Long Trade on SKY (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 2218.16 SKY at 0.0837$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08579 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.08009 (4.31 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 17:15:12
hyperliquid
SKY
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 17:15
→ 20:15
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.0837$
Qty 2218.1618 SKY
Size 185.6579$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 0.08579 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.64$
SL 0.08009 (-4.31%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 0.58
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.64$
MAE -1.58%
MFE +3.39%
0.8R
expires
01 Oct 23:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170577)
#7 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 17:00
score du 01/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8026
Quality Score
0.635
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.31 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.98×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 0.76×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
1.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 17:02
01/10 17:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4589
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
74.6%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.6% |
| 1h | 57.6% |
| 4h | 88.1% |
| 24h | 62.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 57.6% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 79.7% | +1.85% |
| 24h | 35.6% | +0.56% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.162
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 17:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5288
Score SMA
0.6584
Rank
#53
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3067
Rank Norm SMA
0.6386
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6653 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -4.98% · r3d: -5.84% · ema21_slope: 1.1285% · dist_ema21: 7.414% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5049 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -4.97% · rs_3d: -4.86% · beta_24h: 1.124 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4775 | rvol_20: 0.85× · zscore_50: 0.312 · trend: 147.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7164 | ADX: 26.0 (trend) · Chop: 31.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 8.008% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6352
Score SMA
0.5645
Rank
#7
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8026
Rank Norm SMA
0.5790
Calculé le
01/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7231 | r1h: 0.165% · r4h: 4.674% · r1d: 7.65% · r3d: 6.77% · ema21_slope: 0.1671% · dist_ema21: 3.833% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7231 | rs_1h: 0.208% · rs_4h: 4.179% · rs_1d: 6.55% · rs_3d: 5.47% · beta_24h: 2.250 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6380 | rvol_20: 2.09× · zscore_50: 1.234 · trend: 26.36% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6795 | ADX: 21.5 (weak) · Chop: 37.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.825% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6520
Score SMA
0.6300
Rank
#10
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8882
Rank Norm SMA
0.7112
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8209 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 3.014% · r1d: 9.15% · r3d: 8.45% · ema21_slope: 0.0296% · dist_ema21: 4.493% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7674 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 2.422% · rs_1d: 7.91% · rs_3d: 6.92% · beta_24h: 0.753 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2914 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: -0.149 · trend: -34.42% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5364 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 52.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7512 | ATR%: 3.746% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.313%
(0.0036)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.516% | 0.4R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 29.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.516% | 0.4R | -1.147% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.387% | 0.8R | -1.459% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.387% | 0.8R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.387% | 0.8R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.078% | 1.4R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.444% | 3.4R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 9.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +14.444% | 3.4R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 9.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.235% | 4.0R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 10.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1104 min
MAE in 244 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.23
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | — | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.94 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near -1.0ATR | 0.39 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.16 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.37 | bull_medium | +0.85% | +0.48 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.51 | range_low | +0.61% | +0.24 | 01/10 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187738
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.665 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
57%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 14b 0.8ATR | — | — | 0.85 | 91% | ↑ +0.82 | above_value | -0.09 | — | #101619 | 0.56 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.94 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
|
|
4h
#195909
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.555 | compression | bull_high |
62%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 6b 1.2ATR | — | near -1.0ATR | 1.00 | 87% | ↓ -0.56 | value | +3.54 | — | #105129 | 0.39 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.16 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:19
|
|
1h
anchor #196286
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | explosive | 0.674 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | late 7b 1.9ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 2.09 | 79% | ↑ +0.80 | value | +3.84 | — | #105363 | 0.37 | bull_medium | +0.85% | +0.48 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 17:11
|
|
15m
#196208
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.366 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 48% | mid 1b 1.3ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.64 | 71% | ↔ +0.01 | value | +3.54 | — | #105129 | 0.51 | range_low | +0.61% | +0.24 |
01/10 16:45
upd 01/10 17:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 14b | — | 3.545×ATR | p42 | +0.758×ATR | p46 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 6b | — | 2.289×ATR | p13 | +1.238×ATR | p63 |
| 1h | ↑ up | late | 7b | — | 3.605×ATR | p75 | +1.908×ATR | p81 |
| 15m | ↓ down | mid | 1b | — | 0.651×ATR | p0 | +1.329×ATR | p62 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.08009241
- tp_price: 0.08579147
- atr: 0.00144264
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T03:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 77
- score: 0.7208
- delta_2h: 0.0087
- extension_atr: 1.98
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.7944
- confidence: 0.934
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17:15 | 0.08369900 | -0.001% |
| 2 | 18:15 | 0.08385800 | +0.189% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0837 | 0.08009 | 0.08579 | 0.58 | 0.06666 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0837
- Stop Loss: 0.08009
- Take Profit: 0.08579
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08009 - 0.0837 = -0.00361
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0837 - 0.08579 = -0.00209
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00209 / -0.00361 = 0.5789
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 185.6579 | 100 | 2218.1618 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00361
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00361 = -2216.07
Taille de position USD = -2216.07 x 0.0837 = -185.49
Donc, tu peux acheter -2216.07 avec un stoploss a 0.08009
Avec un position size USD de -185.49$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -2216.07 x -0.00361 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -2216.07 x -0.00209 = 4.63
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.63$
Résumé
- Taille de position -2216.07
- Taille de position USD -185.49
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 4.63
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5789
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.64 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.31 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.64 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.147 % | 26.59 % | 5 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0837 | 0.08009 | 0.08579 | 0.58 | 0.06666 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.0837
- Stop Loss: 0.08009
- Take Profit: 0.08579
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.08009 - 0.0837 = -0.00361
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.0837 - 0.08579 = -0.00209
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00209 / -0.00361 = 0.5789
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.313%
(0.0036)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.516% | 0.4R | -0.051% | 0.0R | 29.5× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.516% | 0.4R | -1.147% | 0.3R | 1.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.387% | 0.8R | -1.459% | 0.3R | 2.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.387% | 0.8R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.387% | 0.8R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 2.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +6.078% | 1.4R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 3.9× | 144 |
| 24h | +14.444% | 3.4R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 9.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +14.444% | 3.4R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 9.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.235% | 4.0R | -1.580% | 0.4R | 10.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1104 min
MAE in 244 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.