01 Oct 2026 at 15:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SKY (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2194.63 SKY at 0.0838$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08585 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08011 (4.36 %)

SKY LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 15:15 → 20:15 · 4 hours

Position

Entry 0.08376$

Qty 2194.6308 SKY

Size 183.8179$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08585 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.59$

SL 0.08011 (-4.36%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.57

Status win PnL +2.50% / +4.59$ MAE -1.74% MFE +3.31% 0.8R expires 01 Oct 21:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170346)
#9 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.6621

Quality Score
0.629
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#9 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.36 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#9 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
98 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.36 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.05×ATR
4h clear 1.35×ATR
1d clear 0.76×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 15:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4581
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bull

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.0%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.3%
1h 55.9%
4h 86.4%
24h 47.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.9% -0.11%
4h 57.6% +1.25%
24h 32.2% -0.01%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.207
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 15:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5288
Score SMA
0.6584
Rank
#53 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3067
Rank Norm SMA
0.6386
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6653 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.98% · r3d: -5.84% · ema21_slope: 1.1285% · dist_ema21: 7.414%
Force Relative 25% 0.5049 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.97% · rs_3d: -4.86% · beta_24h: 1.124
Volume 20% 0.4775 rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.312 · trend: 147.92%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7164 ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 31.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.008% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.6293
Score SMA
0.5623
Rank
#9 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.6621
Rank Norm SMA
0.5774
Calculé le
01/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7121 r1h: 1.453% · r4h: 5.513% · r1d: 7.09% · r3d: 4.68% · ema21_slope: 0.0768% · dist_ema21: 4.630%
Force Relative 25% 0.7697 rs_1h: 1.574% · rs_4h: 4.621% · rs_1d: 6.09% · rs_3d: 3.81% · beta_24h: 2.544
Volume 20% 0.6405 rvol_20: 2.14× · zscore_50: 1.351 · trend: 16.28%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6554 ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 36.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.828% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.5835
Score SMA
0.6278
Rank
#9 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7632
Rank Norm SMA
0.7062
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7378 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.159% · r1d: 2.74% · r3d: 4.20% · ema21_slope: 0.0381% · dist_ema21: 1.894%
Force Relative 25% 0.6593 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.862% · rs_1d: 2.73% · rs_3d: 3.29% · beta_24h: 0.748
Volume 20% 0.2098 rvol_20: 0.67× · zscore_50: -0.336 · trend: -46.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5312 ADX: 18.2 (weak) · Chop: 53.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7567 ATR%: 3.730% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.358% (0.0037)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.293% 0.1R -1.233% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.712% 0.2R -1.744% 0.4R 0.4× 24
4h +1.443% 0.3R -1.744% 0.4R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +3.313% 0.8R -1.744% 0.4R 1.9× 72
8h +3.313% 0.8R -1.744% 0.4R 1.9× 96
12h +3.313% 0.8R -1.744% 0.4R 1.9× 144
24h +14.363% 3.3R -1.744% 0.4R 8.2× 288
48h +14.363% 3.3R -1.744% 0.4R 8.2× 576
72h +17.151% 3.9R -1.744% 0.4R 9.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1224 min MAE in 84 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.39
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 37% early — — 0.56 bull_high +12.59% +0.94 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 35% early — — 0.38 bull_high +2.03% +0.15 01/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong balanced expansion_after_compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% late — near 0.0ATR 0.37 bull_medium_confirmed +1.11% +0.52 01/10 14:00
15m ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 55% late — near -1.6ATR 0.51 bull_low_confirmed +0.95% +0.40 01/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187738
↑ up range range moderate grind 0.665 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 37% early 14b 0.8ATR — — 0.85 91% ↑ +0.82 above_value -0.09 — #101619 0.56 bull_high +12.59% +0.94
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#194269
↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.567 compression bull_high
61%
noisy_chop 35% early 11b 0.5ATR — — 0.67 83% ↓ -0.66 value +1.66 — #104430 0.38 bull_high +2.03% +0.15
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:18
1h anchor
#195426
↔ neutral range range strong balanced 0.529 expansion_after_compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 44% late 5b 2.4ATR — near 0.0ATR 2.14 79% ↑ +0.57 value +3.82 — #104973 0.37 bull_medium_confirmed +1.11% +0.52
01/10 14:00
upd 01/10 15:11
15m
#195348
↑ up transition bullish_transition strong explosive 0.710 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 55% late 7b 2.6ATR — near -1.6ATR 4.19 98% ↓ -0.26 value +2.32 — #104817 0.51 bull_low_confirmed +0.95% +0.40
01/10 14:45
upd 01/10 15:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 3.545×ATR p42 +0.758×ATR p46
4h ↓ down early 11b — 2.139×ATR p0 +0.53×ATR p34
1h ↑ up late 5b — 3.587×ATR p75 +2.388×ATR p93
15m ↑ up late 7b — 4.616×ATR p84 +2.59×ATR p96

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.08011274
  2. tp_price: 0.08585195
  3. atr: 0.0014581
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T01:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 6
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.7044
  4. delta_2h: 0.1969
  5. extension_atr: 2.39
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.6539
  9. confidence: 0.984

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08376 0.08011 0.08585 0.57 0.06826
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08376
  • Stop Loss: 0.08011
  • Take Profit: 0.08585

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08011 - 0.08376 = -0.00365

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08376 - 0.08585 = -0.00209

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00209 / -0.00365 = 0.5726

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
183.8179 100 2194.6308 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00365

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00365 = -2191.78

Taille de position USD = -2191.78 x 0.08376 = -183.58

Donc, tu peux acheter -2191.78 avec un stoploss a 0.08011

Avec un position size USD de -183.58$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2191.78 x -0.00365 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2191.78 x -0.00209 = 4.58

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.58$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2191.78
  • Taille de position USD -183.58
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.58
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5726

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.59 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.36 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
4.59 $ 2.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.7443 % 40.03 % 15
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08376 0.08011 0.08585 0.57 0.06826
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08376
  • Stop Loss: 0.08011
  • Take Profit: 0.08585

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.08011 - 0.08376 = -0.00365

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08376 - 0.08585 = -0.00209

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00209 / -0.00365 = 0.5726

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.358% (0.0037)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.293% 0.1R -1.233% 0.3R 0.2× 12
2h +0.712% 0.2R -1.744% 0.4R 0.4× 24
4h +1.443% 0.3R -1.744% 0.4R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +3.313% 0.8R -1.744% 0.4R 1.9× 72
8h +3.313% 0.8R -1.744% 0.4R 1.9× 96
12h +3.313% 0.8R -1.744% 0.4R 1.9× 144
24h +14.363% 3.3R -1.744% 0.4R 8.2× 288
48h +14.363% 3.3R -1.744% 0.4R 8.2× 576
72h +17.151% 3.9R -1.744% 0.4R 9.8× 864
⏱ MFE in 1224 min MAE in 84 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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