Long Trade on AAVE (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1.01 AAVE at 169.99$ per unit. Take profit: 174.2398 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 162.0508 (4.67 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 17:15:12
hyperliquid
AAVE
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 17:15
→ 20:40
· 3 hours
Position
Entry 169.99$
Qty 1.0077 AAVE
Size 171.2914$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 174.2398 (+2.5%)
TP $ 4.28$
SL 162.0508 (-4.67%)
SL $ 8$
RR 0.54
Status
win
PnL
+2.50%
/ +4.28$
MAE -0.61%
MFE +4.85%
1.0R
expires
01 Oct 23:15
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170532)
#6 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 17:00
score du 01/10/2026 17:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9326
Quality Score
0.637
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#6 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#6 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.67 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.30×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.95×ATR |
| 1d | near | 0.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
alts
OK
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
51.7M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 17:00
01/10 17:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 16:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) 4589
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
74.6%
Macro
broad_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
alts
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 57.6% |
| 1h | 57.6% |
| 4h | 88.1% |
| 24h | 62.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 57.6% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 79.7% | +1.85% |
| 24h | 35.6% | +0.56% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.162
Universe :
59
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 17:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7003
Score SMA
0.6541
Rank
#13
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8400
Rank Norm SMA
0.5326
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7769 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -3.44% · r3d: 3.13% · ema21_slope: 1.2265% · dist_ema21: 11.143% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6815 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.43% · rs_3d: 4.11% · beta_24h: 1.372 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.8793 | rvol_20: 2.72× · zscore_50: 1.867 · trend: 111.68% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8065 | ADX: 36.8 (trend) · Chop: 31.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.839% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 17:00
Score brut
0.6366
Score SMA
0.5837
Rank
#6
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9326
Rank Norm SMA
0.6239
Calculé le
01/10/2026 17:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7195 | r1h: 0.343% · r4h: 2.221% · r1d: 6.88% · r3d: 14.93% · ema21_slope: 0.1554% · dist_ema21: 2.239% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7378 | rs_1h: 0.385% · rs_4h: 1.725% · rs_1d: 5.78% · rs_3d: 13.63% · beta_24h: 2.574 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2869 | rvol_20: 0.44× · zscore_50: -0.320 · trend: 31.14% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5262 | ADX: 21.6 (weak) · Chop: 57.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.015% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.8071
Score SMA
0.6457
Rank
#4
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9671
Rank Norm SMA
0.7011
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8241 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.648% · r1d: 7.04% · r3d: 15.32% · ema21_slope: 0.3078% · dist_ema21: 4.912% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7820 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.056% · rs_1d: 5.80% · rs_3d: 13.80% · beta_24h: 2.713 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.9105 | rvol_20: 2.57× · zscore_50: 2.701 · trend: 116.47% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6455 | ADX: 32.6 (trend) · Chop: 53.8 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.8542 | ATR%: 3.437% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.670%
(7.9392)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.282% | 0.3R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.424% | 0.3R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.959% | 0.6R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.847% | 1.0R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 7.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 454 min
MAE in 29 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 4.28
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid | — | near 0.5ATR | 0.68 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.96 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid | — | near -0.9ATR | 0.55 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.82 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.55 | bull_medium | +0.85% | +0.46 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.53 | range_low | +0.61% | +0.04 | 01/10 16:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187572
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.562 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
56%
|
noisy_chop 40% | mid 14b 1.3ATR | — | near 0.5ATR | 2.72 | 96% | ↑ +0.72 | value | -2.36 | — | #101575 | 0.68 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.96 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:19
|
|
4h
#195790
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.629 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | mid 7b 1.4ATR | — | near -0.9ATR | 2.57 | 100% | ↑ +0.51 | value | +0.83 | — | #105083 | 0.55 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.82 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:13
|
|
1h
anchor #196240
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.588 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
53%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 3b 1.0ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.44 | 74% | ↑ +0.65 | value | +1.02 | — | #105317 | 0.55 | bull_medium | +0.85% | +0.46 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 17:09
|
|
15m
#196165
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.610 | compression | bull_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 8b 0.9ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.05 | 11% | ↓ -0.89 | value | +0.83 | — | #105083 | 0.53 | range_low | +0.61% | +0.04 |
01/10 16:45
upd 01/10 17:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 14b | — | 4.252×ATR | p62 | +1.306×ATR | p65 |
| 4h | ↑ up | mid | 7b | — | 2.057×ATR | p0 | +1.364×ATR | p72 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.782×ATR | p17 | +0.965×ATR | p55 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 8b | — | 1.995×ATR | p4 | +0.917×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 162.05078051
- tp_price: 174.23975
- atr: 3.17568779
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T03:15:12+00:00
Details
- rank: 7
- total: 77
- score: 0.7195
- delta_2h: 0.1001
- extension_atr: 1.06
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9359
- confidence: 0.971
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169.99 | 162.0508 | 174.2398 | 0.54 | 131.83 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 169.99
- Stop Loss: 162.0508
- Take Profit: 174.2398
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 162.0508 - 169.99 = -7.9392
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 169.99 - 174.2398 = -4.2498
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.2498 / -7.9392 = 0.5353
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 171.2914 | 100 | 1.0077 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -7.9392
Taille de position = 8 / -7.9392 = -1.01
Taille de position USD = -1.01 x 169.99 = -171.69
Donc, tu peux acheter -1.01 avec un stoploss a 162.0508
Avec un position size USD de -171.69$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1.01 x -7.9392 = 8.02
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8.02$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1.01 x -4.2498 = 4.29
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.29$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1.01
- Taille de position USD -171.69
- Perte potentielle 8.02
- Gain potentiel 4.29
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5353
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 4.28 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 4.67 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.28 $ | 2.50 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6118 % | 13.1 % | 7 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169.99 | 162.0508 | 174.2398 | 0.54 | 131.83 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 169.99
- Stop Loss: 162.0508
- Take Profit: 174.2398
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 162.0508 - 169.99 = -7.9392
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 169.99 - 174.2398 = -4.2498
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -4.2498 / -7.9392 = 0.5353
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -4.670%
(7.9392)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.282% | 0.3R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 2.1× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.424% | 0.3R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 2.3× | 24 |
| 4h | +2.959% | 0.6R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 4.8× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +4.847% | 1.0R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 7.9× | 72 |
| 8h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +10.436% | 2.2R | -0.612% | 0.1R | 17.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 454 min
MAE in 29 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.