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Short Trade on LIT

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01 Oct 2026 at 20:15:08 hyperliquid

Short Trade on LIT (momentum_rotation_score)

With 35.05 LIT at 3.808$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 4.0363 (5.99 %)

LIT SHORT momentum_rotation_score hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 20:15 → 23:15 · 2 hours

Position

Entry 3.8081$

Qty 35.0494 LIT

Size 133.4716$ (margin 100$) (leverage 1)

Risk Setup

TP 0 (+100%)

TP $ 133.47$

SL 4.0363 (-5.99%)

SL $ 8$

RR

Status loss PnL -0.31% / -0.41$ MAE -0.68% MFE +0.76% 0.1R expires 01 Oct 23:15 Exit time_expired

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 170818)
#77 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 20:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.0214

Quality Score
0.346
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#77 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
-3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#77 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
-3
BLOCKED
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.99 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Demand zone (SHORT: demand = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Demand Distance (ATR)
1h clear 1.29×ATR
4h clear 0.82×ATR
1d clear 3.47×ATR
Move Maturity — move down late = adverse (SHORT)
1/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↓ down late BLOCKED
4h ↑ up early OK
1d ↓ down mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
OK
attendu : btc_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : contracting / deteriorating
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : short) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
-3
LOW
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bearish
Median return 4h
-0.56
NO
attendu : < -1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
32.8M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 20:03
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3)

29/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bear_high (+2)

01/10 12:00

Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1)

01/10 18:00

Score : 0 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4601
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

-2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

-1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) -3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 22.4%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 37.9%
1h 69.0%
4h 20.7%
24h 43.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 63.8% -0.02%
4h 12.1% -0.56%
24h 13.8% -0.37%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.122
Universe : 58 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 20:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 30/09/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5068
Score SMA
0.5044
Rank
#61 / 76
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.2000
Rank Norm SMA
0.1300
Calculé le
30/09/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.4556 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 0.53% · r3d: -15.11% · ema21_slope: 0.3834% · dist_ema21: -11.742%
Force Relative 25% 0.2828 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 0.55% · rs_3d: -14.13% · beta_24h: 0.406
Volume 20% 0.9049 rvol_20: 2.62× · zscore_50: 2.988 · trend: 75.13%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7899 ADX: 41.4 (trend) · Chop: 45.1 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 12.047% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.3458
Score SMA
0.4394
Rank
#77 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0214
Rank Norm SMA
0.1648
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.2571 r1h: 0.324% · r4h: -2.518% · r1d: -3.67% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: -0.1802% · dist_ema21: -2.333%
Force Relative 25% 0.2605 rs_1h: 0.180% · rs_4h: -2.771% · rs_1d: -5.14% · rs_3d: -15.96% · beta_24h: 2.392
Volume 20% 0.2000 rvol_20: 0.66× · zscore_50: -0.386 · trend: -52.50%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.4417 ADX: 14.6 (weak) · Chop: 60.4 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.161% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.2365
Score SMA
0.3696
Rank
#77 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.0066
Rank Norm SMA
0.0472
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.1374 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.518% · r1d: -3.67% · r3d: -14.30% · ema21_slope: -0.7669% · dist_ema21: -7.087%
Force Relative 25% 0.1280 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -2.771% · rs_1d: -5.14% · rs_3d: -15.96% · beta_24h: 2.368
Volume 20% 0.1919 rvol_20: 0.43× · zscore_50: -0.365 · trend: -37.80%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7799 ADX: 38.6 (trend) · Chop: 43.3 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.1419 ATR%: 5.574% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.993% (0.2282)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.567% 0.1R -0.507% 0.1R 1.1× 12
2h +0.762% 0.1R -0.507% 0.1R 1.5× 24
3h ★ +0.762% 0.1R -0.678% 0.1R 1.1× 36
4h +1.778% 0.3R -0.678% 0.1R 2.6× 48
8h +1.778% 0.3R -2.421% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +1.778% 0.3R -2.432% 0.4R 0.7× 144
24h +7.311% 1.2R -2.432% 0.4R 3.0× 288
48h +10.210% 1.7R -2.432% 0.4R 4.2× 576
72h +10.210% 1.7R -2.432% 0.4R 4.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1099 min MAE in 499 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.54
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind expansion bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% mid — — — bull_high +12.59% -0.93 29/09 20:00
4h ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 36% early — — 0.34 bull_high +2.58% -0.89 01/10 12:00
1h ↓ down range range moderate fading compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 43% late — — 0.35 bull_medium +0.97% -0.51 01/10 18:00
15m ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 45% early near 0.3ATR — 0.20 range_low +0.76% -0.29 01/10 19:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#187768
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.582 expansion bull_high
52%
noisy_chop 35% mid 6b -1.1ATR — — 2.62 100% ↑ +0.30 below_value -3.10 inside #101629 — bull_high +12.59% -0.93
29/09 20:00
upd 30/09 20:27
4h
#195943
 ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.408 expansion bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 36% early 11b -0.8ATR — — 0.36 35% ↔ -0.10 above_value -0.61 — #105140 0.34 bull_high +2.58% -0.89
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:20
1h anchor
#197078
 ↓ down range range moderate fading 0.639 compression bear_high
54%
noisy_chop 43% late 6b -1.5ATR — — 0.46 24% ↔ +0.01 above_value -1.79 — #105684 0.35 bull_medium +0.97% -0.51
01/10 18:00
upd 01/10 19:12
15m
#197386
 ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.391 compression bear_high
62%
noisy_chop 45% early 9b -0.7ATR near 0.3ATR — 0.13 2% ↔ +0.05 above_value -1.79 — #105684 0.20 range_low +0.76% -0.29
01/10 19:45
upd 01/10 20:05
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↓ down mid 6b — 3.423×ATR p39 -1.106×ATR p60
4h ↑ up early 11b — 1.35×ATR p0 -0.818×ATR p50
1h ↓ down late 6b — 2.216×ATR p35 -1.543×ATR p81
15m ↑ up early 9b — 2.037×ATR p35 -0.716×ATR p38

