Short Trade on HYPE (BosPullback)
With 7.12 HYPE at 87.416$ per unit. Take profit: 84.6059 (3.21 %) & Stop Loss: 88.54 (1.29 %)
Short Trade on HYPE (BosPullback)
With 7.12 HYPE at 87.416$ per unit. Take profit: 84.6059 (3.21 %) & Stop Loss: 88.54 (1.29 %)
Position
Entry 87.416$
Qty 7.1172 HYPE
Size 622.1575$ (margin 100$) (leverage 6)
Risk Setup
TP 84.6059 (+3.21%)
TP $ 20$
SL 88.54 (-1.29%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.4088
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.69×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.06×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.36×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 62.1% |
| 1h | 24.1% |
| 4h | 15.5% |
| 24h | 43.1% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 81.0% | +0.02% |
| 4h | 13.8% | -0.76% |
| 24h | 17.2% | -0.52% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6617 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 5.72% · r3d: -0.84% · ema21_slope: 0.5961% · dist_ema21: 3.227% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5644 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 5.73% · rs_3d: 0.14% · beta_24h: 1.023 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.5167 | rvol_20: 1.60× · zscore_50: 0.804 · trend: 15.89% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7401 | ADX: 36.6 (trend) · Chop: 46.2 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.2313 | ATR%: 5.306% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4801 | r1h: 1.042% · r4h: -0.658% · r1d: -4.42% · r3d: 0.13% · ema21_slope: -0.0801% · dist_ema21: -0.960% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4388 | rs_1h: 0.787% · rs_4h: -0.594% · rs_1d: -5.66% · rs_3d: -1.31% · beta_24h: 1.083 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2055 | rvol_20: 0.56× · zscore_50: -0.545 · trend: -26.44% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5718 | ADX: 20.1 (weak) · Chop: 50.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.278% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4274 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.351% · r1d: -1.17% · r3d: 0.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0702% · dist_ema21: -0.947% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4069 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.241% · rs_1d: -2.41% · rs_3d: -1.37% · beta_24h: 1.005 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4263 | rvol_20: 1.13× · zscore_50: 0.432 · trend: 22.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6137 | ADX: 25.7 (trend) · Chop: 50.6 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.468% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.601% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.050% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.748% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.964% | 3.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.667% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.584% | 1.2R | -4.730% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.584% | 1.2R | -4.730% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.584% | 1.2R | -4.730% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early | — | — | 0.46 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.53 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.47 | bull_high | +2.58% | -0.41 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early | — | — | 0.59 | bull_medium | +0.97% | -0.37 | 01/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.49 | range_low | +0.55% | -0.03 | 01/10 19:00 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#187695
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.628 | normal | bull_high |
66%
|
noisy_chop 40% | early 7b 0.6ATR | — | — | 1.60 | 86% | ↔ +0.14 | value | -0.60 | inside | #101605 | 0.46 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.53 |
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:24
|
|
4h
#195864
|
↓ down | early_expansion | bearish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.402 | expansion | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 38% | early 5b -0.4ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 1.13 | 82% | ↔ +0.08 | value | -1.70 | — | #105114 | 0.47 | bull_high | +2.58% | -0.41 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:17
|
|
1h
anchor #197052
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.506 | compression | bear_high |
61%
|
noisy_chop 43% | early 4b -0.8ATR | — | — | 0.56 | 42% | ↑ +0.18 | value | -1.53 | — | #105658 | 0.59 | bull_medium | +0.97% | -0.37 |
01/10 18:00
upd 01/10 19:11
|
|
15m
#197130
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.494 | compression | bear_medium |
61%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 5b -0.3ATR | — | near 0.3ATR | 0.16 | 3% | ↓ -0.21 | value | -1.53 | — | #105658 | 0.49 | range_low | +0.55% | -0.03 |
01/10 19:00
upd 01/10 19:17
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 1.462×ATR | p0 | +0.563×ATR | p36 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 5b | — | 1.955×ATR | p0 | -0.37×ATR | p25 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.037×ATR | p0 | -0.755×ATR | p48 |
| 15m | ↑ up | early | 5b | — | 1.949×ATR | p15 | -0.3×ATR | p16 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
88.459
144
0.2398
0.5529
0.4221
0.2413
0.57
0.4566
0.4082
0.5735
0.2623
0.1987
0.6071
0.2756
-0.1144
-0.0469
0
-0.9213
-1.1141
0.3
0.7
-1
7
1
0.5175
0.5313
3.4695
