01 Oct 2026 at 15:15:05 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SYRUP (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 724.4 SYRUP at 0.24$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2459 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.2288 (4.63 %)

SYRUP LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 15:15 → 21:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2399$

Qty 724.3962 SYRUP

Size 173.7537$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2459 (+2.5%)

TP $ 4.35$

SL 0.2288 (-4.63%)

SL $ 8.04$

RR 0.54

Status loss PnL -1.84% / -3.19$ MAE -2.01% MFE +1.26% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 21:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170343)
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.8588

Quality Score
0.639
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.63 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#8 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8 OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.63 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h clear 0.96×ATR
4h near 0.32×ATR
1d near -0.04×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down early OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 15:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (+3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 14:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4581
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bull

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.0%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.3%
1h 55.9%
4h 86.4%
24h 47.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.9% -0.11%
4h 57.6% +1.25%
24h 32.2% -0.01%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.207
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 15:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6098
Score SMA
0.6093
Rank
#34 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.5600
Rank Norm SMA
0.4676
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7620 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.47% · r3d: 3.83% · ema21_slope: 0.4295% · dist_ema21: 3.895%
Force Relative 25% 0.6442 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.46% · rs_3d: 4.81% · beta_24h: 1.078
Volume 20% 0.5948 rvol_20: 1.32× · zscore_50: 0.959 · trend: 117.81%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6743 ADX: 35.9 (trend) · Chop: 53.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.622% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.6387
Score SMA
0.5707
Rank
#8 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8588
Rank Norm SMA
0.5740
Calculé le
01/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7153 r1h: 2.058% · r4h: 2.171% · r1d: 6.13% · r3d: 8.83% · ema21_slope: 0.0784% · dist_ema21: 4.031%
Force Relative 25% 0.7478 rs_1h: 2.178% · rs_4h: 1.278% · rs_1d: 5.13% · rs_3d: 7.96% · beta_24h: 1.308
Volume 20% 0.3736 rvol_20: 1.06× · zscore_50: -0.043 · trend: 14.99%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6548 ADX: 19.9 (weak) · Chop: 39.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.951% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.6312
Score SMA
0.5573
Rank
#6 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8355
Rank Norm SMA
0.4889
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7154 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 2.005% · r1d: 2.38% · r3d: 9.85% · ema21_slope: 0.1181% · dist_ema21: 2.068%
Force Relative 25% 0.6905 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 1.708% · rs_1d: 2.37% · rs_3d: 8.94% · beta_24h: 2.100
Volume 20% 0.5187 rvol_20: 1.44× · zscore_50: 1.231 · trend: 15.03%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5693 ADX: 26.8 (trend) · Chop: 57.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.5482 ATR%: 4.355% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.627% (0.0111)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.263% 0.3R -1.663% 0.4R 0.8× 12
2h +1.263% 0.3R -1.663% 0.4R 0.8× 24
4h +1.263% 0.3R -1.663% 0.4R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.263% 0.3R -2.013% 0.4R 0.6× 72
8h +1.263% 0.3R -3.339% 0.7R 0.4× 96
12h +1.263% 0.3R -3.339% 0.7R 0.4× 144
24h +4.890% 1.1R -3.339% 0.7R 1.5× 288
48h +6.661% 1.4R -3.339% 0.7R 2.0× 576
72h +10.984% 2.4R -3.339% 0.7R 3.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1124 min MAE in 364 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.87
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 33% early near 0.3ATR near 0.0ATR 0.63 bull_high +12.59% -0.51 29/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range strong balanced expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 39% early — near 0.3ATR 0.43 bull_high +2.03% +0.75 01/10 08:00
1h ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 47% late — — 0.47 bull_medium_confirmed +1.11% +0.43 01/10 14:00
15m ↑ up transition bearish_transition weak fading expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 42% late — near -1.0ATR 0.56 bull_low_confirmed +0.95% +0.28 01/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187729
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.720 expansion_after_compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 33% early 6b 0.4ATR near 0.3ATR near 0.0ATR 1.32 97% ↑ +0.75 value +1.16 — #101616 0.63 bull_high +12.59% -0.51
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:25
4h
#194260
↑ up range range strong balanced 0.570 expansion bull_high
67%
noisy_chop 39% early 12b 0.4ATR — near 0.3ATR 1.44 98% ↓ -0.53 value +2.60 — #104427 0.43 bull_high +2.03% +0.75
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:18
1h anchor
#195423
↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.535 expansion bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 47% late 2b 1.9ATR — — 1.06 69% ↑ +0.84 above_value +4.17 — #104970 0.47 bull_medium_confirmed +1.11% +0.43
01/10 14:00
upd 01/10 15:11
15m
#195345
↑ up transition bearish_transition weak fading 0.321 expansion bull_high
58%
noisy_chop 42% late 9b 2.2ATR — near -1.0ATR 0.28 63% ↓ -0.78 above_value +3.10 — #104814 0.56 bull_low_confirmed +0.95% +0.28
01/10 14:45
upd 01/10 15:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 6b — 1.409×ATR p0 +0.407×ATR p16
4h ↓ down early 12b — 2.244×ATR p12 +0.431×ATR p26
1h ↑ up late 2b — 2.349×ATR p34 +1.918×ATR p89
15m ↑ up late 9b — 4.348×ATR p78 +2.232×ATR p93

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.22881632
  2. tp_price: 0.2458565
  3. atr: 0.00441747
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T01:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 7
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.6918
  4. delta_2h: 0.1555
  5. extension_atr: 1.85
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8555
  9. confidence: 0.971

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2399 0.2288 0.2459 0.54 0.1636
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2399
  • Stop Loss: 0.2288
  • Take Profit: 0.2459

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2288 - 0.2399 = -0.0111

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2399 - 0.2459 = -0.006

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.006 / -0.0111 = 0.5405

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
173.7537 100 724.3962 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.0111

Taille de position = 8 / -0.0111 = -720.72

Taille de position USD = -720.72 x 0.2399 = -172.9

Donc, tu peux acheter -720.72 avec un stoploss a 0.2288

Avec un position size USD de -172.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -720.72 x -0.0111 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -720.72 x -0.006 = 4.32

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.32$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -720.72
  • Taille de position USD -172.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.32
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5405

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 4.35 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.63 % 8.04 $
PNL PNL %
-3.19 $ -1.84
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.8383 % 39.73 % 2
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2399 0.2288 0.2459 0.54 0.1636
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2399
  • Stop Loss: 0.2288
  • Take Profit: 0.2459

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2288 - 0.2399 = -0.0111

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2399 - 0.2459 = -0.006

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.006 / -0.0111 = 0.5405

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.627% (0.0111)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.263% 0.3R -1.663% 0.4R 0.8× 12
2h +1.263% 0.3R -1.663% 0.4R 0.8× 24
4h +1.263% 0.3R -1.663% 0.4R 0.8× 48
6h ★ +1.263% 0.3R -2.013% 0.4R 0.6× 72
8h +1.263% 0.3R -3.339% 0.7R 0.4× 96
12h +1.263% 0.3R -3.339% 0.7R 0.4× 144
24h +4.890% 1.1R -3.339% 0.7R 1.5× 288
48h +6.661% 1.4R -3.339% 0.7R 2.0× 576
72h +10.984% 2.4R -3.339% 0.7R 3.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 1124 min MAE in 364 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.