Short Trade on MET

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01 Oct 2026 at 16:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on MET (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 639.92 MET at 0.299$ per unit. Take profit: 0.2919 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.3119 (4.18 %)

MET SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 16:15 → 22:15 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.2994$

Qty 639.916 MET

Size 191.6101$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.2919 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.8$

SL 0.3119 (-4.18%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.6

Status loss PnL -2.08% / -3.99$ MAE -2.59% MFE +0.34% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170429)

#72 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.1003

Quality Score

0.405

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#72 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.18 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#72 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

97 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

4.18 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	1.14×ATR
4h	clear	0.79×ATR
1d	clear	2.54×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↑ up	early	OK
4h	↓ down	late	BLOCKED
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

1.6M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 16:02

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 08:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 14:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 08:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 14:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4585

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 40.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	91.7%
1h	8.3%
4h	63.3%
24h	53.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	75.0%	+0.21%
4h	25.0%	+0.16%
24h	26.7%	+0.40%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.120

Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 16:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.4947

Score SMA

0.6448

Rank

#68 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1067

Rank Norm SMA

0.5466

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6501	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -2.93% · r3d: -16.96% · ema21_slope: 3.2380% · dist_ema21: 8.635%
Force Relative	25%	0.4203	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -2.91% · rs_3d: -15.98% · beta_24h: 1.945
Volume	20%	0.2416	rvol_20: 0.45× · zscore_50: -0.315 · trend: -3.10%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.9754	ADX: 57.0 (trend) · Chop: 26.4 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 11.136% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4045

Score SMA

0.5042

Rank

#72 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1003

Rank Norm SMA

0.3562

Calculé le

01/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.2870	r1h: -0.639% · r4h: 0.464% · r1d: -6.38% · r3d: -7.16% · ema21_slope: -0.3508% · dist_ema21: -2.123%
Force Relative	25%	0.3103	rs_1h: -0.466% · rs_4h: -0.128% · rs_1d: -7.62% · rs_3d: -8.68% · beta_24h: 2.111
Volume	20%	0.2980	rvol_20: 0.75× · zscore_50: -0.124 · trend: 0.25%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7536	ADX: 35.3 (trend) · Chop: 43.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 1.753% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.3626

Score SMA

0.4972

Rank

#74 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.0329

Rank Norm SMA

0.3264

Calculé le

01/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3878	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.464% · r1d: -6.38% · r3d: -7.16% · ema21_slope: -0.3742% · dist_ema21: -6.307%
Force Relative	25%	0.2528	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.128% · rs_1d: -7.62% · rs_3d: -8.68% · beta_24h: 2.978
Volume	20%	0.3175	rvol_20: 1.10× · zscore_50: -0.216 · trend: -22.65%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5070	ADX: 17.7 (weak) · Chop: 55.5 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.4601	ATR%: 4.620% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.175% (0.0125)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.196%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.341%	0.1R	-1.196%	0.3R	0.3×	24
4h	+0.341%	0.1R	-1.196%	0.3R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+0.341%	0.1R	-2.585%	0.6R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.341%	0.1R	-6.503%	1.6R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.341%	0.1R	-9.766%	2.3R	0.0×	144
24h	+5.848%	1.4R	-9.766%	2.3R	0.6×	288
48h	+5.848%	1.4R	-9.766%	2.3R	0.6×	576
72h	+5.848%	1.4R	-9.766%	2.3R	0.6×	864

⏱ MFE in 1379 min MAE in 514 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 0.28

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early	—	—	0.48	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 35%	late	—	—	0.34	bull_high	+2.03%	-0.83	01/10 08:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	early	—	—	0.49	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.11%	-0.63	01/10 14:00
15m	↓ down	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	expansion	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 42%	mid	—	—	0.60	range_low	+0.71%	+0.04	01/10 15:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187756	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.820	volatile_reversal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b 0.6ATR	—	—	0.45	75%	↔ +0.00	below_value	-2.62	—	#101625	0.48	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:26
4h #194287	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.506	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 35%	late 9b -1.9ATR	—	—	0.34	29%	↓ -0.38	below_value	-4.84	—	#104436	0.34	bull_high	+2.03%	-0.83	01/10 08:00 upd 01/10 12:19
1h anchor #195432	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.387	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.73	57%	↔ +0.03	below_value	-3.88	—	#104979	0.49	bull_medium_confirmed	+1.11%	-0.63	01/10 14:00 upd 01/10 15:12
15m #195745	↓ down	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.407	expansion	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 8b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.23	37%	↑ +0.24	below_value	-3.88	—	#104979	0.60	range_low	+0.71%	+0.04	01/10 15:45 upd 01/10 16:04
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	7b	—	2.672×ATR	p0	+0.612×ATR	p38
4h	↓ down	late	9b	—	3.362×ATR	p33	-1.912×ATR	p81
1h	↑ up	early	3b	—	1.383×ATR	p0	-1.032×ATR	p56
15m	↓ down	mid	8b	—	3.057×ATR	p54	-0.484×ATR	p24

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 0.31193164
tp_price: 0.29194425
atr: 0.00500065
expires_at: 2026-10-02T02:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 75
total: 77
score: 0.2463
delta_2h: -0.1108
extension_atr: -0.97
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.1036
confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Signaux confirmants (2)

#	Heure	Entry	Δ
1	16:15	0.29943000	+0.01%
2	18:15	0.30051000	+0.371%

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2994	0.3119	0.2919	0.6	0.285

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2994
Stop Loss: 0.3119
Take Profit: 0.2919

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3119 - 0.2994 = 0.0125
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2994 - 0.2919 = 0.0075
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0075 / 0.0125 = 0.6

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
191.6101	100	639.916	2.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.0125

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0125 = 640

Taille de position USD = 640 x 0.2994 = 191.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 640 avec un stoploss a 0.3119

Avec un position size USD de 191.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 640 x 0.0125 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 640 x 0.0075 = 4.8

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.8$

Résumé

Taille de position 640
Taille de position USD 191.62
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 4.8
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.6

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.51 %	4.8 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
4.18 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-3.99 $	-2.08

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.5852 %	61.92 %	12

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
0.2994	0.3119	0.2919	0.6	0.285

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 0.2994
Stop Loss: 0.3119
Take Profit: 0.2919

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 0.3119 - 0.2994 = 0.0125
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 0.2994 - 0.2919 = 0.0075
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0075 / 0.0125 = 0.6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.175% (0.0125)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+0.000%	0.0R	-1.196%	0.3R	0.0×	12
2h	+0.341%	0.1R	-1.196%	0.3R	0.3×	24
4h	+0.341%	0.1R	-1.196%	0.3R	0.3×	48
6h ★	+0.341%	0.1R	-2.585%	0.6R	0.1×	72
8h	+0.341%	0.1R	-6.503%	1.6R	0.1×	96
12h	+0.341%	0.1R	-9.766%	2.3R	0.0×	144
24h	+5.848%	1.4R	-9.766%	2.3R	0.6×	288
48h	+5.848%	1.4R	-9.766%	2.3R	0.6×	576
72h	+5.848%	1.4R	-9.766%	2.3R	0.6×	864

⏱ MFE in 1379 min MAE in 514 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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