0.5
0.4566
1.5842
-1.1141
0.5982
0.2857
0.26
-0.236
0.4555
0.4989
0.7107
0.2756
-7.1391
2.7157
1
0
1
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 01:00:00
[price] => 89.021
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 02:00:00
[price] => 90.982
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 06:00:00
[price] => 88.485
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 11:00:00
[price] => 90.566
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 14:00:00
[price] => 86.747
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-28 17:00:00
[price] => 89.763
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 01:00:00
[price] => 85.59
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 11:00:00
[price] => 89.038
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-29 20:00:00
[price] => 84.759
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 02:00:00
[price] => 86.533
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 06:00:00
[price] => 85.1
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 13:00:00
[price] => 87.806
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 15:00:00
[price] => 84.546
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 17:00:00
[price] => 91.428
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 18:00:00
[price] => 88.232
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 21:00:00
[price] => 91.915
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 08:00:00
[price] => 88.358
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 12:00:00
[price] => 90.67
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:00:00
[price] => 86.601
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 18:00:00
[price] => 88.459
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 23:00:00
[price] => 91.694
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 04:30:00
[price] => 88.422
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 06:45:00
[price] => 89.896
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 08:15:00
[price] => 88.358
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 09:00:00
[price] => 89.56
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 10:00:00
[price] => 88.453
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 12:00:00
[price] => 90.67
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 13:15:00
[price] => 88.554
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 13:45:00
[price] => 89.5
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:45:00
[price] => 86.601
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 18:30:00
[price] => 88.459
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 21:45:00
[price] => 86.384
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
86.601
88.459
88.459
86.601
86.533
85.1
85.8165
0.7164
90.67
88.358
89.514
0.8573
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.416 | 88.54 | 84.6059 | 2.5 | 85.985 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 88.54 - 87.416 = 1.124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 87.416 - 84.6059 = 2.8101
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8101 / 1.124 = 2.5001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 622.1575 | 100 | 7.1172 | 6.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.124 = 7.12
Taille de position USD = 7.12 x 87.416 = 622.4
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.12 avec un stoploss a 88.54
Avec un position size USD de 622.4$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.12 x 1.124 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.12 x 2.8101 = 20.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 3.21 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.29 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -1.29 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.4608 % | 113.61 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87.416 | 88.54 | 84.6059 | 2.5 | 85.985 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 88.54 - 87.416 = 1.124
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 87.416 - 84.6059 = 2.8101
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.8101 / 1.124 = 2.5001
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 84.6059
[entry_price] => 87.416
[stop_loss] => 88.6524
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 02:55:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 84.6059
[entry_price] => 87.416
[stop_loss] => 88.7648
[rr_ratio] => 2.08
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 03:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 84.6059
[entry_price] => 87.416
[stop_loss] => 88.8772
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 03:00:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 84.6059
[entry_price] => 87.416
[stop_loss] => 89.102
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -0.601% | 0.5R | 0.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.050% | 0.8R | 0.0× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.000% | 0.0R | -1.748% | 1.4R | 0.0× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -3.964% | 3.1R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.000% | 0.0R | -4.667% | 3.6R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +1.584% | 1.2R | -4.730% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 288 |
| 48h | +1.584% | 1.2R | -4.730% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 576 |
| 72h | +1.584% | 1.2R | -4.730% | 3.7R | 0.3× | 864 |
computed 1 week ago
Aucun commentaire.