Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 39.68 AVAX at 11.005$ per unit. Take profit: 10.501 (4.58 %) & Stop Loss: 11.2066 (1.83 %)
Short Trade on AVAX (BosPullback)
With 39.68 AVAX at 11.005$ per unit. Take profit: 10.501 (4.58 %) & Stop Loss: 11.2066 (1.83 %)
Position
Entry 11.005$
Qty 39.6832 AVAX
Size 436.7139$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 10.501 (+4.58%)
TP $ 20$
SL 11.2066 (-1.83%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.5748
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 2.55×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.72×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.97×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : range_high (0) 01/10 15:00 Score : -5 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : range_high 15m_regime : range_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 68.3% |
| 1h | 68.3% |
| 4h | 88.3% |
| 24h | 58.3% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 65.0% | +0.06% |
| 4h | 75.0% | +1.67% |
| 24h | 30.0% | +0.50% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7436 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.40% · r3d: 0.34% · ema21_slope: 2.1266% · dist_ema21: 11.844% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6278 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.39% · rs_3d: 1.32% · beta_24h: 0.946 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4402 | rvol_20: 0.89× · zscore_50: 0.414 · trend: 63.17% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8938 | ADX: 47.3 (trend) · Chop: 25.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.967% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5491 | r1h: 0.036% · r4h: 1.019% · r1d: 0.93% · r3d: 6.46% · ema21_slope: -0.0444% · dist_ema21: 0.066% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5549 | rs_1h: 0.209% · rs_4h: 0.427% · rs_1d: -0.31% · rs_3d: 4.94% · beta_24h: 1.341 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9099 | rvol_20: 2.85× · zscore_50: 2.595 · trend: 70.91% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5155 | ADX: 19.3 (weak) · Chop: 56.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.381% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6635 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.019% · r1d: 0.93% · r3d: 6.46% · ema21_slope: 0.0794% · dist_ema21: 0.124% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5768 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.427% · rs_1d: -0.31% · rs_3d: 4.94% · beta_24h: 3.222 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6728 | rvol_20: 1.89× · zscore_50: 2.140 · trend: 31.33% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5067 | ADX: 19.6 (weak) · Chop: 57.5 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8773 | ATR%: 3.368% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.273% | 0.2R | -0.427% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.481% | 0.8R | -0.427% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.481% | 0.8R | -0.427% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.481% | 0.8R | -1.572% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.481% | 0.8R | -1.890% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.207% | 2.8R | -2.435% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.207% | 2.8R | -2.435% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.207% | 2.8R | -2.435% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | — | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early | — | — | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.28 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | — | near -0.3ATR | 0.49 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.91% | -0.07 | 01/10 15:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | — | — | 0.71 | bull_low | +0.84% | -0.01 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187508
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.684 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
62%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 6b 1.2ATR | — | — | 0.89 | 96% | ↑ +0.76 | above_value | +3.10 | — | #101559 | 0.72 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:16
|
|
4h
#195760
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | balanced | 0.641 | normal | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 35% | early 13b 0.0ATR | — | — | 1.89 | 95% | ↔ -0.06 | above_value | +0.28 | — | #105068 | 0.53 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.28 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:12
|
|
1h
anchor #195759
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.397 | expansion_after_compression | range_high |
38%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 3b 0.0ATR | — | near -0.3ATR | 2.85 | 97% | ↑ +0.31 | above_value | +0.28 | — | #105068 | 0.49 | bull_medium_confirmed | +0.91% | -0.07 |
01/10 15:00
upd 01/10 16:12
|
|
15m
#195841
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.684 | normal | range_medium |
39%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b 0.6ATR | — | — | 0.05 | 11% | ↓ -0.17 | above_value | +0.28 | — | #105068 | 0.71 | bull_low | +0.84% | -0.01 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 16:16
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 1.268×ATR | p0 | +1.159×ATR | p69 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 13b | — | 2.744×ATR | p21 | +0.04×ATR | p2 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.803×ATR | p20 | +0.046×ATR | p6 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 0.926×ATR | p3 | +0.563×ATR | p44 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
10.728
145
0.3519
0.5137
0.3329
0.2072
0.4358
1
0.0876
0.4895
0.2903
0.4483
0.5791
0.4659
-0.0348
-0.0229
0.3333
0.1589
-0.0463
0.35
0.65
-1
4
1
0.5857
0.3628
3.0736
0.65
2.0174
3.2144
-0.0463
0
0.3343
0.34
0.0664
0.482
0.5798
0.709
0.4659
-7.1306
6.2197
1
1
0
Array
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[time] => 2026-09-27 20:00:00
[price] => 11.094
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[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 23:00:00
[price] => 10.704
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[label] => LL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 00:00:00
[price] => 10.981
[kind] => high
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 09:00:00
[price] => 10.332
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Array
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Array
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Array
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Array
(
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[time] => 2026-09-29 02:00:00
[price] => 10.337
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 12:00:00
[price] => 12.019
[kind] => high
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[price] => 11.038
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[price] => 11.564
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 08:00:00
[price] => 11
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 12:00:00
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 00:00:00
[price] => 10.779
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 04:00:00
[price] => 11.187
[kind] => high
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 07:00:00
[price] => 10.962
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[label] => HL
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Array
(
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[price] => 11.192
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:00:00
[price] => 10.728
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[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 22:00:00
[price] => 10.867
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 23:15:00
[price] => 11.011
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 00:30:00
[price] => 10.779
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 01:15:00
[price] => 10.919
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 01:30:00
[price] => 10.836
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 04:00:00
[price] => 11.166
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 04:15:00
[price] => 11.06
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 06:30:00
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[kind] => low
[label] => HL
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[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
(
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[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 10:15:00
[price] => 10.861
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 11:45:00
[price] => 11.069
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 13:15:00
[price] => 10.874
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 13:30:00
[price] => 11.036
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 14:30:00
[price] => 11.026
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
[price] => 10.839
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:30:00
[price] => 10.967
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:45:00
[price] => 10.728
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 19:00:00
[price] => 11.083
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
10.728
11.192
11.192
10.728
11.192
10.962
11.077
0.813
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:25 | 11.00500000 | 0% |
| 2 | 17:14 | 10.98300000 | -0.2% |
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.005 | 11.2066 | 10.501 | 2.5 | 8.7605 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.2066 - 11.005 = 0.2016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.005 - 10.501 = 0.504
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.504 / 0.2016 = 2.5
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 436.7139 | 100 | 39.6832 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2016 = 39.68
Taille de position USD = 39.68 x 11.005 = 436.68
Donc, tu peux acheter 39.68 avec un stoploss a 11.2066
Avec un position size USD de 436.68$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 39.68 x 0.2016 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 39.68 x 0.504 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.58 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.83 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.83 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.89 % | 103.17 % | 27 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11.005 | 11.2066 | 10.501 | 2.5 | 8.7605 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 11.2066 - 11.005 = 0.2016
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 11.005 - 10.501 = 0.504
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.504 / 0.2016 = 2.5
Array
(
)
Array
(
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.273% | 0.2R | -0.427% | 0.2R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.481% | 0.8R | -0.427% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +1.481% | 0.8R | -0.427% | 0.2R | 3.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +1.481% | 0.8R | -1.572% | 0.9R | 0.9× | 96 |
| 12h | +1.481% | 0.8R | -1.890% | 1.0R | 0.8× | 144 |
| 24h | +5.207% | 2.8R | -2.435% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +5.207% | 2.8R | -2.435% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +5.207% | 2.8R | -2.435% | 1.3R | 2.1× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
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