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Short Trade on 2Z

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01 Oct 2026 at 19:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2790.05 2Z at 0.0561$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0547 (2.5 %) & Stop Loss: 0.05897 (5.12 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 19:15 → 01:10 · 5 hours

Position

Entry 0.0561$

Qty 2790.0521 2Z

Size 156.5219$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.0547 (+2.5%)

TP $ 3.91$

SL 0.05897 (-5.12%)

SL $ 8.01$

RR 0.49

Status loss PnL -4.24% / -6.64$ MAE -4.45% MFE +0.46% 0.1R expires 02 Oct 01:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170733)
#59 / 76
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 19:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2341

Quality Score
0.434
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#59 / 76
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-2
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#59 / 76
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+1
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.12 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.76×ATR
4h near -0.57×ATR
1d clear 1.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-2
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.67
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 19:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 18:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4597
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_consolidation
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational range

0.25

range

0

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.55
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -2
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 25.3%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 44.8%
1h 81.0%
4h 19.0%
24h 39.7%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.8% -0.01%
4h 24.1% -0.67%
24h 19.0% -0.63%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.085
Universe : 58 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 0.75
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 19:01 · env trend_consolidation

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5520
Score SMA
0.6841
Rank
#46 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6512
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6375 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative 25% 0.4319 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume 20% 0.6983 rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7538 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 19:00
Score brut
0.4342
Score SMA
0.5570
Rank
#59 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2341
Rank Norm SMA
0.5295
Calculé le
01/10/2026 19:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2643 r1h: 0.813% · r4h: -0.424% · r1d: -5.34% · r3d: -16.54% · ema21_slope: -0.3239% · dist_ema21: -2.443%
Force Relative 25% 0.3086 rs_1h: 0.558% · rs_4h: -0.360% · rs_1d: -6.57% · rs_3d: -17.99% · beta_24h: 1.049
Volume 20% 0.3210 rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.071 · trend: 26.02%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8488 ADX: 42.9 (trend) · Chop: 39.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.192% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 16:00
Score brut
0.4794
Score SMA
0.6204
Rank
#49 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2105
Rank Norm SMA
0.6645
Calculé le
01/10/2026 16:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2716 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.921% · r1d: -6.93% · r3d: -15.65% · ema21_slope: -0.5085% · dist_ema21: -9.146%
Force Relative 25% 0.2245 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -1.513% · rs_1d: -8.17% · rs_3d: -17.17% · beta_24h: 2.106
Volume 20% 1.0000 rvol_20: 4.17× · zscore_50: 3.564 · trend: 115.10%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7238 ADX: 26.9 (trend) · Chop: 36.8 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3318 ATR%: 5.005% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.116% (0.0029)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.257% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.292% 0.1R -1.257% 0.3R 0.2× 24
4h +0.464% 0.1R -2.658% 0.5R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.464% 0.1R -4.447% 0.9R 0.1× 72
8h +0.464% 0.1R -6.952% 1.4R 0.1× 96
12h +0.464% 0.1R -6.952% 1.4R 0.1× 144
24h +20.852% 4.1R -6.952% 1.4R 3.0× 288
48h +20.947% 4.1R -6.952% 1.4R 3.0× 576
72h +20.947% 4.1R -6.952% 1.4R 3.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1384 min MAE in 479 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.25
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
49%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.6ATR — 0.35 bull_high +2.58% -0.91 01/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind normal bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.32 bull_medium +0.97% -0.47 01/10 18:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near -0.4ATR 0.39 range_low +0.67% -0.06 01/10 18:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187747
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.802 volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early 4b 0.4ATR — — 1.84 98% ↑ +0.95 below_value -6.90 — #101622 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#195918
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.427 compression bear_high_confirmed
49%
noisy_chop 45% late 15b -2.3ATR near -0.6ATR — 4.17 100% ↑ +0.54 below_value -9.57 — #105132 0.35 bull_high +2.58% -0.91
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:19
1h anchor
#197070
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.469 normal bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 39% early 5b -1.1ATR — — 0.65 71% ↑ +0.23 below_value -9.80 — #105676 0.32 bull_medium +0.97% -0.47
01/10 18:00
upd 01/10 19:11
15m
#196992
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.404 compression bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 40% mid 5b 0.2ATR — near -0.4ATR 0.06 6% ↓ -0.34 below_value -10.43 — #105522 0.39 range_low +0.67% -0.06
01/10 18:45
upd 01/10 19:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.454×ATR p35 +0.443×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 15b — 4.913×ATR p69 -2.272×ATR p91
1h ↓ down early 5b — 0.881×ATR p2 -1.096×ATR p53
15m ↑ up mid 5b — 3.021×ATR p54 +0.224×ATR p17

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.05896733
  2. tp_price: 0.0546975
  3. atr: 0.00114693
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T05:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 77
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.2444
  4. delta_2h: -0.0102
  5. extension_atr: -1.1
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.2241
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0561 0.05897 0.0547 0.49 0.02274
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0561
  • Stop Loss: 0.05897
  • Take Profit: 0.0547

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05897 - 0.0561 = 0.00287

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0561 - 0.0547 = 0.0014

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0014 / 0.00287 = 0.4878

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
156.5219 100 2790.0521 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00287

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00287 = 2787.46

Taille de position USD = 2787.46 x 0.0561 = 156.38

Donc, tu peux acheter 2787.46 avec un stoploss a 0.05897

Avec un position size USD de 156.38$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2787.46 x 0.00287 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2787.46 x 0.0014 = 3.9

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 3.9$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2787.46
  • Taille de position USD 156.38
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 3.9
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.4878

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.5 % 3.91 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.12 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
-6.64 $ -4.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-4.4474 % 86.93 % 7
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.0561 0.05897 0.0547 0.49 0.02274
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.0561
  • Stop Loss: 0.05897
  • Take Profit: 0.0547

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.05897 - 0.0561 = 0.00287

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.0561 - 0.0547 = 0.0014

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0014 / 0.00287 = 0.4878

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -5.116% (0.0029)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.000% 0.0R -1.257% 0.3R 0.0× 12
2h +0.292% 0.1R -1.257% 0.3R 0.2× 24
4h +0.464% 0.1R -2.658% 0.5R 0.2× 48
6h ★ +0.464% 0.1R -4.447% 0.9R 0.1× 72
8h +0.464% 0.1R -6.952% 1.4R 0.1× 96
12h +0.464% 0.1R -6.952% 1.4R 0.1× 144
24h +20.852% 4.1R -6.952% 1.4R 3.0× 288
48h +20.947% 4.1R -6.952% 1.4R 3.0× 576
72h +20.947% 4.1R -6.952% 1.4R 3.0× 864
⏱ MFE in 1384 min MAE in 479 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.