Long Trade on MON

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01 Oct 2026 at 15:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on MON (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 3060.39 MON at 0.0349$ per unit. Take profit: 0.03581 (2.52 %) & Stop Loss: 0.03232 (7.47 %)

MON LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 15:15 → 21:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.03493$

Qty 3060.3852 MON

Size 106.9054$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0.03581 (+2.52%)

TP $ 2.69$

SL 0.03232 (-7.47%)

SL $ 7.99$

RR 0.34

Status loss PnL -3.90% / -4.17$ MAE -4.91% MFE +1.04% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 21:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170351)

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9639

Quality Score

0.762

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.47 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD TRADE

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#3 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

100 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

+8 OK

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

7.47 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Supply	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	-0.70×ATR
4h	clear	—
1d	near	-0.15×ATR

Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	late	BLOCKED
4h	↓ down	late	OK
1d	↑ up	late	BLOCKED

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

+2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts OK

attendu : alts_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : expanding / recovering

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

37.3M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 15:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 14:00 Score : +6 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4581

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion +2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	bull 0.55	expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) +2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 65.0%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	37.3%
1h	55.9%
4h	86.4%
24h	47.5%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	33.9%	-0.11%
4h	57.6%	+1.25%
24h	32.2%	-0.01%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.207

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 15:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7630

Score SMA

0.5745

Rank

#7 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9200

Rank Norm SMA

0.3854

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9653	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 18.79% · r3d: 13.03% · ema21_slope: 0.7925% · dist_ema21: 21.245%
Force Relative	25%	0.9257	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 18.81% · rs_3d: 14.01% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume	20%	0.7071	rvol_20: 2.00× · zscore_50: 1.322 · trend: 84.37%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6704	ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 44.0 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 8.314% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 15:00

Score brut

0.7617

Score SMA

0.6049

Rank

#3 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9639

Rank Norm SMA

0.6445

Calculé le

01/10/2026 15:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9104	r1h: 1.755% · r4h: 9.034% · r1d: 19.92% · r3d: 20.06% · ema21_slope: 0.4154% · dist_ema21: 8.012%
Force Relative	25%	0.9531	rs_1h: 1.875% · rs_4h: 8.141% · rs_1d: 18.91% · rs_3d: 19.19% · beta_24h: 3.289
Volume	20%	0.3796	rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: 0.414 · trend: 24.79%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7013	ADX: 38.1 (trend) · Chop: 52.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.9343	ATR%: 3.197% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00

Score brut

0.7340

Score SMA

0.6101

Rank

#5 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9605

Rank Norm SMA

0.5664

Calculé le

01/10/2026 12:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.8410	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.566% · r1d: 18.17% · r3d: 11.42% · ema21_slope: 0.5593% · dist_ema21: 11.441%
Force Relative	25%	0.8196	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.863% · rs_1d: 18.17% · rs_3d: 10.51% · beta_24h: 3.115
Volume	20%	0.6501	rvol_20: 1.48× · zscore_50: 1.398 · trend: 106.11%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7290	ADX: 27.5 (trend) · Chop: 34.6 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.3748	ATR%: 4.876% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.472% (0.0026)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.039%	0.1R	-1.632%	0.2R	0.6×	12
2h	+1.039%	0.1R	-3.699%	0.5R	0.3×	24
4h	+1.039%	0.1R	-4.907%	0.7R	0.2×	48
6h ★	+1.039%	0.1R	-4.907%	0.7R	0.2×	72
8h	+1.039%	0.1R	-4.907%	0.7R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.039%	0.1R	-6.095%	0.8R	0.2×	144
24h	+2.872%	0.4R	-12.422%	1.7R	0.2×	288
48h	+2.872%	0.4R	-12.422%	1.7R	0.2×	576
72h	+2.872%	0.4R	-12.422%	1.7R	0.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 1254 min MAE in 1399 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.36

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 45%	late	—	near -0.2ATR	0.58	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.98	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 43%	late	—	—	0.50	bull_high	+2.03%	+0.89	01/10 08:00
1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 40%	late	—	near -0.7ATR	0.55	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.11%	+0.86	01/10 14:00
15m	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	normal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 44%	late	—	—	0.53	bull_low_confirmed	+0.95%	+0.59	01/10 14:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187753	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.714	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 45%	late 15b 2.0ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	2.00	91%	↑ +0.71	above_value	+4.21	—	#101624	0.58	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.98	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #194284	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.581	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	70%	noisy_chop 43%	late 2b 2.1ATR	—	—	1.48	97%	↑ +0.24	above_value	+4.31	—	#104435	0.50	bull_high	+2.03%	+0.89	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 12:19
1h anchor #195431	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.366	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 40%	late 3b 2.1ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	0.83	92%	↓ -0.36	above_value	+6.26	inside	#104978	0.55	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.11%	+0.86	01/10 14:00 upd 01/10 15:12
15m #195353	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.347	normal	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 44%	late 15b 2.3ATR	—	—	0.59	53%	↑ +0.43	above_value	+5.92	—	#104822	0.53	bull_low_confirmed	+0.95%	+0.59	01/10 14:45 upd 01/10 15:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	15b	—	4.16×ATR	p61	+2.039×ATR	p94
4h	↓ down	late	2b	—	1.129×ATR	p0	+2.138×ATR	p92
1h	↑ up	late	3b	—	2.828×ATR	p55	+2.072×ATR	p90
15m	↑ up	late	15b	—	5.598×ATR	p97	+2.277×ATR	p91

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.03231795
tp_price: 0.0358053
atr: 0.00104562
expires_at: 2026-10-02T01:15:05+00:00

Details

rank: 2
total: 77
score: 0.9033
delta_2h: 0.1355
extension_atr: 2.2
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9639
confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03493	0.03232	0.03581	0.34	0.0194

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03493
Stop Loss: 0.03232
Take Profit: 0.03581

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.03232 - 0.03493 = -0.00261
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03493 - 0.03581 = -0.00088
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00088 / -0.00261 = 0.3372

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
106.9054	100	3060.3852	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss -0.00261

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00261 = -3065.13

Taille de position USD = -3065.13 x 0.03493 = -107.06

Donc, tu peux acheter -3065.13 avec un stoploss a 0.03232

Avec un position size USD de -107.06$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -3065.13 x -0.00261 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -3065.13 x -0.00088 = 2.7

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.7$

Résumé

Taille de position -3065.13
Taille de position USD -107.06
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.7
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3372

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.52 %	2.69 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
7.47 %	7.99 $

PNL	PNL %
-4.17 $	-3.90

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-4.907 %	65.67 %	7

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.03493	0.03232	0.03581	0.34	0.0194

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.03493
Stop Loss: 0.03232
Take Profit: 0.03581

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.03232 - 0.03493 = -0.00261
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.03493 - 0.03581 = -0.00088
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00088 / -0.00261 = 0.3372

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -7.472% (0.0026)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.039%	0.1R	-1.632%	0.2R	0.6×	12
2h	+1.039%	0.1R	-3.699%	0.5R	0.3×	24
4h	+1.039%	0.1R	-4.907%	0.7R	0.2×	48
6h ★	+1.039%	0.1R	-4.907%	0.7R	0.2×	72
8h	+1.039%	0.1R	-4.907%	0.7R	0.2×	96
12h	+1.039%	0.1R	-6.095%	0.8R	0.2×	144
24h	+2.872%	0.4R	-12.422%	1.7R	0.2×	288
48h	+2.872%	0.4R	-12.422%	1.7R	0.2×	576
72h	+2.872%	0.4R	-12.422%	1.7R	0.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 1254 min MAE in 1399 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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