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Short Trade on 2Z

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01 Oct 2026 at 20:15:07 hyperliquid

Short Trade on 2Z (momentum_rotation_score)

With 2346.29 2Z at 0.0566$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.06005 (6.02 %)

2Z SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 0.05664$

Qty 2346.2888 2Z

Size 132.8868$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 132.89$

SL 0.06005 (-6.02%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.48% / -0.64$ MAE -1.68% MFE +1.41% 0.2R expires 01 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170810)
#57 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.2702

Quality Score
0.425
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#57 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+3
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#57 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
97 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
0
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
6.02 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 2.76×ATR
4h near -0.57×ATR
1d clear 1.88×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down early OK
4h ↓ down late BLOCKED
1d ↓ down early OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.56
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
4.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 20:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : range_high (0)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high_confirmed (+2)

01/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high_confirmed (+1)

01/10 18:00

Score : +3 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4601
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 22.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.9%
1h 69.0%
4h 20.7%
24h 43.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.8% -0.02%
4h 12.1% -0.56%
24h 13.8% -0.37%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.122
Universe : 58 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 20:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5520
Score SMA
0.6841
Rank
#46 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.4000
Rank Norm SMA
0.6512
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6375 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -8.10% · r3d: -12.18% · ema21_slope: 1.4819% · dist_ema21: 4.847%
Force Relative 25% 0.4319 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -8.08% · rs_3d: -11.20% · beta_24h: 1.111
Volume 20% 0.6983 rvol_20: 1.84× · zscore_50: 1.253 · trend: 170.36%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7538 ADX: 30.5 (trend) · Chop: 19.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 9.403% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.4249
Score SMA
0.5558
Rank
#57 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2702
Rank Norm SMA
0.5265
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3034 r1h: 0.683% · r4h: 0.796% · r1d: -5.46% · r3d: -16.52% · ema21_slope: -0.3275% · dist_ema21: -1.617%
Force Relative 25% 0.3221 rs_1h: 0.539% · rs_4h: 0.543% · rs_1d: -6.93% · rs_3d: -18.17% · beta_24h: 1.164
Volume 20% 0.2101 rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -0.678 · trend: -8.49%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.8351 ADX: 43.4 (trend) · Chop: 41.5 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.087% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3998
Score SMA
0.6136
Rank
#61 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.3158
Rank Norm SMA
0.6489
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.3492 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.796% · r1d: -5.46% · r3d: -16.52% · ema21_slope: -0.5611% · dist_ema21: -7.716%
Force Relative 25% 0.3031 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.543% · rs_1d: -6.93% · rs_3d: -18.17% · beta_24h: 2.181
Volume 20% 0.4693 rvol_20: 1.07× · zscore_50: 0.078 · trend: 79.27%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7212 ADX: 27.9 (trend) · Chop: 39.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.3793 ATR%: 4.862% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.021% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.243% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.412% 0.2R -1.679% 0.3R 0.8× 24
3h ★ +1.412% 0.2R -1.679% 0.3R 0.8× 36
4h +1.412% 0.2R -1.872% 0.3R 0.8× 48
8h +1.412% 0.2R -5.932% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h +1.412% 0.2R -5.932% 1.0R 0.2× 144
24h +21.607% 3.6R -5.932% 1.0R 3.6× 288
48h +21.700% 3.6R -5.932% 1.0R 3.7× 576
72h +21.700% 3.6R -5.932% 1.0R 3.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1324 min MAE in 419 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.86
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range strong explosive volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early — — 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94 29/09 20:00
4h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading compression bear_high_confirmed
49%
noisy_chop 45% late near -0.6ATR — 0.35 bull_high +2.58% -0.91 01/10 12:00
1h ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind normal bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 39% early — — 0.32 bull_medium +0.97% -0.47 01/10 18:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 43% mid — near -1.1ATR 0.39 range_low +0.76% -0.01 01/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187747
 ↑ up range range strong explosive 0.802 volatile_reversal range_high
43%
noisy_chop 43% early 4b 0.4ATR — — 1.84 98% ↑ +0.95 below_value -6.90 — #101622 0.55 bull_high +12.59% +0.94
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:26
4h
#195918
 ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.427 compression bear_high_confirmed
49%
noisy_chop 45% late 15b -2.3ATR near -0.6ATR — 4.17 100% ↑ +0.54 below_value -9.57 — #105132 0.35 bull_high +2.58% -0.91
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:19
1h anchor
#197070
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong grind 0.469 normal bear_high_confirmed
59%
noisy_chop 39% early 5b -1.1ATR — — 0.65 71% ↑ +0.23 below_value -9.80 — #105676 0.32 bull_medium +0.97% -0.47
01/10 18:00
upd 01/10 19:11
15m
#197379
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong balanced 0.400 compression bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 43% mid 9b 0.7ATR — near -1.1ATR 0.09 13% ↓ -0.35 below_value -9.80 — #105676 0.39 range_low +0.76% -0.01
01/10 19:45
upd 01/10 20:04
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down early 4b — 3.454×ATR p35 +0.443×ATR p30
4h ↓ down late 15b — 4.913×ATR p69 -2.272×ATR p91
1h ↓ down early 5b — 0.881×ATR p2 -1.096×ATR p53
15m ↑ up mid 9b — 4.16×ATR p77 +0.651×ATR p44

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.06004664
  2. atr: 0.00113655
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T03:15:07+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 76
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.2756
  4. confidence: 0.974

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05664 0.06005 0.02206
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05664
  • Stop Loss: 0.06005
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06005 - 0.05664 = 0.00341

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05664 - = 0.05664

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05664 / 0.00341 = 16.61

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
132.8868 100 2346.2888 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.00341

Taille de position = 8 / 0.00341 = 2346.04

Taille de position USD = 2346.04 x 0.05664 = 132.88

Donc, tu peux acheter 2346.04 avec un stoploss a 0.06005

Avec un position size USD de 132.88$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 2346.04 x 0.00341 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 2346.04 x 0.05664 = 132.88

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 132.88$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 2346.04
  • Taille de position USD 132.88
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 132.88
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 16.61

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 132.89 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
6.02 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.64 $ -0.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.679 % 27.89 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.05664 0.06005 0.02206
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.05664
  • Stop Loss: 0.06005
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.06005 - 0.05664 = 0.00341

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.05664 - = 0.05664

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05664 / 0.00341 = 16.61

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -6.021% (0.0034)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +1.243% 0.2R -0.000% 0.0R — 12
2h +1.412% 0.2R -1.679% 0.3R 0.8× 24
3h ★ +1.412% 0.2R -1.679% 0.3R 0.8× 36
4h +1.412% 0.2R -1.872% 0.3R 0.8× 48
8h +1.412% 0.2R -5.932% 1.0R 0.2× 96
12h +1.412% 0.2R -5.932% 1.0R 0.2× 144
24h +21.607% 3.6R -5.932% 1.0R 3.6× 288
48h +21.700% 3.6R -5.932% 1.0R 3.7× 576
72h +21.700% 3.6R -5.932% 1.0R 3.7× 864
⏱ MFE in 1324 min MAE in 419 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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