Long Trade on PUMP (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 19163.97 PUMP at 0.00583$ per unit. Take profit: 0.005979 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.005416 (7.15 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 19:15:07
hyperliquid
PUMP
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 19:15
→ 01:10
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.005833$
Qty 19163.9717 PUMP
Size 111.7834$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.005979 (+2.5%)
TP $ 2.8$
SL 0.005416 (-7.15%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.35
Status
win
PnL
+1.39%
/ +1.55$
MAE -3.77%
MFE +3.07%
0.4R
expires
02 Oct 01:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170728)
#7 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 19:00
score du 01/10/2026 19:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.8585
Quality Score
0.605
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#7 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#7 / 76
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
93 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+8
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
7.15 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.21×ATR |
| 4h | near | 0.19×ATR |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.67
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
140.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 19:02
01/10 19:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 18:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4597
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_consolidation
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.55
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
25.3%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 44.8% |
| 1h | 81.0% |
| 4h | 19.0% |
| 24h | 39.7% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.8% | -0.01% |
| 4h | 24.1% | -0.67% |
| 24h | 19.0% | -0.63% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.085
Universe :
58
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
0.75
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 19:01
· env trend_consolidation
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7457
Score SMA
0.6211
Rank
#11
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8667
Rank Norm SMA
0.5018
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9250 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.61% · r3d: 14.91% · ema21_slope: 1.4160% · dist_ema21: 30.779% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8692 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.63% · rs_3d: 15.89% · beta_24h: 1.130 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6586 | rvol_20: 1.83× · zscore_50: 0.793 · trend: 94.90% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7948 | ADX: 35.4 (trend) · Chop: 38.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.558% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.6048
Score SMA
0.6301
Rank
#7
/ 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8585
Rank Norm SMA
0.7201
Calculé le
01/10/2026 19:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7501 | r1h: 3.248% · r4h: 1.970% · r1d: -1.30% · r3d: 21.02% · ema21_slope: -0.0189% · dist_ema21: 2.158% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7604 | rs_1h: 2.994% · rs_4h: 2.034% · rs_1d: -2.53% · rs_3d: 19.58% · beta_24h: 3.993 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2587 | rvol_20: 0.60× · zscore_50: -0.613 · trend: 12.80% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.4879 | ADX: 12.8 (weak) · Chop: 52.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.9753 | ATR%: 3.074% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.6726
Score SMA
0.6361
Rank
#8
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.7566
Rank Norm SMA
0.6627
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8944 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 6.375% · r1d: 1.71% · r3d: 15.31% · ema21_slope: 0.8452% · dist_ema21: 6.703% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8663 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 5.783% · rs_1d: 0.47% · rs_3d: 13.79% · beta_24h: 1.926 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4498 | rvol_20: 1.15× · zscore_50: 0.902 · trend: 13.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5398 | ADX: 35.2 (trend) · Chop: 69.6 (range) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.1674 | ATR%: 5.498% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.149%
(0.0004)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.012% | 0.1R | -0.857% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.012% | 0.1R | -1.132% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.012% | 0.1R | -3.772% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.069% | 0.4R | -3.772% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.069% | 0.4R | -3.772% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.743% | 0.8R | -3.772% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.378% | 0.9R | -12.652% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.435% | 1.6R | -12.652% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +16.835% | 2.4R | -12.652% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1024 min
MAE in 1159 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 1.21
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late | — | — | 0.50 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.28 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.87 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.39 | bull_medium | +0.97% | +0.05 | 01/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.42 | range_low | +0.67% | +0.07 | 01/10 18:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187732
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.689 | expansion | bull_high_confirmed |
69%
|
noisy_chop 43% | late 14b 2.5ATR | — | — | 1.83 | 96% | ↑ +0.59 | value | +0.98 | inside | #101617 | 0.50 | bull_high | +12.59% | +1.00 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
|
|
4h
#195903
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.694 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 37% | mid 3b 1.2ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 1.15 | 95% | ↓ -0.48 | above_value | -0.39 | — | #105127 | 0.28 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.87 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:18
|
|
1h
anchor #197065
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.615 | expansion | bull_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 1b 0.7ATR | — | near 0.2ATR | 0.60 | 52% | ↑ +0.47 | above_value | +0.36 | — | #105671 | 0.39 | bull_medium | +0.97% | +0.05 |
01/10 18:00
upd 01/10 19:11
|
|
15m
#196987
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.651 | compression | bull_high |
59%
|
noisy_chop 34% | early 4b 0.8ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.17 | 11% | ↓ -0.51 | above_value | +0.06 | — | #105517 | 0.42 | range_low | +0.67% | +0.07 |
01/10 18:45
upd 01/10 19:03
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 14b | — | 4.487×ATR | p70 | +2.466×ATR | p95 |
| 4h | ↓ down | mid | 3b | — | 0.687×ATR | p0 | +1.159×ATR | p62 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 1b | — | 0.562×ATR | p0 | +0.677×ATR | p42 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 4b | — | 2.406×ATR | p27 | +0.793×ATR | p58 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.00541555
- tp_price: 0.00597882
- atr: 0.00016698
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T05:15:07+00:00
Details
- rank: 6
- total: 77
- score: 0.7254
- delta_2h: 0.0319
- extension_atr: 0.57
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.8518
- confidence: 0.934
Signal Details
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005833 | 0.005416 | 0.005979 | 0.35 | 0.004201 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.005833
- Stop Loss: 0.005416
- Take Profit: 0.005979
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005416 - 0.005833 = -0.000417
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005833 - 0.005979 = -0.000146
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000146 / -0.000417 = 0.3501
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 111.7834 | 100 | 19163.9717 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.000417
Taille de position = 8 / -0.000417 = -19184.65
Taille de position USD = -19184.65 x 0.005833 = -111.9
Donc, tu peux acheter -19184.65 avec un stoploss a 0.005416
Avec un position size USD de -111.9$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -19184.65 x -0.000417 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -19184.65 x -0.000146 = 2.8
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.8$
Résumé
- Taille de position -19184.65
- Taille de position USD -111.9
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.8
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.3501
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.5 % | 2.8 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 7.15 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 1.55 $ | 1.39 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -3.7716 % | 52.76 % | 20 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.005833 | 0.005416 | 0.005979 | 0.35 | 0.004201 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.005833
- Stop Loss: 0.005416
- Take Profit: 0.005979
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.005416 - 0.005833 = -0.000417
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.005833 - 0.005979 = -0.000146
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.000146 / -0.000417 = 0.3501
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -7.149%
(0.0004)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.012% | 0.1R | -0.857% | 0.1R | 1.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.012% | 0.1R | -1.132% | 0.2R | 0.9× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.012% | 0.1R | -3.772% | 0.5R | 0.3× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +3.069% | 0.4R | -3.772% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 72 |
| 8h | +3.069% | 0.4R | -3.772% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 96 |
| 12h | +5.743% | 0.8R | -3.772% | 0.5R | 1.5× | 144 |
| 24h | +6.378% | 0.9R | -12.652% | 1.8R | 0.5× | 288 |
| 48h | +11.435% | 1.6R | -12.652% | 1.8R | 0.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +16.835% | 2.4R | -12.652% | 1.8R | 1.3× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 1024 min
MAE in 1159 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.