Long Trade on UNI (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 46.3 UNI at 9.06$ per unit. Take profit: 9.4924 (4.77 %) & Stop Loss: 8.8876 (1.91 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 15:14:55
hyperliquid
UNI
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 15:14
→ 21:25
· 6 hours
Position
Entry 9.0604$
Qty 46.2988 UNI
Size 419.4858$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 9.4924 (+4.77%)
TP $ 20$
SL 8.8876 (-1.91%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
loss
PnL
-1.91%
/ -8$
MAE -2.02%
MFE +2.82%
1.5R
expires
02 Oct 03:14
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170304)
#37 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 15:00
score du 01/10/2026 15:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.7213
Quality Score
0.497
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#37 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+5
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#37 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
89 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+7
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
1.91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.76×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 1.78×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.66×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
30.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 15:00
01/10 15:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 14:00 Score : +5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4581
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
65.0%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 37.3% |
| 1h | 55.9% |
| 4h | 86.4% |
| 24h | 47.5% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 33.9% | -0.11% |
| 4h | 57.6% | +1.25% |
| 24h | 32.2% | -0.01% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.207
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 15:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5486
Score SMA
0.6125
Rank
#47
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3867
Rank Norm SMA
0.4481
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6944 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -0.13% · r3d: -8.19% · ema21_slope: 2.2598% · dist_ema21: 6.936% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5449 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -0.11% · rs_3d: -7.20% · beta_24h: 1.590 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2757 | rvol_20: 0.58× · zscore_50: -0.096 · trend: 1.71% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9927 | ADX: 59.1 (trend) · Chop: 35.4 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.195% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.4967
Score SMA
0.5098
Rank
#37
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7213
Rank Norm SMA
0.3875
Calculé le
01/10/2026 15:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5292 | r1h: -0.394% · r4h: -0.245% · r1d: 2.29% · r3d: 1.83% · ema21_slope: 0.0899% · dist_ema21: 0.770% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4889 | rs_1h: -0.274% · rs_4h: -1.138% · rs_1d: 1.28% · rs_3d: 0.96% · beta_24h: 1.912 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2139 | rvol_20: 0.24× · zscore_50: -0.693 · trend: -4.96% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4861 | ADX: 11.1 (weak) · Chop: 51.4 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.738% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5055
Score SMA
0.5048
Rank
#29
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5789
Rank Norm SMA
0.3139
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5571 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.495% · r1d: 0.88% · r3d: 2.98% · ema21_slope: -0.1609% · dist_ema21: 0.995% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5240 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.198% · rs_1d: 0.88% · rs_3d: 2.07% · beta_24h: 2.892 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.3565 | rvol_20: 1.22× · zscore_50: 0.043 · trend: -21.31% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.3120 | ADX: 16.7 (weak) · Chop: 78.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8926 | ATR%: 3.322% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.907%
(0.1728)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.099% | 0.6R | -0.552% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.099% | 0.6R | -0.552% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.099% | 0.6R | -0.698% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.099% | 0.6R | -2.021% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.823% | 1.5R | -2.021% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.823% | 1.5R | -5.361% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.823% | 1.5R | -5.361% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.983% | 1.6R | -5.361% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.983% | 1.6R | -5.361% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 580 min
MAE in 1410 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.4
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.63 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.40 | bull_high | +2.03% | -0.10 | 01/10 08:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.40 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.11% | +0.08 | 01/10 14:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.72 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.95% | -0.16 | 01/10 14:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187586
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.620 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 7b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.58 | 90% | ↑ +0.15 | above_value | +0.18 | — | #101578 | 0.63 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:20
|
|
4h
#194161
|
↔ neutral | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.667 | compression | bull_high |
56%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 15b 0.3ATR | — | — | 1.22 | 70% | ↓ -0.40 | value | +1.54 | — | #104388 | 0.40 | bull_high | +2.03% | -0.10 |
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:13
|
|
1h
anchor #195383
