01 Oct 2026 at 15:09:49 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (BosPullback)

With 4509.99 2Z at 0.0556$ per unit. Take profit: 0.05121 (7.96 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05742 (3.2 %)

2Z SHORT BosPullback hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 15:09 → 22:05 · 6 hours

Position

Entry 0.05564$

Qty 4509.9896 2Z

Size 250.9494$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)

Risk Setup

TP 0.05121 (+7.96%)

TP $ 19.98$

SL 0.05742 (-3.2%)

SL $ 8.03$

RR 2.49

Status loss PnL -3.20% / -8.03$ MAE -1.46% MFE +1.90% 0.6R

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170349)
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1595

Quality Score
0.386
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#77 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
86 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.20 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.52×ATR
4h near -0.39×ATR
1d clear 1.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 15:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 13:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_high_confirmed

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4581
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bull

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.0%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.3%
1h 55.9%
4h 86.4%
24h 47.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.9% -0.11%
4h 57.6% +1.25%
24h 32.2% -0.01%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.207
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 15:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5520
Score SMA
0.6841
Rank
#46 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6512
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6375 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative 25% 0.4319 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume 20% 0.6983 rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7538 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3861
Score SMA
0.5627
Rank
#77 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1595
Rank Norm SMA
0.5443
Calculé le
01/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1618 r1h: -0.322% · r4h: -1.120% · r1d: -8.25% · r3d: -16.82% · ema21_slope: -0.2984% · dist_ema21: -3.286%
Force Relative 25% 0.2090 rs_1h: -0.201% · rs_4h: -2.012% · rs_1d: -9.26% · rs_3d: -17.69% · beta_24h: 1.049
Volume 20% 0.3726 rvol_20: 0.41× · zscore_50: -0.264 · trend: 92.65%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8139 ADX: 38.3 (trend) · Chop: 38.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.313% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.3335
Score SMA
0.6299
Rank
#73 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2303
Rank Norm SMA
0.6792
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2532 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -4.239% · r1d: -11.36% · r3d: -14.31% · ema21_slope: -0.4346% · dist_ema21: -9.132%
Force Relative 25% 0.1699 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.536% · rs_1d: -11.37% · rs_3d: -15.22% · beta_24h: 2.326
Volume 20% 0.3881 rvol_20: 1.05× · zscore_50: -0.073 · trend: 28.80%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6671 ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 44.1 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3733 ATR%: 4.880% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.199% (0.0018)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.266% 0.1R -1.251% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.266% 0.1R -1.463% 0.5R 0.2× 24
4h ★ +1.896% 0.6R -1.463% 0.5R 1.3× 48
8h +1.896% 0.6R -3.507% 1.1R 0.5× 96
12h +1.896% 0.6R -5.818% 1.8R 0.3× 144
24h +19.844% 6.2R -7.836% 2.5R 2.5× 288
48h +20.293% 6.3R -7.836% 2.5R 2.6× 576
72h +20.293% 6.3R -7.836% 2.5R 2.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1290 min MAE in 725 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.6
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 44% late near -0.4ATR — 0.35 bull_high +2.03% -0.84 01/10 08:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading expansion bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid — — 0.32 bull_medium_confirmed +1.25% -0.42 01/10 13:00
15m ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.41 bull_low_confirmed +0.95% -0.30 01/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187747
↑ up range range strong explosive 0.802 volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early 4b 0.4ATR — — 1.84 98% ↑ +0.95 below_value -6.90 — #101622 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#194278
↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.423 compression bear_high_confirmed
50%
noisy_chop 44% late 14b -2.4ATR near -0.4ATR — 1.05 92% ↑ +0.36 value -1.83 — #104433 0.35 bull_high +2.03% -0.84
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:18
1h anchor
#195038
↓ down transition bearish_transition strong fading 0.597 expansion bear_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 39% mid 1b -1.5ATR — — 2.41 98% ↔ +0.06 below_value -9.51 — #104820 0.32 bull_medium_confirmed +1.25% -0.42
01/10 13:00
upd 01/10 14:13
15m
#195351
↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.385 expansion bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 39% early 4b -0.3ATR — — 0.06 20% ↑ +0.46 below_value -9.51 — #104820 0.41 bull_low_confirmed +0.95% -0.30
01/10 14:45
upd 01/10 15:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.454×ATR p35 +0.443×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 14b — 4.803×ATR p71 -2.35×ATR p92
1h ↑ up mid 1b — 1.995×ATR p19 -1.534×ATR p74
15m ↓ down early 4b — 1.346×ATR p0 -0.287×ATR p18

