01 Oct 2026 at 13:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on WLD (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 263.36 WLD at 0.491$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4791 (2.48 %) & Stop Loss: 0.5217 (6.19 %)

WLD SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 13:15 → 19:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.4913$

Qty 263.3648 WLD

Size 129.4043$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4791 (+2.48%)

TP $ 3.21$

SL 0.5217 (-6.19%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.4

Status loss PnL -1.69% / -2.19$ MAE -2.78% MFE +0.22% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170148)
#53 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.5269

Quality Score
0.463
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#53 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.19 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#53 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.19 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near -1.00×ATR
4h near -0.67×ATR
1d clear 2.80×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
42.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 13:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 12:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4573
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 27.2%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 46.7%
1h 81.7%
4h 43.3%
24h 20.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.0% -0.01%
4h 10.0% -0.05%
24h 20.0% -2.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.134
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7600
Score SMA
0.7081
Rank
#8 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9067
Rank Norm SMA
0.7125
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9180 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 10.80% · r3d: -1.77% · ema21_slope: 1.4291% · dist_ema21: 17.352%
Force Relative 25% 0.8684 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 10.82% · rs_3d: -0.79% · beta_24h: 1.487
Volume 20% 0.7586 rvol_20: 1.91× · zscore_50: 2.000 · trend: 109.37%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7719 ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 35.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.783% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4626
Score SMA
0.6093
Rank
#53 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5269
Rank Norm SMA
0.6781
Calculé le
01/10/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2706 r1h: -0.195% · r4h: -6.140% · r1d: -10.70% · r3d: -2.03% · ema21_slope: -0.2111% · dist_ema21: -5.717%
Force Relative 25% 0.2181 rs_1h: -0.248% · rs_4h: -6.692% · rs_1d: -10.49% · rs_3d: -2.59% · beta_24h: 1.745
Volume 20% 0.6093 rvol_20: 1.72× · zscore_50: 0.632 · trend: 79.47%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7004 ADX: 24.1 (weak) · Chop: 37.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.588% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4581
Score SMA
0.6121
Rank
#45 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4671
Rank Norm SMA
0.6259
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4481 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -6.395% · r1d: -8.82% · r3d: 0.18% · ema21_slope: 0.1773% · dist_ema21: -4.617%
Force Relative 25% 0.3281 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -6.692% · rs_1d: -8.83% · rs_3d: -0.73% · beta_24h: 2.577
Volume 20% 0.6675 rvol_20: 2.17× · zscore_50: 1.568 · trend: 22.41%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5877 ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 50.9 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.2001 ATR%: 5.400% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.188% (0.0304)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.919% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.919% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.216% 0.0R -2.782% 0.5R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.216% 0.0R -2.782% 0.5R 0.1× 72
8h +0.216% 0.0R -3.857% 0.6R 0.1× 96
12h +0.216% 0.0R -7.902% 1.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.216% 0.0R -19.758% 3.2R 0.0× 288
48h +0.216% 0.0R -25.958% 4.2R 0.0× 576
72h +0.216% 0.0R -25.958% 4.2R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 129 min MAE in 1224 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.04
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
68%
noisy_chop 45% mid — near 0.2ATR 0.47 bull_high +12.59% +0.97 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 36% early near -0.7ATR — 0.42 bull_high +2.03% -0.52 01/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 41% late near -1.0ATR — 0.43 range_medium +0.44% -0.76 01/10 12:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced expansion_after_compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 44% late — — 0.51 range_low +0.42% -0.62 01/10 12:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187576
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.710 expansion_after_compression bull_high_confirmed
68%
noisy_chop 45% mid 3b 1.4ATR — near 0.2ATR 1.91 92% ↑ +0.84 above_value +0.34 — #101576 0.47 bull_high +12.59% +0.97
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:20
4h
#194157
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.564 expansion_after_compression bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 36% early 6b -0.9ATR near -0.7ATR — 2.17 97% ↔ +0.03 above_value -3.75 — #104386 0.42 bull_high +2.03% -0.52
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:13
1h anchor
#194601
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.288 normal bear_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 41% late 16b -2.5ATR near -1.0ATR — 1.72 83% ↑ +0.35 above_value -0.32 — #104617 0.43 range_medium +0.44% -0.76
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 13:09
15m
#194527
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition strong balanced 0.520 expansion_after_compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 44% late 6b -1.6ATR — — 0.08 16% ↑ +0.61 above_value -3.75 — #104386 0.51 range_low +0.42% -0.62
01/10 12:45
upd 01/10 13:01
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 3b — 1.009×ATR p0 +1.354×ATR p71
4h ↓ down early 6b — 3.148×ATR p35 -0.918×ATR p43
1h ↓ down late 16b — 4.699×ATR p86 -2.517×ATR p91
15m ↓ down late 6b — 2.143×ATR p24 -1.63×ATR p82

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.52172612
  2. tp_price: 0.47906625
  3. atr: 0.01215045
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T23:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 75
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.2706
  4. delta_2h: -0.0706
  5. extension_atr: -1.89
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.5006
  9. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4913 0.5217 0.4791 0.4 0.3998
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4913
  • Stop Loss: 0.5217
  • Take Profit: 0.4791

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5217 - 0.4913 = 0.0304

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4913 - 0.4791 = 0.0122

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0122 / 0.0304 = 0.4013

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
129.4043 100 263.3648 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0304

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0304 = 263.16

Taille de position USD = 263.16 x 0.4913 = 129.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 263.16 avec un stoploss a 0.5217

Avec un position size USD de 129.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 263.16 x 0.0304 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 263.16 x 0.0122 = 3.21

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.21$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 263.16
  • Taille de position USD 129.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.21
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4013

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.48 % 3.21 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.19 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-2.19 $ -1.69
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.7824 % 44.97 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.4913 0.5217 0.4791 0.4 0.3998
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.4913
  • Stop Loss: 0.5217
  • Take Profit: 0.4791

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.5217 - 0.4913 = 0.0304

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.4913 - 0.4791 = 0.0122

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0122 / 0.0304 = 0.4013

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.188% (0.0304)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.919% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.919% 0.3R 0.0× 24
4h +0.216% 0.0R -2.782% 0.5R 0.1× 48
6h ★ +0.216% 0.0R -2.782% 0.5R 0.1× 72
8h +0.216% 0.0R -3.857% 0.6R 0.1× 96
12h +0.216% 0.0R -7.902% 1.3R 0.0× 144
24h +0.216% 0.0R -19.758% 3.2R 0.0× 288
48h +0.216% 0.0R -25.958% 4.2R 0.0× 576
72h +0.216% 0.0R -25.958% 4.2R 0.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 129 min MAE in 1224 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.