01 Oct 2026 at 13:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on TIA (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 442.79 TIA at 0.425$ per unit. Take profit: 0.4143 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.443 (4.24 %)

TIA SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 13:15 → 19:00 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.425$

Qty 442.7938 TIA

Size 188.1741$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.4143 (+2.52%)

TP $ 4.74$

SL 0.443 (-4.24%)

SL $ 7.97$

RR 0.59

Status loss PnL -0.70% / -1.32$ MAE -2.44% MFE +0.00% 0.0R expires 01 Oct 19:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170155)
#37 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 13:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1722

Quality Score
0.483
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#37 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-5 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.24 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#37 / 77 OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-5 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.24 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h near 0.42×ATR
1d clear 1.99×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h — — OK
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
954,847 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 13:00
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : range_high (0)

01/10 04:00

Score : -3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4573
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 27.2%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 46.7%
1h 81.7%
4h 43.3%
24h 20.0%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 45.0% -0.01%
4h 10.0% -0.05%
24h 20.0% -2.30%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.134
Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 13:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5066
Score SMA
0.6017
Rank
#62 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1867
Rank Norm SMA
0.5151
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6627 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.34% · r3d: -13.36% · ema21_slope: 1.6230% · dist_ema21: 2.159%
Force Relative 25% 0.4877 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.36% · rs_3d: -12.38% · beta_24h: 1.874
Volume 20% 0.3416 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.172 · trend: 5.45%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7836 ADX: 34.0 (trend) · Chop: 33.4 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.726% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 13:00
Score brut
0.4829
Score SMA
0.5298
Rank
#37 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1722
Rank Norm SMA
0.4479
Calculé le
01/10/2026 13:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2529 r1h: -1.756% · r4h: -2.824% · r1d: -6.34% · r3d: -6.29% · ema21_slope: -0.1312% · dist_ema21: -3.724%
Force Relative 25% 0.2205 rs_1h: -1.809% · rs_4h: -3.376% · rs_1d: -6.13% · rs_3d: -6.85% · beta_24h: 0.618
Volume 20% 0.7667 rvol_20: 3.13× · zscore_50: 1.058 · trend: 22.14%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6568 ADX: 19.5 (weak) · Chop: 38.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.763% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3358
Score SMA
0.5418
Rank
#72 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0526
Rank Norm SMA
0.4765
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3147 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.858% · r1d: -3.13% · r3d: -4.11% · ema21_slope: -0.3157% · dist_ema21: -4.604%
Force Relative 25% 0.3035 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.155% · rs_1d: -3.13% · rs_3d: -5.02% · beta_24h: 2.896
Volume 20% 0.2008 rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.488 · trend: -35.08%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4037 ADX: 15.6 (weak) · Chop: 66.2 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6484 ATR%: 4.055% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.235% (0.0180)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.979% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.979% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -2.442% 0.6R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -2.442% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -2.442% 0.6R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.821% 1.6R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -15.809% 3.7R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -15.809% 3.7R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -15.809% 3.7R 0.0× 864

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.63 bull_high +12.59% +0.74 29/09 20:00
4h ↓ down range range moderate grind compression range_high
33%
noisy_chop 35% early near 0.4ATR — 0.47 bull_high +1.77% -0.71 01/10 04:00
1h —
15m —
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187611
↑ up range range strong explosive 0.809 expansion bull_high
68%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b 0.2ATR — — 0.85 78% ↑ +0.38 below_value -6.99 — #101583 0.63 bull_high +12.59% +0.74
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:21
4h
#192533
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.474 compression range_high
33%
noisy_chop 35% early 11b -0.9ATR near 0.4ATR — 0.62 48% ↔ -0.10 below_value -8.08 — #103690 0.47 bull_high +1.77% -0.71
01/10 04:00
upd 01/10 08:14
1h anchor Pas de snapshot
15m Pas de snapshot
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 7b — 2.488×ATR p4 +0.212×ATR p15
4h ↓ down early 11b — 1.804×ATR p0 -0.867×ATR p42

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.4430371
  2. tp_price: 0.41434575
  3. atr: 0.00722684
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-01T23:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 76
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.2529
  4. delta_2h: -0.069
  5. extension_atr: -1.61
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1574
  9. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.425 0.443 0.4143 0.59 0.4754
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.425
  • Stop Loss: 0.443
  • Take Profit: 0.4143

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.443 - 0.425 = 0.018

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.425 - 0.4143 = 0.0107

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0107 / 0.018 = 0.5944

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
188.1741 100 442.7938 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.018

Taille de position = 8 / 0.018 = 444.44

Taille de position USD = 444.44 x 0.425 = 188.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 444.44 avec un stoploss a 0.443

Avec un position size USD de 188.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 444.44 x 0.018 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 444.44 x 0.0107 = 4.76

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.76$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 444.44
  • Taille de position USD 188.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.76
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5944

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.52 % 4.74 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.24 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
-1.32 $ -0.70
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-2.4424 % 57.67 % 0
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.425 0.443 0.4143 0.59 0.4754
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.425
  • Stop Loss: 0.443
  • Take Profit: 0.4143

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.443 - 0.425 = 0.018

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.425 - 0.4143 = 0.0107

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0107 / 0.018 = 0.5944

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.235% (0.0180)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.979% 0.5R 0.0× 12
2h +0.000% 0.0R -1.979% 0.5R 0.0× 24
4h +0.000% 0.0R -2.442% 0.6R 0.0× 48
6h ★ +0.000% 0.0R -2.442% 0.6R 0.0× 72
8h +0.000% 0.0R -2.442% 0.6R 0.0× 96
12h +0.000% 0.0R -6.821% 1.6R 0.0× 144
24h +0.000% 0.0R -15.809% 3.7R 0.0× 288
48h +0.000% 0.0R -15.809% 3.7R 0.0× 576
72h +0.000% 0.0R -15.809% 3.7R 0.0× 864

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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