01 Oct 2026 at 15:15:05 hyperliquid

Short Trade on CC (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 1973.07 CC at 0.12$ per unit. Take profit: 0.117 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.1241 (3.42 %)

CC SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 15:15 → 21:05 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.12$

Qty 1973.0725 CC

Size 236.8674$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.117 (+2.5%)

TP $ 5.92$

SL 0.1241 (-3.42%)

SL $ 8.09$

RR 0.73

Status loss PnL -0.24% / -0.57$ MAE -1.20% MFE +0.18% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 21:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170354)
#74 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 15:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2003

Quality Score
0.395
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#74 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
-4
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.42 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#74 / 77 OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 % OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-6 BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
3.42 % OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h near 0.04×ATR
4h clear 3.00×ATR
1d clear 2.31×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↓ down mid OK
1d ↑ up early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2 OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts NO
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
2.2M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 15:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 14:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4581
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro bull

0.55

expansion

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 65.0%
Macro broad_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : alts
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.3%
1h 55.9%
4h 86.4%
24h 47.5%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 33.9% -0.11%
4h 57.6% +1.25%
24h 32.2% -0.01%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.207
Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 15:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5780
Score SMA
0.6324
Rank
#40 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4800
Rank Norm SMA
0.5233
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7469 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.09% · r3d: -7.97% · ema21_slope: 1.2060% · dist_ema21: 7.395%
Force Relative 25% 0.5580 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.11% · rs_3d: -6.99% · beta_24h: 1.634
Volume 20% 0.5376 rvol_20: 1.29× · zscore_50: 0.791 · trend: 69.11%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7129 ADX: 25.5 (trend) · Chop: 32.9 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 8.002% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 15:00
Score brut
0.3949
Score SMA
0.5761
Rank
#74 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2003
Rank Norm SMA
0.5610
Calculé le
01/10/2026 15:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3119 r1h: -0.811% · r4h: -1.624% · r1d: -4.29% · r3d: -8.69% · ema21_slope: -0.2046% · dist_ema21: -2.403%
Force Relative 25% 0.2729 rs_1h: -0.690% · rs_4h: -2.517% · rs_1d: -5.30% · rs_3d: -9.57% · beta_24h: 0.369
Volume 20% 0.6781 rvol_20: 2.22× · zscore_50: 1.683 · trend: 18.62%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.6202 ADX: 21.3 (weak) · Chop: 45.2 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 1.452% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 12:00
Score brut
0.4230
Score SMA
0.6124
Rank
#58 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.1908
Rank Norm SMA
0.6093
Calculé le
01/10/2026 12:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4423 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.115% · r1d: -2.09% · r3d: -4.81% · ema21_slope: -0.2817% · dist_ema21: -3.924%
Force Relative 25% 0.4744 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.412% · rs_1d: -2.09% · rs_3d: -5.72% · beta_24h: -0.102
Volume 20% 0.2139 rvol_20: 0.61× · zscore_50: -0.564 · trend: -24.74%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4022 ADX: 17.8 (weak) · Chop: 68.7 (range)
Volatilité 10% 0.6860 ATR%: 3.942% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.417% (0.0041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.150% 0.0R -0.742% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.150% 0.0R -0.742% 0.2R 0.2× 24
4h +0.167% 0.1R -0.742% 0.2R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.175% 0.1R -1.200% 0.4R 0.2× 72
8h +0.175% 0.1R -1.542% 0.5R 0.1× 96
12h +0.958% 0.3R -1.925% 0.6R 0.5× 144
24h +3.617% 1.1R -5.742% 1.7R 0.6× 288
48h +3.617% 1.1R -5.742% 1.7R 0.6× 576
72h +3.617% 1.1R -7.650% 2.2R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1399 min MAE in 1084 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↔ neutral range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 41% early — — 0.29 bull_high +12.59% +0.93 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range strong grind compression bull_high
47%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.37 bull_high +2.03% -0.88 01/10 08:00
1h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 41% late near 0.0ATR — 0.36 bull_medium_confirmed +1.11% -0.58 01/10 14:00
15m ↓ down range range moderate grind normal bear_medium_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 40% mid — — 0.39 bull_low_confirmed +0.95% -0.24 01/10 14:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187759
↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.558 volatile_reversal bull_high
53%
noisy_chop 41% early 14b 0.8ATR — — 1.29 95% ↑ +0.73 above_value -4.99 — #101626 0.29 bull_high +12.59% +0.93
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#194294
↔ neutral range range strong grind 0.599 compression bull_high
47%
noisy_chop 40% mid 21b -1.3ATR — — 0.61 71% ↓ -0.32 below_value -9.06 — #104438 0.37 bull_high +2.03% -0.88
01/10 08:00
upd 01/10 12:20
1h anchor
#195434
↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.420 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 41% late 17b -1.9ATR near 0.0ATR — 2.22 82% ↔ +0.01 below_value -10.02 — #104981 0.36 bull_medium_confirmed +1.11% -0.58
01/10 14:00
upd 01/10 15:12
15m
#195355
↓ down range range moderate grind 0.526 normal bear_medium_confirmed
58%
noisy_chop 40% mid 4b -1.3ATR — — 5.29 99% ↑ +0.20 below_value -9.31 — #104825 0.39 bull_low_confirmed +0.95% -0.24
01/10 14:45
upd 01/10 15:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up early 14b — 3.763×ATR p47 +0.797×ATR p54
4h ↓ down mid 21b — 4.99×ATR p67 -1.292×ATR p60
1h ↓ down late 17b — 5.001×ATR p91 -1.861×ATR p80
15m ↓ down mid 4b — 2.303×ATR p30 -1.301×ATR p72

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.12410459
  2. tp_price: 0.11704875
  3. atr: 0.00162184
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T01:15:05+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 72
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.3286
  4. delta_2h: -0.0065
  5. extension_atr: -1.52
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1444
  9. confidence: 0.934

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.12 0.1241 0.117 0.73 0.09757
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.12
  • Stop Loss: 0.1241
  • Take Profit: 0.117

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1241 - 0.12 = 0.0041

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.12 - 0.117 = 0.003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0041 = 0.7317

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
236.8674 100 1973.0725 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0041

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0041 = 1951.22

Taille de position USD = 1951.22 x 0.12 = 234.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 1951.22 avec un stoploss a 0.1241

Avec un position size USD de 234.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 1951.22 x 0.0041 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 1951.22 x 0.003 = 5.85

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 5.85$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 1951.22
  • Taille de position USD 234.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 5.85
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.7317

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 5.92 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.42 % 8.09 $
PNL PNL %
-0.57 $ -0.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7417 % 21.71 % 27
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.12 0.1241 0.117 0.73 0.09757
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.12
  • Stop Loss: 0.1241
  • Take Profit: 0.117

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1241 - 0.12 = 0.0041

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.12 - 0.117 = 0.003

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.003 / 0.0041 = 0.7317

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -3.417% (0.0041)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.150% 0.0R -0.742% 0.2R 0.2× 12
2h +0.150% 0.0R -0.742% 0.2R 0.2× 24
4h +0.167% 0.1R -0.742% 0.2R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.175% 0.1R -1.200% 0.4R 0.2× 72
8h +0.175% 0.1R -1.542% 0.5R 0.1× 96
12h +0.958% 0.3R -1.925% 0.6R 0.5× 144
24h +3.617% 1.1R -5.742% 1.7R 0.6× 288
48h +3.617% 1.1R -5.742% 1.7R 0.6× 576
72h +3.617% 1.1R -7.650% 2.2R 0.5× 864
⏱ MFE in 1399 min MAE in 1084 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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