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Long Trade on MEGA

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01 Oct 2026 at 14:15:06 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_score)

With 1515.21 MEGA at 0.0541$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04881 (9.76 %)

MEGA LONG momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 14:15 → 17:00 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.05409$

Qty 1515.2089 MEGA

Size 81.9592$ (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 81.96$

SL 0.04881 (-9.76%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -5.50% / -4.51$ MAE -6.40% MFE +3.16% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 17:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170276)
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 14:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9869

Quality Score
0.920
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#1 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+2 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.76 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear —
4h clear —
1d clear 1.48×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
3.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 14:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 13:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4577
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 45.6%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 15.8%
1h 96.5%
4h 61.4%
24h 40.4%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.3% -0.14%
4h 26.3% +0.33%
24h 26.3% -0.58%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.151
Universe : 57 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 14:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.9203
Score SMA
0.6187
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9869
Rank Norm SMA
0.6789
Calculé le
01/10/2026 14:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.9748 r1h: 1.193% · r4h: 12.473% · r1d: 26.37% · r3d: 26.68% · ema21_slope: 0.7356% · dist_ema21: 14.090%
Force Relative 25% 0.8900 rs_1h: 0.360% · rs_4h: 11.352% · rs_1d: 25.34% · rs_3d: 25.47% · beta_24h: 0.775
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.59× · zscore_50: 4.479 · trend: 321.91%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.9260 ADX: 51.1 (trend) · Chop: 10.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.9520 ATR%: 3.144% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.8788
Score SMA
0.6749
Rank
#1 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9934
Rank Norm SMA
0.7374
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8541 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 9.453% · r1d: 18.33% · r3d: 21.87% · ema21_slope: 0.1837% · dist_ema21: 15.399%
Force Relative 25% 0.9501 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 9.157% · rs_1d: 18.32% · rs_3d: 20.96% · beta_24h: 2.701
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 6.42× · zscore_50: 5.489 · trend: 235.26%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7197 ADX: 26.4 (trend) · Chop: 25.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.7708 ATR%: 3.688% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.762% (0.0053)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.158% 0.3R -1.091% 0.1R 2.9× 12
2h +3.158% 0.3R -6.225% 0.6R 0.5× 24
3h ★ +3.158% 0.3R -6.397% 0.7R 0.5× 36
4h +3.158% 0.3R -6.397% 0.7R 0.5× 48
8h +4.023% 0.4R -8.138% 0.8R 0.5× 96
12h +4.023% 0.4R -8.138% 0.8R 0.5× 144
24h +4.023% 0.4R -12.751% 1.3R 0.3× 288
48h +4.023% 0.4R -16.558% 1.7R 0.2× 576
72h +4.023% 0.4R -16.558% 1.7R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 379 min MAE in 1064 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -60
ML Pullback Score: 0.73
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% early — — 0.37 bull_high +12.59% +0.37 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 51% late — — 0.45 bull_high +2.03% +0.97 01/10 08:00
1h ↑ up range bullish_transition moderate fading volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 53% late — — 0.43 bull_medium_confirmed +1.25% +0.98 01/10 13:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 48% mid — — 0.33 bull_low_confirmed +1.38% +0.79 01/10 13:30
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#192710
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.700 expansion_after_compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 42% early 7b 0.0ATR — — 0.43 37% ↔ +0.11 above_value +1.63 — #103735 0.37 bull_high +12.59% +0.37
29/09 20:00
upd 01/10 08:24
4h
#194290
 ↑ up range range strong fading 0.365 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 51% late 4b 3.7ATR — — 6.42 98% ↑ +0.75 above_value +3.34 inside #104437 0.45 bull_high +2.03% +0.97
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:20
1h anchor
#195042
 ↑ up range bullish_transition moderate fading 0.357 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
56%
choppy 53% late 3b 3.3ATR — — 4.59 100% ↑ +0.90 above_value +4.35 — #104824 0.43 bull_medium_confirmed +1.25% +0.98
01/10 13:00
upd 01/10 14:13
15m
#194886
 ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.715 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 48% mid 2b 2.1ATR — — 0.75 94% ↑ +0.86 above_value +4.01 — #104668 0.33 bull_low_confirmed +1.38% +0.79
01/10 13:30
upd 01/10 13:48
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 7b — 2.105×ATR p0 +0.035×ATR p3
4h ↑ up late 4b — 5.036×ATR p90 +3.745×ATR p100
1h ↑ up late 3b — 4.337×ATR p87 +3.327×ATR p99
15m ↓ down mid 2b — 1.151×ATR p3 +2.091×ATR p75

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.0488112
  2. atr: 0.00175993
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-01T21:15:06+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 1
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.9286
  4. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05409 0.04881 0.04412
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05409
  • Stop Loss: 0.04881
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04881 - 0.05409 = -0.00528

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05409 - = 0.05409

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05409 / -0.00528 = -10.2443

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
81.9592 81.9592 1515.2089 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00528

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00528 = -1515.15

Taille de position USD = -1515.15 x 0.05409 = -81.95

Donc, tu peux acheter -1515.15 avec un stoploss a 0.04881

Avec un position size USD de -81.95$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -1515.15 x -0.00528 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -1515.15 x 0.05409 = -81.95

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -81.95$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -1515.15
  • Taille de position USD -81.95
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel -81.95
  • Risk-Reward Ratio -10.2443

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 81.96 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
9.76 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-4.51 $ -5.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-6.3967 % 65.53 % 6
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05409 0.04881 0.04412
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05409
  • Stop Loss: 0.04881
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.04881 - 0.05409 = -0.00528

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05409 - = 0.05409

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05409 / -0.00528 = -10.2443

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05409
            [stop_loss] => 0.048282
            [rr_ratio] => 9.31
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05409
            [stop_loss] => 0.047754
            [rr_ratio] => 8.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05409
            [stop_loss] => 0.047226
            [rr_ratio] => 7.88
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 
            [entry_price] => 0.05409
            [stop_loss] => 0.04617
            [rr_ratio] => 6.83
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2026-10-01 18:20:00+00
            [result] => win
        )

)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -9.762% (0.0053)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +3.158% 0.3R -1.091% 0.1R 2.9× 12
2h +3.158% 0.3R -6.225% 0.6R 0.5× 24
3h ★ +3.158% 0.3R -6.397% 0.7R 0.5× 36
4h +3.158% 0.3R -6.397% 0.7R 0.5× 48
8h +4.023% 0.4R -8.138% 0.8R 0.5× 96
12h +4.023% 0.4R -8.138% 0.8R 0.5× 144
24h +4.023% 0.4R -12.751% 1.3R 0.3× 288
48h +4.023% 0.4R -16.558% 1.7R 0.2× 576
72h +4.023% 0.4R -16.558% 1.7R 0.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 379 min MAE in 1064 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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