Long Trade on LTC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 8.02 LTC at 67.961$ per unit. Take profit: 70.4556 (3.67 %) & Stop Loss: 66.9632 (1.47 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 14:37:35
hyperliquid
LTC
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 14:37
→ 01:45
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 67.961$
Qty 8.0174 LTC
Size 544.871$ (margin 100$) (leverage 5)
Risk Setup
TP 70.4556 (+3.67%)
TP $ 20$
SL 66.9632 (-1.47%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+3.67%
/ +20$
MAE -0.67%
MFE +3.70%
2.5R
expires
02 Oct 02:37
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170211)
#37 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 14:00
score du 01/10/2026 14:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3000
Quality Score
0.561
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#37 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.47 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.48×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 4.57×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.52×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
13.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 14:30
01/10 14:30
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 13:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4579
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
57.1%
Macro
mixed_dispersion
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
mixed
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 40.7% |
| 1h | 15.3% |
| 4h | 76.3% |
| 24h | 45.8% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 30.5% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 50.9% | +0.87% |
| 24h | 32.2% | -0.43% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.213
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 14:31
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6474
Score SMA
0.7454
Rank
#25
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6800
Rank Norm SMA
0.8051
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7835 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.63% · r3d: -5.67% · ema21_slope: 1.6830% · dist_ema21: 7.366% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6546 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.65% · rs_3d: -4.69% · beta_24h: 0.958 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4552 | rvol_20: 0.87× · zscore_50: 0.436 · trend: 75.73% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8994 | ADX: 47.9 (trend) · Chop: 22.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2277 | ATR%: 5.317% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 14:00
Score brut
0.5611
Score SMA
0.5258
Rank
#37
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3000
Rank Norm SMA
0.4452
Calculé le
01/10/2026 14:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5388 | r1h: 1.267% · r4h: 1.022% · r1d: 1.62% · r3d: -2.41% · ema21_slope: 0.0012% · dist_ema21: 0.839% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4934 | rs_1h: 0.434% · rs_4h: -0.099% · rs_1d: 0.60% · rs_3d: -3.61% · beta_24h: 0.744 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5878 | rvol_20: 2.24× · zscore_50: 0.738 · trend: -4.78% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3905 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 68.9 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 0.882% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4314
Score SMA
0.5979
Rank
#57
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2829
Rank Norm SMA
0.6195
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4808 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.413% · r1d: -0.14% · r3d: -4.39% · ema21_slope: -0.2087% · dist_ema21: -1.343% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.3836 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.710% · rs_1d: -0.15% · rs_3d: -5.31% · beta_24h: 1.019 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1559 | rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.705 · trend: -48.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4002 | ADX: 20.0 (weak) · Chop: 71.1 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.207% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.468%
(0.9978)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.140% | 0.1R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.043% | 0.7R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.098% | 0.8R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.054% | 1.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.704% | 2.5R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 5.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.962% | 3.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 7.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.985% | 3.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 7.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.985% | 3.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 7.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.445% | 4.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 9.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1792 min
MAE in 52 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.49
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | — | 0.75 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.93 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late | — | — | 0.47 | bull_high | +2.03% | -0.55 | 01/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | normal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid | near -1.5ATR | near 0.5ATR | 0.47 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.25% | +0.02 | 01/10 13:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.66 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.00% | +0.00 | 01/10 14:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187520
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.697 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid 4b 1.0ATR | — | — | 0.87 | 95% | ↑ +0.87 | below_value | -5.71 | — | #101562 | 0.75 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.93 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:17
|
|
4h
#194129
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.577 | compression | bull_high |
53%
|
noisy_chop 35% | late 31b -0.7ATR | — | — | 0.50 | 65% | ↓ -0.58 | below_value | -7.14 | — | #104372 | 0.47 | bull_high | +2.03% | -0.55 |
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:12
|
|
1h
anchor #194976
|
↔ neutral | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.414 | normal | range_high |