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

BosPullback - SELL

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. confidence: 0.86
  3. reason: bos_pullback_short|score=3|shallow|bars_since_bos=3|retests=1|break_atr=1.12|prog=0.49|zone=tested
  4. stop_price: 0.05741684
  5. tp_price: 0.05120839
  6. atr:
  7. score: 0.86
  8. confidence_pre_ob: 0.86
Details
  1. 1H:
  2. 15m:
  3. 5m:
  4. btc_indicators
  5. ¸
  6. market_structures
  7. ¸
  8. market_structure_v2
  9. timeframe : 1h
  10. state : pullback_down
  11. confidence : 1
  12. trend_strength : -0.3978
  13. trend_persistence : 0.5
  14. high_delta_atr : -2.0484
  15. low_delta_atr : -2.1279
  16. current_swing_amp_atr : 2.4815
  17. current_swing_speed : 2.48155
  18. current_swing_efficiency : 0.6017
  19. retracement_ratio : 0.5559
  20. extension_ratio : 1.032
  21. compression_score : 0.6988
  22. swing_entropy : 1
  23. breakout_strength : -3.3061
  24. distance_to_last_high_atr : -1.2578
  25. distance_to_last_low_atr : 1.3063
  26. pivot_count : 21
  27. swing_count : 20
  28. market_structure_v2
  29. last_pivot_kind: high
  30. last_pivot_price:
    0.057281
  31. last_pivot_index:
    147
  32. ¸
  33. trend_analyzer_1h
  34. direction : down
  35. phase : early_expansion
  36. structure : bearish_transition
  37. breakout_state : fresh_breakout
  38. quality : volatile
  39. strength : strong
  40. exhaustion : medium
  41. momentum_type : balanced
  42. volatility_regime : expansion
  43. htf_context : unknown
  44. risk_state : approaching_support
  45. confidence : 0.638
  46. state : down_early_expansion_balanced
  47. trend_analyzer_1h
  48. scores_direction_score:
    0.2053
  49. scores_strength_score:
    0.7251
  50. scores_quality_score:
    0.4157
  51. scores_cleanliness_score:
    0.2311
  52. scores_structural_quality:
    0.5667
  53. scores_pullback_score:
    0.5559
  54. scores_exhaustion_score:
    0.5873
  55. scores_continuation_score:
    0.5059
  56. scores_structure_score:
    0.2387
  57. scores_volatility_expansion:
    0.7841
  58. scores_momentum_type_score:
    0.653
  59. scores_risk_score:
    0.0921
  60. trend_analyzer_1h
  61. features_ema20_slope:
    -0.1777
  62. features_ema50_slope:
    -0.1417
  63. features_ema_alignment_score:
    0
  64. features_price_vs_ema20:
    -1.7073
  65. features_price_vs_ema50:
    -3.5455
  66. features_recent_hh_hl_score:
    0.3333
  67. features_recent_lh_ll_score:
    0.6667
  68. features_last_bos_direction:
    -1
  69. features_bars_since_last_bos:
    3
  70. features_candle_overlap_ratio:
    1
  71. features_wick_ratio:
    0.5378
  72. features_trend_efficiency:
    0.6017
  73. features_impulse_strength:
    4.7971
  74. features_directional_candle_ratio:
    0.75
  75. features_pullback_depth_ratio:
    0.5559
  76. features_pullback_depth_atr:
    2.6667
  77. features_extension_from_mean:
    -3.5455
  78. features_impulse_decay_score:
    0.484
  79. features_opposing_wick_pressure:
    0.3339
  80. features_volatility_percentile:
    0.9
  81. features_volatility_delta:
    0.0661
  82. features_body_ratio:
    0.4772
  83. features_closes_position_ratio:
    0.4628
  84. features_slope_consistency:
    0.8527
  85. features_range_position:
    0.0921
  86. features_distance_to_recent_high:
    -12.2071
  87. features_distance_to_recent_low:
    1.2378
  88. features_had_recent_range:
    1
  89. features_had_recent_compression:
    0
  90. features_post_break_hl_count:
    1
  91. features_htf_trend_strength:
    
                                                                                                                                
  92. features_htf_compression_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  93. features_htf_entropy_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  94. features_htf_hh_hl_score:
    
                                                                                                                                
  95. features_htf_state_str:
    
