.5R -8.147% 1.5R 2.4× 288
48h +20.063% 3.6R -8.147% 1.5R 2.5× 576
72h +20.063% 3.6R -8.147% 1.5R 2.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1404 min MAE in 839 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.56
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 44% late near -0.4ATR — 0.35 bull_high +2.03% -0.84 01/10 08:00
1h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 40% late near -0.5ATR — 0.31 range_medium +0.44% -0.62 01/10 12:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
50%
choppy 45% late near 0.4ATR — 0.38 range_low +0.42% -0.62 01/10 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187747
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.802 volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early 4b 0.4ATR — — 1.84 98% ↑ +0.95 below_value -6.90 — #101622 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#194278
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.423 compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 44% late 14b -2.4ATR near -0.4ATR — 1.05 92% ↑ +0.36 value -1.83 — #104433 0.35 bull_high +2.03% -0.84
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:18
1h anchor
#194648
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.488 expansion bear_high_confirmed
56%
noisy_chop 40% late 7b -3.0ATR near -0.5ATR — 4.80 100% ↔ -0.12 value -1.84 — #104664 0.31 range_medium +0.44% -0.62
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 13:11
15m
#194571
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.376 volatile_reversal bear_high_confirmed
50%
choppy 45% late 1b -2.6ATR near 0.4ATR — 3.11 99% ↑ +0.86 value -1.83 — #104433 0.38 range_low +0.42% -0.62
01/10 12:45
upd 01/10 13:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.454×ATR p35 +0.443×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 14b — 4.803×ATR p71 -2.35×ATR p92
1h ↓ down late 7b — 3.751×ATR p76 -3.001×ATR p97
15m ↑ up late 1b — 2×ATR p16 -2.575×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.05855041
  2. tp_price: 0.054093
  3. atr: 0.00122817
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T23:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 77
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.1565
  4. delta_2h: -0.0536
  5. extension_atr: -2.32
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1128
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05548 0.05855 0.05409 0.45 0.02649
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05548
  • Stop Loss: 0.05855
  • Take Profit: 0.05409

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05855 - 0.05548 = 0.00307

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05548 - 0.05409 = 0.00139

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00139 / 0.00307 = 0.4528

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
144.554 100 2605.5152 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00307

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00307 = 2605.86

Taille de position USD = 2605.86 x 0.05548 = 144.57

Donc, tu peux acheter 2605.86 avec un stoploss a 0.05855

Avec un position size USD de 144.57$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2605.86 x 0.00307 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2605.86 x 0.00139 = 3.62

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.62$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2605.86
  • Taille de position USD 144.57
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.62
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4528

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 3.62 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.53 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-1.58 $ -1.09
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.2462 % 58.66 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05548 0.05855 0.05409 0.45 0.02649
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05548
  • Stop Loss: 0.05855
  • Take Profit: 0.05409

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05855 - 0.05548 = 0.00307

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05548 - 0.05409 = 0.00139

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00139 / 0.00307 = 0.4528

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.534% (0.0031)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -3.246% 0.6R 0.0× 12
2h +1.022% 0.2R -3.246% 0.6R 0.3× 24
4h +1.022% 0.2R -3.246% 0.6R 0.3× 48
6h ★ +1.613% 0.3R -3.246% 0.6R 0.5× 72
8h +1.613% 0.3R -3.246% 0.6R 0.5× 96
12h +1.613% 0.3R -5.615% 1.0R 0.3× 144
24h +19.613% 3.5R -8.147% 1.5R 2.4× 288
48h +20.063% 3.6R -8.147% 1.5R 2.5× 576
72h +20.063% 3.6R -8.147% 1.5R 2.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1404 min MAE in 839 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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