Short Trade on NEAR

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01 Oct 2026 at 16:15:10 hyperliquid

Short Trade on NEAR (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 23.8 NEAR at 4.853$ per unit. Take profit: 4.7315 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 5.1889 (6.93 %)

NEAR SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 16:15 → 22:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 4.8528$

Qty 23.8008 NEAR

Size 115.5003$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 4.7315 (+2.5%)

TP $ 2.89$

SL 5.1889 (-6.93%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.36

Status loss PnL -1.72% / -1.98$ MAE -2.21% MFE +2.12% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 22:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170390)

#75 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 16:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3531

Quality Score

0.392

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#75 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

-4

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#75 / 77 OK

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-6 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

6.93 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

2/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	near	0.42×ATR
4h	near	-0.80×ATR
1d	clear	6.62×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↑ up	late	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

btc OK

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

338.2M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 16:00

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 15:00 Score : -4 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2)

01/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 15:00

Score : -4 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4585

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 40.6%

Macro btc_led_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : btc

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	91.7%
1h	8.3%
4h	63.3%
24h	53.3%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	75.0%	+0.21%
4h	25.0%	+0.16%
24h	26.7%	+0.40%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.120

Universe : 60 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 16:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.7848

Score SMA

0.7851

Rank

#5 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.9467

Rank Norm SMA

0.8897

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.9179	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 9.36% · r3d: -0.93% · ema21_slope: 4.9749% · dist_ema21: 32.072%
Force Relative	25%	0.8676	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 9.37% · rs_3d: 0.05% · beta_24h: 1.624
Volume	20%	0.7124	rvol_20: 1.64× · zscore_50: 1.952 · trend: 128.40%
Qualité Tendance	15%	1.0000	ADX: 61.3 (trend) · Chop: 22.1 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 9.227% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.3920

Score SMA

0.5796

Rank

#75 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3531

Rank Norm SMA

0.6320

Calculé le

01/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3173	r1h: -0.627% · r4h: -1.169% · r1d: -8.42% · r3d: 2.92% · ema21_slope: -0.3704% · dist_ema21: -4.092%
Force Relative	25%	0.3352	rs_1h: -0.455% · rs_4h: -1.761% · rs_1d: -9.66% · rs_3d: 1.40% · beta_24h: 2.054
Volume	20%	0.3447	rvol_20: 0.96× · zscore_50: -0.007 · trend: 3.96%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.7701	ADX: 32.4 (trend) · Chop: 33.8 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.927% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4266

Score SMA

0.5822

Rank

#66 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3816

Rank Norm SMA

0.5897

Calculé le

01/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.5473	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.169% · r1d: -8.42% · r3d: 2.92% · ema21_slope: 0.2349% · dist_ema21: -4.033%
Force Relative	25%	0.3647	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.761% · rs_1d: -9.66% · rs_3d: 1.40% · beta_24h: 1.055
Volume	20%	0.3441	rvol_20: 0.83× · zscore_50: -0.183 · trend: 27.83%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.5436	ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 59.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.1497	ATR%: 5.551% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.926% (0.3361)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.271%	0.2R	-0.447%	0.1R	2.8×	12
2h	+1.832%	0.3R	-0.447%	0.1R	4.1×	24
4h	+2.118%	0.3R	-0.447%	0.1R	4.7×	48
6h ★	+2.118%	0.3R	-2.209%	0.3R	1.0×	72
8h	+2.118%	0.3R	-4.070%	0.6R	0.5×	96
12h	+2.118%	0.3R	-4.542%	0.7R	0.5×	144
24h	+5.461%	0.8R	-4.542%	0.7R	1.2×	288
48h	+5.461%	0.8R	-4.542%	0.7R	1.2×	576
72h	+5.461%	0.8R	-4.542%	0.7R	1.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 1439 min MAE in 514 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 3.61

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 46%	late	—	—	0.53	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00
4h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	normal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	early	near -0.8ATR	—	0.39	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.64	01/10 12:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 46%	mid	near 0.4ATR	—	0.32	bull_medium_confirmed	+0.91%	-0.79	01/10 15:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	normal	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early	—	near 0.2ATR	0.48	range_low	+0.71%	-0.06	01/10 15:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187631	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.732	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	60%	noisy_chop 46%	late 17b 2.0ATR	—	—	1.64	99%	↑ +0.90	above_value	+2.82	—	#101587	0.53	bull_high	+12.59%	+1.00	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:22
4h #195814	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.688	normal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b -0.8ATR	near -0.8ATR	—	0.83	85%	↔ -0.13	above_value	-0.35	—	#105095	0.39	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.64	01/10 12:00 upd 01/10 16:14
1h anchor #195813	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.474	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 46%	mid 5b -1.4ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.96	65%	↑ +0.59	above_value	-0.35	—	#105095	0.32	bull_medium_confirmed	+0.91%	-0.79	01/10 15:00 upd 01/10 16:14
15m #195708	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.436	normal	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 37%	early 2b -0.5ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.81	58%	↓ -0.33	above_value	-0.20	—	#104939	0.48	range_low	+0.71%	-0.06	01/10 15:45 upd 01/10 16:02
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↑ up	late	17b	—	6.239×ATR	p87	+1.988×ATR	p84
4h	↓ down	early	3b	—	2.473×ATR	p14	-0.756×ATR	p50
1h	↓ down	mid	5b	—	0.942×ATR	p2	-1.441×ATR	p79
15m	↑ up	early	2b	—	1.58×ATR	p3	-0.486×ATR	p25

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 5.18892371
tp_price: 4.73148
atr: 0.13444948
expires_at: 2026-10-02T02:15:10+00:00

Details

rank: 74
total: 77
score: 0.2483
delta_2h: -0.1076
extension_atr: -1.43
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.3399
confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.8528	5.1889	4.7315	0.36	4.3993

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.8528
Stop Loss: 5.1889
Take Profit: 4.7315

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 5.1889 - 4.8528 = 0.3361
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.8528 - 4.7315 = 0.1213
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1213 / 0.3361 = 0.3609

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
115.5003	100	23.8008	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.3361

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3361 = 23.8

Taille de position USD = 23.8 x 4.8528 = 115.5

Donc, tu peux acheter 23.8 avec un stoploss a 5.1889

Avec un position size USD de 115.5$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 23.8 x 0.3361 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 23.8 x 0.1213 = 2.89

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.89$

Résumé

Taille de position 23.8
Taille de position USD 115.5
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 2.89
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3609

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	2.89 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
6.93 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-1.98 $	-1.72

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-2.209 %	31.89 %	12

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
4.8528	5.1889	4.7315	0.36	4.3993

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 4.8528
Stop Loss: 5.1889
Take Profit: 4.7315

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 5.1889 - 4.8528 = 0.3361
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 4.8528 - 4.7315 = 0.1213
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1213 / 0.3361 = 0.3609

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -6.926% (0.3361)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.271%	0.2R	-0.447%	0.1R	2.8×	12
2h	+1.832%	0.3R	-0.447%	0.1R	4.1×	24
4h	+2.118%	0.3R	-0.447%	0.1R	4.7×	48
6h ★	+2.118%	0.3R	-2.209%	0.3R	1.0×	72
8h	+2.118%	0.3R	-4.070%	0.6R	0.5×	96
12h	+2.118%	0.3R	-4.542%	0.7R	0.5×	144
24h	+5.461%	0.8R	-4.542%	0.7R	1.2×	288
48h	+5.461%	0.8R	-4.542%	0.7R	1.2×	576
72h	+5.461%	0.8R	-4.542%	0.7R	1.2×	864

⏱ MFE in 1439 min MAE in 514 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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