36%
|
noisy_chop 36% | mid 4b 1.0ATR | near -1.5ATR | near 0.5ATR | 2.24 | 59% | ↑ +0.41 | below_value | -5.61 | — | #104758 | 0.47 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.25% | +0.02 |
01/10 13:00
upd 01/10 14:10
|
|
15m
#195136
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.553 | expansion | bull_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 13b 1.8ATR | — | near 0.0ATR | 0.24 | 31% | ↓ -0.19 | below_value | -5.61 | — | #104758 | 0.66 | bull_low_confirmed | +1.00% | +0.00 |
01/10 14:15
upd 01/10 14:30
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | mid | 4b | — | 2.239×ATR | p0 | +1.041×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 31b | — | 5.566×ATR | p80 | -0.726×ATR | p38 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 4b | — | 1.987×ATR | p39 | +1.01×ATR | p66 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 13b | — | 3.866×ATR | p83 | +1.786×ATR | p94 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8597
- reason: up_bo width=1.95×ATR dur=43b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 66.96317107
- tp_price: 70.45557231
- atr:
- score: 0.85973953190099
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T06:37:27.501579
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.85973953190099
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.097
- obi_top10 : 0.0007
- micro_price : 67.80121795
- spread_pct : 0.014749
- mid_price : 67.805
- bid_wall_price :
- bid_wall_size :
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 68.1
- ask_wall_size : 10366.28
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0934
- obi_top5_std : 0.0176
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7072
- aggregation_tick : 0.1
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
67.591
- balance_zone_bottom:
66.452
- balance_zone_mid:
67.0215
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790726400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790877600
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9527
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
43
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8597
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790874000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
67.591
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8605
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.6343
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
1
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
11
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
6
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.58328925 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
43
inside_close_ratio
0.8605
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.6343
Signaux confirmants (16)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:37 | 67.96100000 | 0% |
| 2 | 14:48 | 67.96100000 | 0% |
| 3 | 14:59 | 67.96100000 | 0% |
| 4 | 15:12 | 67.84400000 | -0.172% |
| 5 | 15:24 | 67.84400000 | -0.172% |
| 6 | 15:35 | 67.63600000 | -0.478% |
| 7 | 15:47 | 67.63600000 | -0.478% |
| 8 | 15:58 | 67.63600000 | -0.478% |
| 9 | 16:13 | 68.27400000 | +0.461% |
| 10 | 16:26 | 68.27400000 | +0.461% |
| 11 | 17:37 | 68.35500000 | +0.58% |
| 12 | 17:49 | 68.35500000 | +0.58% |
| 13 | 18:00 | 68.35500000 | +0.58% |
| 14 | 18:38 | 68.14600000 | +0.272% |
| 15 | 18:50 | 68.14600000 | +0.272% |
| 16 | 19:01 | 68.14600000 | +0.272% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7072ms
Confidence avant OB :
86%
→
86%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.097
avg 0.093
± 0.018
OBI Top 10
0.001
Microstructure
Mid Price
67.8050
Micro Price
67.8012
Spread
0.0147%
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
68.1000
Size
10,366.28
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67.961 | 66.9632 | 70.4556 | 2.5 | 55.769 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 67.961
- Stop Loss: 66.9632
- Take Profit: 70.4556
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 66.9632 - 67.961 = -0.9978
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 67.961 - 70.4556 = -2.4946
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.4946 / -0.9978 = 2.5001
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 544.871 | 100 | 8.0174 | 5.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.9978
Taille de position = 8 / -0.9978 = -8.02
Taille de position USD = -8.02 x 67.961 = -545.05
Donc, tu peux acheter -8.02 avec un stoploss a 66.9632
Avec un position size USD de -545.05$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -8.02 x -0.9978 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -8.02 x -2.4946 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
- Taille de position -8.02
- Taille de position USD -545.05
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20.01
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5001
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.67 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.47 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 20 $ | 3.67 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.668 % | 45.5 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67.961 | 66.9632 | 70.4556 | 2.5 | 55.769 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 67.961
- Stop Loss: 66.9632
- Take Profit: 70.4556
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 66.9632 - 67.961 = -0.9978
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 67.961 - 70.4556 = -2.4946
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -2.4946 / -0.9978 = 2.5001
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.468%
(0.9978)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.140% | 0.1R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.043% | 0.7R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.098% | 0.8R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +2.054% | 1.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 3.1× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.704% | 2.5R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 5.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +4.962% | 3.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 7.4× | 288 |
| 36h | +4.985% | 3.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 7.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +4.985% | 3.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 7.5× | 576 |
| 72h | +6.445% | 4.4R | -0.668% | 0.5R | 9.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1792 min
MAE in 52 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.