                                                                                                                                
  96. ¸
  97. orderbook_context
  98. obi_top5 : -0.0003
  99. obi_top10 : 0.0629
  100. micro_price : 0.05555891
  101. spread_pct : 0.126126
  102. mid_price : 0.055535
  103. bid_wall_price :
  104. bid_wall_size :
  105. bid_wall_dist_atr :
  106. ask_wall_price :
  107. ask_wall_size :
  108. ask_wall_dist_atr :
  109. snapshots_count : 5
  110. obi_top5_mean : -0.0034
  111. obi_top5_std : 0.0021
  112. pressure_side : neutral
  113. collection_mode : ws_rolling
  114. collection_ms : 7034
  115. aggregation_tick : 0.0001
  116. error :
  117. ¸
  118. strategy_details
  119. strategy : bos_pullback
  120. ms_state_1h : pullback_down
  121. strategy_details
  122. pivots_1h_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.057016
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  123. pivots_1h_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 09:00:00
        [price] => 0.079283
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  124. pivots_1h_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 13:00:00
        [price] => 0.069992
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  125. pivots_1h_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 14:00:00
        [price] => 0.074977
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  126. pivots_1h_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.067485
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  127. pivots_1h_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-26 22:00:00
        [price] => 0.072632
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  128. pivots_1h_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 15:00:00
        [price] => 0.065651
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  129. pivots_1h_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-27 20:00:00
        [price] => 0.068937
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  130. pivots_1h_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 02:00:00
        [price] => 0.061974
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  131. pivots_1h_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 05:00:00
        [price] => 0.067
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  132. pivots_1h_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
        [price] => 0.062294
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  133. pivots_1h_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-28 23:00:00
        [price] => 0.068201
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  134. pivots_1h_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 01:00:00
        [price] => 0.064251
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  135. pivots_1h_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-29 06:00:00
        [price] => 0.069935
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  136. pivots_1h_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 00:00:00
        [price] => 0.063997
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  137. pivots_1h_15:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 02:00:00
        [price] => 0.066679
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  138. pivots_1h_16:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 02:00:00
        [price] => 0.056705
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  139. pivots_1h_17:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 09:00:00
        [price] => 0.059986
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  140. pivots_1h_18:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 16:00:00
        [price] => 0.053895
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  141. pivots_1h_19:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 17:00:00
        [price] => 0.057281
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  142. strategy_details
  143. pivots_15m_0:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 18:15:00
        [price] => 0.061972
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  144. pivots_15m_1:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 19:15:00
        [price] => 0.059289
        [kind] => low
        [label] => 
    )
    
  145. pivots_15m_2:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 19:45:00
        [price] => 0.060554
        [kind] => high
        [label] => 
    )
    
  146. pivots_15m_3:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 21:45:00
        [price] => 0.058135
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  147. pivots_15m_4:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-09-30 23:15:00
        [price] => 0.06001
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  148. pivots_15m_5:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 02:15:00
        [price] => 0.056705
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  149. pivots_15m_6:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 03:30:00
        [price] => 0.059348
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  150. pivots_15m_7:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 04:45:00
        [price] => 0.057664
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  151. pivots_15m_8:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 07:15:00
        [price] => 0.059012
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  152. pivots_15m_9:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 08:30:00
        [price] => 0.058003
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  153. pivots_15m_10:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 09:30:00
        [price] => 0.059986
        [kind] => high
        [label] => HH
    )
    
  154. pivots_15m_11:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 10:15:00
        [price] => 0.058144
        [kind] => low
        [label] => HL
    )
    
  155. pivots_15m_12:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 11:30:00
        [price] => 0.059636
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  156. pivots_15m_13:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 16:30:00
        [price] => 0.053895
        [kind] => low
        [label] => LL
    )
    
  157. pivots_15m_14:
    Array
    (
        [time] => 2026-10-01 17:45:00
        [price] => 0.057281
        [kind] => high
        [label] => LH
    )
    
  158. bos_level_long : 0
  159. bos_level_short : 0.056705
  160. strategy_details
  161. levels_hl_price:
    0.053895
  162. levels_hl_timestamp: 2026-10-01 16:00:00
  163. levels_hh_price:
    0.057281
  164. levels_lh_price:
    0.057281
  165. levels_lh_timestamp: 2026-10-01 17:00:00
  166. levels_ll_price:
    0.053895
  167. strategy_details
  168. demand_zone_top:
    0.055223
  169. demand_zone_bottom:
    0.053895
  170. demand_zone_mid:
    0.054559
  171. demand_zone_freshness: tested
  172. demand_zone_strength:
    0.5611
  173. strategy_details
  174. supply_zone_top:
    0.059986
  175. supply_zone_bottom:
    0.057664
  176. supply_zone_mid:
    0.058825
  177. supply_zone_freshness: tested
  178. supply_zone_strength:
    0.7913
  179. ¸
  180. regimes
  181. 1H : bear_high_confirmed
  182. 15m : bear_high_confirmed
  183. ¸

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (3)