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.667 | expansion | range_high |
39%
|
noisy_chop 32% | early 4b 0.4ATR | — | near -0.8ATR | 0.24 | 6% | ↑ +0.29 | above_value | +1.33 | — | #104930 | 0.40 | bull_medium_confirmed | +1.11% | +0.08 |
01/10 14:00
upd 01/10 15:09
|
|
15m
#195308
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.557 | normal | bull_high |
57%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 8b 0.0ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.12 | 19% | ↓ -0.81 | value | +1.53 | — | #104774 | 0.72 | bull_low_confirmed | +0.95% | -0.16 |
01/10 14:45
upd 01/10 15:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.531×ATR | p0 | +0.568×ATR | p30 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 15b | — | 2.18×ATR | p7 | +0.332×ATR | p19 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.183×ATR | p0 | +0.398×ATR | p32 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.184×ATR | p3 | +0.03×ATR | p5 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.8896
- reason: up_bo width=1.95×ATR dur=52b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 8.88760942
- tp_price: 9.49237645
- atr:
- score: 0.88964427321765
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T07:14:47.356759
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.88964427321765
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : -0.1502
- obi_top10 : -0.0139
- micro_price : 9.09351046
- spread_pct : 0.021995
- mid_price : 9.094
- bid_wall_price : 9.06
- bid_wall_size : 52409.4
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 9.12
- ask_wall_size : 56263
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : -0.0417
- obi_top5_std : 0.0665
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6918
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
9.0482
- balance_zone_bottom:
8.7569
- balance_zone_mid:
8.90255
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790697600
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790881200
- balance_zone_width_atr:
1.9497
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
52
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.8896
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790874000
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
9.0482
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.8269
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
2
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.0817
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
1
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
2
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
8
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
9
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.14940581 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
52
inside_close_ratio
0.8269
bars_since_breakout
2
distance_to_edge_atr
0.0817
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:14 | 9.06040000 | 0% |
| 2 | 15:26 | 9.06040000 | 0% |
| 3 | 15:38 | 9.05070000 | -0.107% |
| 4 | 15:49 | 9.05070000 | -0.107% |
| 5 | 16:00 | 9.05070000 | -0.107% |
| 6 | 16:16 | 9.13980000 | +0.876% |
| 7 | 16:28 | 9.13980000 | +0.876% |
| 8 | 16:40 | 9.11540000 | +0.607% |
| 9 | 16:52 | 9.11540000 | +0.607% |
| 10 | 17:04 | 9.11540000 | +0.607% |
| 11 | 17:16 | 9.07460000 | +0.157% |
| 12 | 17:27 | 9.07460000 | +0.157% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6918ms
Confidence avant OB :
89%
→
89%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
-0.150
avg -0.042
± 0.067
OBI Top 10
-0.014
Microstructure
Mid Price
9.0940
Micro Price
9.0935
Spread
0.0220%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
9.0600
Size
52,409.40
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
9.1200
Size
56,263.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0604 | 8.8876 | 9.4924 | 2.5 | 7.1049 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 9.0604
- Stop Loss: 8.8876
- Take Profit: 9.4924
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8876 - 9.0604 = -0.1728
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.0604 - 9.4924 = -0.432
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.432 / -0.1728 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 419.4858 | 100 | 46.2988 | 4.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.1728
Taille de position = 8 / -0.1728 = -46.3
Taille de position USD = -46.3 x 9.0604 = -419.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -46.3 avec un stoploss a 8.8876
Avec un position size USD de -419.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -46.3 x -0.1728 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -46.3 x -0.432 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -46.3
- Taille de position USD -419.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.77 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.91 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.91 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.0209 % | 105.96 % | 13 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9.0604 | 8.8876 | 9.4924 | 2.5 | 7.1049 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 9.0604
- Stop Loss: 8.8876
- Take Profit: 9.4924
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 8.8876 - 9.0604 = -0.1728
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 9.0604 - 9.4924 = -0.432
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.432 / -0.1728 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -1.907%
(0.1728)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.099% | 0.6R | -0.552% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.099% | 0.6R | -0.552% | 0.3R | 2.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.099% | 0.6R | -0.698% | 0.4R | 1.6× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.099% | 0.6R | -2.021% | 1.1R | 0.5× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +2.823% | 1.5R | -2.021% | 1.1R | 1.4× | 144 |
| 24h | +2.823% | 1.5R | -5.361% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 36h | +2.823% | 1.5R | -5.361% | 2.8R | 0.5× | 432 |
| 48h | +2.983% | 1.6R | -5.361% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 576 |
| 72h | +2.983% | 1.6R | -5.361% | 2.8R | 0.6× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 580 min
MAE in 1410 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.