Short Trade on VVV

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01 Oct 2026 at 17:15:13 hyperliquid

Short Trade on VVV (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 5.55 VVV at 26.598$ per unit. Take profit: 25.9331 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 28.0393 (5.42 %)

VVV SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 17:15 → 23:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 26.598$

Qty 5.5506 VVV

Size 147.6356$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 25.9331 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.69$

SL 28.0393 (-5.42%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.46

Status win PnL +0.10% / +0.14$ MAE -0.45% MFE +1.57% 0.3R expires 01 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170570)

#50 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 17:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.3997

Quality Score

0.484

score brut du coin

Quality Rank

#50 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

BTC Regime Score

-2

−4 → +4 (macro BTC)

Coin Regime Score

−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.42 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Décision V3

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank

#50 / 77 OUT

seuil : top 15

Signal Confidence

96 % OK

seuil : ≥ 40%

Combined Regime Score

-2 BLOCKED

seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3

Stop Loss Size

5.42 % OK

seuil : ≥ 0.75%

Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)

1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Near Demand	Distance (ATR)
1h	clear	0.87×ATR
4h	near	-1.20×ATR
1d	clear	1.04×ATR

Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)

0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF

TF	Direction	Maturity	Adverse
1h	↓ down	mid	OK
4h	↓ down	early	OK
1d	↓ down	early	OK

Décision V4

WOULD SKIP

rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score

-2 OK

seuil : ≥ +3

Breadth Leadership

alts NO

attendu : btc_leading

Breadth State

N/A

attendu : contracting / deteriorating

Décision V5

N/A

regime + leadership

Context

Volume 24h (signal)

10.8M $

volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 17:01

Coin Market Regime V2
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 16:00 Score : 0 / ±6

Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 16:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation	Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) 4589

bull developing bull_consolidation

Strategic	bull 0.90	expansion -2
Operational	range 0.25	range 0
Tactical	range 0.25	range 0
Micro	range 0.25	range

MTF alignment : 0.55

Stability : 1.00

Transition risk : 0.00

Score contribution (this trade) -2

Market Breadth

Breadth Score 74.6%

Macro broad_risk_on

Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown

Legacy leadership : alts

Breadth state insufficient_history

Δ 15m

·—

Δ 1h

·—

Δ 4h

·—

Δ 12h

·—

Δ 24h

·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)

15m	57.6%
1h	57.6%
4h	88.1%
24h	62.7%

Outperformance vs BTC

Window	% outperf	Median ret
15m	57.6%	+0.02%
4h	79.7%	+1.85%
24h	35.6%	+0.56%

Expansion & Tails (4h)

Up ≥1σ

—

Down ≥1σ

—

Expansion

—

Tail ↑

—

Tail ↓

—

Dispersion : 0.162

Universe : 59 · ≥ $2.0M

Regime confidence : 0.75

Snapshot évalué : 01/10 17:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00

Score brut

0.5078

Score SMA

0.5540

Rank

#60 / 76

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.2133

Rank Norm SMA

0.2525

Calculé le

30/09/2026 20:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.6259	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 2.74% · r3d: -5.50% · ema21_slope: 1.8559% · dist_ema21: 4.080%
Force Relative	25%	0.5764	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.75% · rs_3d: -4.52% · beta_24h: 1.075
Volume	20%	0.2186	rvol_20: 0.50× · zscore_50: -0.285 · trend: -21.83%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.8812	ADX: 56.8 (trend) · Chop: 49.6 (neutral)
Volatilité	10%	0.0000	ATR%: 10.579% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 17:00

Score brut

0.4841

Score SMA

0.4789

Rank

#50 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.3997

Rank Norm SMA

0.2872

Calculé le

01/10/2026 17:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3700	r1h: -0.621% · r4h: -1.172% · r1d: -3.72% · r3d: -2.91% · ema21_slope: -0.0899% · dist_ema21: -2.798%
Force Relative	25%	0.3458	rs_1h: -0.578% · rs_4h: -1.667% · rs_1d: -4.83% · rs_3d: -4.20% · beta_24h: 2.428
Volume	20%	0.5986	rvol_20: 1.55× · zscore_50: 0.448 · trend: 166.34%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.6062	ADX: 18.5 (weak) · Chop: 44.2 (trend)
Volatilité	10%	1.0000	ATR%: 2.323% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00

Score brut

0.4311

Score SMA

0.4081

Rank

#65 / 77

Rank Norm SMA 8h

0.1250

Rank Norm SMA

0.0869

Calculé le

01/10/2026 16:00

Composante	Poids	Score	Détails
Momentum	30%	0.3326	r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -1.587% · r1d: -2.11% · r3d: -1.50% · ema21_slope: -0.2149% · dist_ema21: -3.391%
Force Relative	25%	0.2858	rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.179% · rs_1d: -3.35% · rs_3d: -3.02% · beta_24h: 2.462
Volume	20%	0.6895	rvol_20: 2.58× · zscore_50: 1.363 · trend: -0.49%
Qualité Tendance	15%	0.4239	ADX: 23.4 (weak) · Chop: 71.7 (range)
Volatilité	10%	0.5842	ATR%: 4.248% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.419% (1.4413)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.237%	0.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.485%	0.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+1.572%	0.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+1.572%	0.3R	-0.451%	0.1R	3.5×	72
8h	+1.572%	0.3R	-4.700%	0.9R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.572%	0.3R	-12.866%	2.4R	0.1×	144
24h	+1.572%	0.3R	-14.020%	2.6R	0.1×	288
48h	+1.572%	0.3R	-14.020%	2.6R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.572%	0.3R	-14.020%	2.6R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 164 min MAE in 814 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30

