Short Trade on MET

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01 Oct 2026 at 14:15:06 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_score)

With 518.22 MET at 0.303$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3182 (5.12 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:10 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.3027$

Qty 518.224 MET

Size 156.8923$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 156.87$

SL 0.3182 (-5.12%)

SL $ 8.03$

Status win PnL +0.70% / +1.09$ MAE -0.65% MFE +2.27% 0.4R expires 01 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170275)

#58 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1653

Quality Score

0.480

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#58 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.12 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#58 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.12 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.61×ATR
4h	clear	0.79×ATR
1d	clear	2.54×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 14:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 13:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 13:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4577

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 45.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	15.8%
1h	96.5%
4h	61.4%
24h	40.4%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	33.3%	-0.14%
4h	26.3%	+0.33%
24h	26.3%	-0.58%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.151

Universe : 57 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4947

Score SMA

0.6448

Rank

#68 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1067

Rank Norm SMA

0.5466

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6501	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.93% · r3d: -16.96% · ema21_slope: 3.2380% · dist_ema21: 8.635%
Force Relative	25%	0.4203	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.91% · rs_3d: -15.98% · beta_24h: 1.945
Volume	20%	0.2416	rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.315 · trend: -3.10%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9754	ADX: 57.0 (trend) · Chop: 26.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 14:00

Score brut

0.4795

Score SMA

0.5037

Rank

#58 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1653

Rank Norm SMA

0.3589

Calculé le

01/10/2026 14:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3571	r1h: 2.716% · r4h: 1.990% · r1d: -8.13% · r3d: -7.66% · ema21_slope: -0.3625% · dist_ema21: -0.988%
Force Relative	25%	0.4083	rs_1h: 1.883% · rs_4h: 0.869% · rs_1d: -9.15% · rs_3d: -8.86% · beta_24h: 2.199
Volume	20%	0.6697	rvol_20: 2.18× · zscore_50: 1.596 · trend: 20.76%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7817	ADX: 35.8 (trend) · Chop: 40.3 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.781% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.3015

Score SMA

0.5019

Rank

#75 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0395

Rank Norm SMA

0.3451

Calculé le

01/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3207	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.075% · r1d: -8.99% · r3d: -8.20% · ema21_slope: -0.3575% · dist_ema21: -7.324%
Force Relative	25%	0.1970	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.371% · rs_1d: -8.99% · rs_3d: -9.11% · beta_24h: 3.145
Volume	20%	0.1908	rvol_20: 0.34× · zscore_50: -0.578 · trend: -28.01%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5012	ADX: 17.6 (weak) · Chop: 56.1 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4271	ATR%: 4.719% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.121% (0.0155)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.305%	0.3R	-0.344%	0.1R	3.8×	12
2h	+2.273%	0.4R	-0.648%	0.1R	3.5×	24
3h ★	+2.273%	0.4R	-0.648%	0.1R	3.5×	36
4h	+2.273%	0.4R	-0.648%	0.1R	3.5×	48
8h	+2.273%	0.4R	-1.467%	0.3R	1.6×	96
12h	+2.273%	0.4R	-8.570%	1.7R	0.3×	144
24h	+2.273%	0.4R	-8.570%	1.7R	0.3×	288
48h	+6.875%	1.3R	-8.570%	1.7R	0.8×	576
72h	+6.875%	1.3R	-8.570%	1.7R	0.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 79 min MAE in 634 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 3.6

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 35%	late	—	—	0.34	bull_high	+2.03%	-0.83	01/10 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.49	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.25%	-0.62	01/10 13:00
15m	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 45%	mid	—	—	0.60	bull_low_confirmed	+1.16%	+0.03	01/10 13:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187756	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.820	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.45	75%	↔ +0.00	below_value	-2.62	—	#101625	0.48	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #194287	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.506	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 35%	late 9b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.34	29%	↓ -0.38	below_value	-4.84	—	#104436	0.34	bull_high	+2.03%	-0.83	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 12:19
1h anchor #195041	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.387	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 38%	early 2b -0.6ATR	—	—	2.18	84%	↔ +0.04	below_value	-3.76	—	#104823	0.49	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.25%	-0.62	01/10 13:00 upd 01/10 14:13
15m #194963	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.612	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 4b 1.4ATR	—	—	3.03	92%	↑ +0.72	below_value	-4.48	—	#104667	0.60	bull_low_confirmed	+1.16%	+0.03	01/10 13:45 upd 01/10 14:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.672×ATR	p0	+0.612×ATR	p38
4h	↓ down	late	9b	—	3.362×ATR	p33	-1.912×ATR	p81
1h	↑ up	early	2b	—	1.842×ATR	p19	-0.592×ATR	p33
15m	↑ up	mid	4b	—	3.216×ATR	p62	+1.378×ATR	p62

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.31818734
atr: 0.00514578
expires_at: 2026-10-01T21:15:06+00:00

Details

rank: 75
total: 77
score: 0.3355
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3027	0.3182			0.2882

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3027
Stop Loss: 0.3182
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3182 - 0.3027 = 0.0155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3027 - = 0.3027
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3027 / 0.0155 = 19.529

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
156.8923	100	518.224	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0155

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0155 = 516.13

Taille de position USD = 516.13 x 0.3027 = 156.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 516.13 avec un stoploss a 0.3182

Avec un position size USD de 156.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 516.13 x 0.0155 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 516.13 x 0.3027 = 156.23

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 156.23$

Résumé

Taille de position 516.13
Taille de position USD 156.23
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 156.23
Risk-Reward Ratio 19.529

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
100 %	156.87 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.12 %	8.03 $

PNL	PNL %
1.09 $	0.70

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.6475 %	12.65 %	9

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.3027	0.3182			0.2882

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.3027
Stop Loss: 0.3182
Take Profit:

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3182 - 0.3027 = 0.0155
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.3027 - = 0.3027
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3027 / 0.0155 = 19.529

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.121% (0.0155)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.305%	0.3R	-0.344%	0.1R	3.8×	12
2h	+2.273%	0.4R	-0.648%	0.1R	3.5×	24
3h ★	+2.273%	0.4R	-0.648%	0.1R	3.5×	36
4h	+2.273%	0.4R	-0.648%	0.1R	3.5×	48
8h	+2.273%	0.4R	-1.467%	0.3R	1.6×	96
12h	+2.273%	0.4R	-8.570%	1.7R	0.3×	144
24h	+2.273%	0.4R	-8.570%	1.7R	0.3×	288
48h	+6.875%	1.3R	-8.570%	1.7R	0.8×	576
72h	+6.875%	1.3R	-8.570%	1.7R	0.8×	864

⏱ MFE in 79 min MAE in 634 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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