Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_score)
With 1444.99 MEGA at 0.0512$ per unit. Take profit: (100 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04564 (10.82 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 20:15:09
hyperliquid
MEGA
LONG
momentum_rotation_score
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 20:15
→ 23:00
· 2 hours
Position
Entry 0.05118$
Qty 1444.9875 MEGA
Size 73.9487$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0 (+100%)
TP $ 73.95$
SL 0.04564 (-10.82%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR
Status
win
PnL
+4.98%
/ +3.68$
MAE -0.00%
MFE +9.94%
0.9R
expires
01 Oct 23:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170814)
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 20:00
score du 01/10/2026 20:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9835
Quality Score
0.678
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
0
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
10.82 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 1.94×ATR |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | 1.48×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
| 1d | ↓ down | early | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_score (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.56
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.0M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 20:03
01/10 20:03
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bear_high (-3) 29/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 12:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 18:00 Score : 0 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4601
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
22.4%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 37.9% |
| 1h | 69.0% |
| 4h | 20.7% |
| 24h | 43.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 63.8% | -0.02% |
| 4h | 12.1% | -0.56% |
| 24h | 13.8% | -0.37% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.122
Universe :
58
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 20:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6776
Score SMA
0.6260
Rank
#1
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9835
Rank Norm SMA
0.6940
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.6555 | r1h: -2.155% · r4h: -2.906% · r1d: 19.93% · r3d: 18.81% · ema21_slope: 0.8837% · dist_ema21: 2.480% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.5884 | rs_1h: -2.299% · rs_4h: -3.159% · rs_1d: 18.45% · rs_3d: 17.16% · beta_24h: 0.556 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2899 | rvol_20: 0.42× · zscore_50: -0.052 · trend: 20.02% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9597 | ADX: 55.2 (trend) · Chop: 25.2 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.7804 | ATR%: 3.659% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7337
Score SMA
0.6896
Rank
#1
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9934
Rank Norm SMA
0.7771
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7337 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.906% · r1d: 19.93% · r3d: 18.81% · ema21_slope: 0.4548% · dist_ema21: 10.982% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7535 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.159% · rs_1d: 18.45% · rs_3d: 17.16% · beta_24h: 2.582 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6183 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: 0.822 · trend: 256.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7693 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 14.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5574 | ATR%: 4.328% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -10.825%
(0.0055)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +9.938% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -7.409% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -7.790% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -11.813% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -11.813% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -11.813% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 19 min
MAE in 1239 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 0.9
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early | — | — | 0.37 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.37 | 29/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.97 | 01/10 12:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.41 | bull_medium | +0.97% | +0.88 | 01/10 18:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early | — | — | 0.27 | range_low | +0.73% | -0.65 | 01/10 19:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#192710
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.700 | expansion_after_compression | bear_high |
63%
|
noisy_chop 42% | early 7b 0.0ATR | — | — | 0.43 | 37% | ↔ +0.11 | above_value | +1.63 | — | #103735 | 0.37 | bull_high | +12.59% | +0.37 |
29/09 20:00
upd 01/10 08:24
|
|
4h
#195930
|
↑ up | range | range | strong | fading | 0.515 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 49% | late 5b 3.3ATR | — | — | 8.43 | 100% | ↑ +0.89 | value | +3.56 | — | #105136 | 0.45 | bull_high | +2.58% | +0.97 |
01/10 12:00
upd 01/10 16:19
|
|
1h
anchor #197074
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.810 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
72%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 4b 1.0ATR | — | — | 0.34 | 92% | ↑ +0.64 | value | +3.12 | — | #105680 | 0.41 | bull_medium | +0.97% | +0.88 |
01/10 18:00
upd 01/10 19:11
|
|
15m
#197306
|
↔ neutral | range | range | strong | balanced | 0.525 | compression | bull_high |
54%
|
noisy_chop 44% | early 8b -1.0ATR | — | — | 0.09 | 41% | ↓ -0.86 | value | +3.12 | — | #105680 | 0.27 | range_low | +0.73% | -0.65 |
01/10 19:30
upd 01/10 19:48
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↓ down | early | 7b | — | 2.105×ATR | p0 | +0.035×ATR | p3 |
| 4h | ↑ up | late | 5b | — | 4.869×ATR | p90 | +3.276×ATR | p98 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 2.415×ATR | p40 | +1.044×ATR | p57 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 1.961×ATR | p15 | -1.01×ATR | p45 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05118 | 0.04564 | 0.04512 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05118
- Stop Loss: 0.04564
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04564 - 0.05118 = -0.00554
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05118 - = 0.05118
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05118 / -0.00554 = -9.2383
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 73.9487 | 73.9487 | 1444.9875 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00554
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00554 = -1444.04
Taille de position USD = -1444.04 x 0.05118 = -73.91
Donc, tu peux acheter -1444.04 avec un stoploss a 0.04564
Avec un position size USD de -73.91$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1444.04 x -0.00554 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1444.04 x 0.05118 = -73.91
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras -73.91$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1444.04
- Taille de position USD -73.91
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel -73.91
- Risk-Reward Ratio -9.2383
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 100 % | 73.95 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 10.82 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 3.68 $ | 4.98 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05118 | 0.04564 | 0.04512 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05118
- Stop Loss: 0.04564
- Take Profit:
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04564 - 0.05118 = -0.00554
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05118 - = 0.05118
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.05118 / -0.00554 = -9.2383
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_score (★
3h)
Initial Risk: -10.825%
(0.0055)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 12 |
| 2h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 24 |
| 3h ★ | +9.938% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 36 |
| 4h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -0.000% | 0.0R | — | 48 |
| 8h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -7.409% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 96 |
| 12h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -7.790% | 0.7R | 1.3× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -11.813% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 288 |
| 48h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -11.813% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 576 |
| 72h | +9.938% | 0.9R | -11.813% | 1.1R | 0.8× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 19 min
MAE in 1239 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 1 week ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.