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_score - SELL

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 4.03634931
  2. atr: 0.0760831
  3. expires_at: 2026-10-02T03:15:08+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 77
  2. total: 78
  3. score: 0.2562
  4. confidence: 0.987

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.8081 4.0363 3.3341
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.8081
  • Stop Loss: 4.0363
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.0363 - 3.8081 = 0.2282

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.8081 - = 3.8081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.8081 / 0.2282 = 16.6876

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
133.4716 100 35.0494 1.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.2282

Taille de position = 8 / 0.2282 = 35.06

Taille de position USD = 35.06 x 3.8081 = 133.51

Donc, tu peux acheter 35.06 avec un stoploss a 4.0363

Avec un position size USD de 133.51$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 35.06 x 0.2282 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 35.06 x 3.8081 = 133.51

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 133.51$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 35.06
  • Taille de position USD 133.51
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 133.51
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 16.6876

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
100 % 133.47 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
5.99 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-0.41 $ -0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6775 % 11.31 % 16
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
3.8081 4.0363 3.3341
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 3.8081
  • Stop Loss: 4.0363
  • Take Profit:

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.0363 - 3.8081 = 0.2282

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 3.8081 - = 3.8081

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.8081 / 0.2282 = 16.6876

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★ 3h) Initial Risk: -5.993% (0.2282)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.567% 0.1R -0.507% 0.1R 1.1× 12
2h +0.762% 0.1R -0.507% 0.1R 1.5× 24
3h ★ +0.762% 0.1R -0.678% 0.1R 1.1× 36
4h +1.778% 0.3R -0.678% 0.1R 2.6× 48
8h +1.778% 0.3R -2.421% 0.4R 0.7× 96
12h +1.778% 0.3R -2.432% 0.4R 0.7× 144
24h +7.311% 1.2R -2.432% 0.4R 3.0× 288
48h +10.210% 1.7R -2.432% 0.4R 4.2× 576
72h +10.210% 1.7R -2.432% 0.4R 4.2× 864
⏱ MFE in 1099 min MAE in 499 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 1 week ago

Commentaires

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