ML Pullback Score: 0.25

Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à
1d	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 35%	early	—	—	0.38	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.49	29/09 20:00
4h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 32%	early	near -1.2ATR	—	0.28	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.43	01/10 12:00
1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 36%	mid	—	—	0.38	bull_medium	+0.85%	-0.40	01/10 16:00
15m	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	volatile_reversal	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	mid	—	—	0.58	range_low	+0.61%	-0.26	01/10 16:45
5m	—

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

TF	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #187717	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.626	expansion	bull_high	64%	noisy_chop 35%	early 9b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.50	67%	↓ -0.18	value	-4.99	—	#101612	0.38	bull_high	+12.59%	+0.49	29/09 20:00 upd 30/09 20:25
4h #195885	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.522	normal	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 32%	early 3b -0.9ATR	near -1.2ATR	—	2.58	84%	↓ -0.49	above_value	-2.01	—	#105121	0.28	bull_high	+2.58%	-0.43	01/10 12:00 upd 01/10 16:18
1h anchor #196278	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.404	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	47%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 3b -1.2ATR	—	—	1.55	71%	↑ +0.74	value	-1.59	—	#105355	0.38	bull_medium	+0.85%	-0.40	01/10 16:00 upd 01/10 17:11
15m #196203	↓ down	range	range	strong	balanced	0.415	volatile_reversal	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	mid 6b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.03	11%	↑ +0.65	above_value	-2.01	—	#105121	0.58	range_low	+0.61%	-0.26	01/10 16:45 upd 01/10 17:03
5m	Pas de snapshot

Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF	Direction	Maturity	Age (bars)	Age since BOS	Amplitude	Amp. %ile	Extension	Ext. %ile
1d	↓ down	early	9b	—	2.366×ATR	p4	+0.321×ATR	p13
4h	↓ down	early	3b	—	1.345×ATR	p3	-0.926×ATR	p58
1h	↓ down	mid	3b	—	2.147×ATR	p28	-1.169×ATR	p74
15m	↑ up	mid	6b	—	1.949×ATR	p6	-1.052×ATR	p68

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

stop_price: 28.03927832
tp_price: 25.93305
atr: 0.57651133
expires_at: 2026-10-02T03:15:13+00:00

Details

rank: 74
total: 77
score: 0.3374
delta_2h: -0.123
extension_atr: -1.14
trend_phase:
trend_direction:
rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.375
confidence: 0.961

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
26.598	28.0393	25.9331	0.46	22.209

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 26.598
Stop Loss: 28.0393
Take Profit: 25.9331

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 28.0393 - 26.598 = 1.4413
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 26.598 - 25.9331 = 0.6649
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6649 / 1.4413 = 0.4613

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
147.6356	100	5.5506	1.00

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 1.4413

Taille de position = 8 / 1.4413 = 5.55

Taille de position USD = 5.55 x 26.598 = 147.62

Donc, tu peux acheter 5.55 avec un stoploss a 28.0393

Avec un position size USD de 147.62$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 5.55 x 1.4413 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 5.55 x 0.6649 = 3.69

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.69$

Résumé

Taille de position 5.55
Taille de position USD 147.62
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 3.69
Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4613

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
2.5 %	3.69 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
5.42 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
0.14 $	0.10

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.4512 %	8.33 %	6

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
26.598	28.0393	25.9331	0.46	22.209

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 26.598
Stop Loss: 28.0393
Take Profit: 25.9331

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 28.0393 - 26.598 = 1.4413
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 26.598 - 25.9331 = 0.6649
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6649 / 1.4413 = 0.4613

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


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Extra SL data


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MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.419% (1.4413)

Horizon	MFE %	MFE R	MAE %	MAE R	MFE/MAE	Candles
1h	+1.237%	0.2R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	12
2h	+1.485%	0.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	24
4h	+1.572%	0.3R	-0.000%	0.0R	—	48
6h ★	+1.572%	0.3R	-0.451%	0.1R	3.5×	72
8h	+1.572%	0.3R	-4.700%	0.9R	0.3×	96
12h	+1.572%	0.3R	-12.866%	2.4R	0.1×	144
24h	+1.572%	0.3R	-14.020%	2.6R	0.1×	288
48h	+1.572%	0.3R	-14.020%	2.6R	0.1×	576
72h	+1.572%	0.3R	-14.020%	2.6R	0.1×	864

⏱ MFE in 164 min MAE in 814 min ✓ Favorable move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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