# Heure Entry Δ
1 15:09 0.05564300 +0.005%
2 17:11 0.05584000 +0.359%
3 17:34 0.05574300 +0.185%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

1H ↓ pullback_down
Confidence 100%

Trend

Trend Strength
-0.398
Persistence
0.500
High Δ ATR
-2.048
Low Δ ATR
-2.128

Current Swing

Amp ATR
2.482
Speed
2.482
Efficiency
0.602

Structure

Retracement
0.556
Extension
1.032
Compression
0.699
Entropy
1.000
Breakout Str.
-3.306
Dist High ATR
-1.258
Dist Low ATR
1.306
21 pivots · 20 swings · Last pivot: ↑ 0.0573 @ bar 147

Trend Analyzer 1H

1H ↓ down down_early_expansion_balanced
Confidence 64%

Context

phase early_expansion
structure bearish_transition
breakout fresh_breakout
quality volatile
strength strong
exhaustion medium
momentum balanced
volatility expansion
risk approaching_support
htf unknown
Scores
Direction Score 0.205
Strength Score 0.725
Quality Score 0.416
Cleanliness Score 0.231
Structural Quality 0.567
Pullback Score 0.556
Exhaustion Score 0.587
Continuation Score 0.506
Structure Score 0.239
Volatility Expansion 0.784
Momentum Type Score 0.653
Risk Score 0.092
Features
Ema20 Slope
-0.178
Ema50 Slope
-0.142
Ema Alignment Score
0.000
Price Vs Ema20
-1.707
Price Vs Ema50
-3.546
Recent Hh Hl Score
0.333
Recent Lh Ll Score
0.667
Last Bos Direction
-1.000
Bars Since Last Bos
3.000
Candle Overlap Ratio
1.000
Wick Ratio
0.538
Trend Efficiency
0.602
Impulse Strength
4.797
Directional Candle Ratio
0.750
Pullback Depth Ratio
0.556
Pullback Depth Atr
2.667
Extension From Mean
-3.546
Impulse Decay Score
0.484
Opposing Wick Pressure
0.334
Volatility Percentile
0.900
Volatility Delta
0.066
Body Ratio
0.477
Closes Position Ratio
0.463
Slope Consistency
0.853
Range Position
0.092
Distance To Recent High
-12.207
Distance To Recent Low
1.238
Had Recent Range
1.000
Had Recent Compression
0.000
Post Break Hl Count
1.000

Orderbook Context

→ neutral ws_rolling 5 snapshots 7034ms Confidence avant OB : 86% → 86%

Order Book Imbalance

OBI Top 5 0.000
avg -0.003 ± 0.002
OBI Top 10 0.063

Microstructure

Mid Price
0.0555
Micro Price
0.0556
Spread
0.1261%

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05564 0.05742 0.05121 2.49 0.02578
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05564
  • Stop Loss: 0.05742
  • Take Profit: 0.05121

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05742 - 0.05564 = 0.00178

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05564 - 0.05121 = 0.00443

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00443 / 0.00178 = 2.4888

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
250.9494 100 4509.9896 3.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00178

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00178 = 4494.38

Taille de position USD = 4494.38 x 0.05564 = 250.07

Donc, tu peux acheter 4494.38 avec un stoploss a 0.05742

Avec un position size USD de 250.07$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4494.38 x 0.00178 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4494.38 x 0.00443 = 19.91

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.91$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4494.38
  • Taille de position USD 250.07
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 19.91
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4888

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
7.96 % 19.98 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.2 % 8.03 $
PNL PNL %
-8.03 $ -3.20
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-3.3932 % 106.07 % 8
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05564 0.05742 0.05121 2.49 0.02578
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05564
  • Stop Loss: 0.05742
  • Take Profit: 0.05121

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05742 - 0.05564 = 0.00178

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05564 - 0.05121 = 0.00443

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.00443 / 0.00178 = 2.4888

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: BosPullback (★ 4h) Initial Risk: -3.199% (0.0018)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.266% 0.1R -1.251% 0.4R 0.2× 12
2h +0.266% 0.1R -1.463% 0.5R 0.2× 24
4h ★ +1.896% 0.6R -1.463% 0.5R 1.3× 48
8h +1.896% 0.6R -3.507% 1.1R 0.5× 96
12h +1.896% 0.6R -5.818% 1.8R 0.3× 144
24h +19.844% 6.2R -7.836% 2.5R 2.5× 288
48h +20.293% 6.3R -7.836% 2.5R 2.6× 576
72h +20.293% 6.3R -7.836% 2.5R 2.6× 864
⏱ MFE in 1290 min MAE in 725 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.