Long Trade on AZTEC (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 17520.04 AZTEC at 0.0178$ per unit. Take profit: 0.01895 (6.4 %) & Stop Loss: 0.01735 (2.58 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 21:11:01
hyperliquid
AZTEC
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 21:11
→ 09:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 0.01781$
Qty 17520.0385 AZTEC
Size 312.0144$ (margin 100$) (leverage 3)
Risk Setup
TP 0.01895 (+6.4%)
TP $ 19.97$
SL 0.01735 (-2.58%)
SL $ 8.06$
RR 2.48
Status
win
PnL
+1.34%
/ +4.17$
MAE -1.25%
MFE +3.75%
1.5R
expires
02 Oct 09:10
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: )
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Avg Rank 8h:
Quality Score
N/A
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
N/A
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#35 / 77
OUT
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
94 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+3
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
2.58 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | — |
| 4h | clear | — |
| 1d | clear | — |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | — | — | OK |
| 4h | — | — | OK |
| 1d | — | — | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
414,842 $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 21:02
01/10 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
— |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4605
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
36.8%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.3% |
| 1h | 58.6% |
| 4h | 37.9% |
| 24h | 43.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.8% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 34.5% | -0.19% |
| 24h | 17.2% | -0.35% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.089
Universe :
58
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 21:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
Quality score non disponible pour ce trade.
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.583%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.500% | 0.2R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.500% | 0.2R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.016% | 0.4R | -1.252% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -1.252% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.745% | 1.5R | -1.252% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -5.693% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -5.693% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -5.693% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -5.693% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 328 min
MAE in 1218 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.26
Prediction Score: N/A
No context market snapshot
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9416
- reason: up_bo width=2.65×ATR dur=55b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 0.01735238
- tp_price: 0.01895054
- atr:
- score: 0.94164255932595
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T13:10:53.489486
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.94164255932595
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.1268
- obi_top10 : 0.0595
- micro_price : 0.01779941
- spread_pct : 0.112423
- mid_price : 0.0178
- bid_wall_price : 0.0176
- bid_wall_size : 3173061
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 0.018
- ask_wall_size : 2451377
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.1268
- obi_top5_std : 0
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 6937
- aggregation_tick : 0.0001
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
0.017703
- balance_zone_bottom:
0.017051
- balance_zone_mid:
0.017377
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790708400
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790902800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.6486
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
55
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9416
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790899200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
0.017703
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7818
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.4306
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
13
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
11
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.00024617 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
55
inside_close_ratio
0.7818
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.4306
Signaux confirmants (15)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:11 | 0.01780900 | -0.006% |
| 2 | 21:22 | 0.01780900 | -0.006% |
| 3 | 21:33 | 0.01780900 | -0.006% |
| 4 | 22:21 | 0.01783900 | +0.163% |
| 5 | 22:32 | 0.01783900 | +0.163% |
| 6 | 22:43 | 0.01774200 | -0.382% |
| 7 | 22:54 | 0.01774200 | -0.382% |
| 8 | 23:06 | 0.01774200 | -0.382% |
| 9 | 23:18 | 0.01771200 | -0.55% |
| 10 | 23:29 | 0.01771200 | -0.55% |
| 11 | 01:15 | 0.01787400 | +0.359% |
| 12 | 01:27 | 0.01787400 | +0.359% |
| 13 | 01:39 | 0.01770700 | -0.578% |
| 14 | 01:51 | 0.01770700 | -0.578% |
| 15 | 02:05 | 0.01770700 | -0.578% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
6937ms
Confidence avant OB :
94%
→
94%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.127
avg 0.127
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.060
Microstructure
Mid Price
0.0178
Micro Price
0.0178
Spread
0.1124%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
0.0176
Size
3,173,061.00
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
0.0180
Size
2,451,377.00
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01781 | 0.01735 | 0.01895 | 2.48 | 0.01461 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01781
- Stop Loss: 0.01735
- Take Profit: 0.01895
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01735 - 0.01781 = -0.00046
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01781 - 0.01895 = -0.00114
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00114 / -0.00046 = 2.4783
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 312.0144 | 100 | 17520.0385 | 3.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00046
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00046 = -17391.3
Taille de position USD = -17391.3 x 0.01781 = -309.74
Donc, tu peux acheter -17391.3 avec un stoploss a 0.01735
Avec un position size USD de -309.74$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -17391.3 x -0.00046 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -17391.3 x -0.00114 = 19.83
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.83$
Résumé
- Taille de position -17391.3
- Taille de position USD -309.74
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 19.83
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.4783
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 6.4 % | 19.97 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.58 % | 8.06 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.17 $ | 1.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2521 % | 48.48 % | 18 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.01781 | 0.01735 | 0.01895 | 2.48 | 0.01461 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.01781
- Stop Loss: 0.01735
- Take Profit: 0.01895
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.01735 - 0.01781 = -0.00046
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.01781 - 0.01895 = -0.00114
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00114 / -0.00046 = 2.4783
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -2.583%
(0.0005)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.500% | 0.2R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.500% | 0.2R | -0.837% | 0.3R | 0.6× | 24 |
| 4h | +1.016% | 0.4R | -1.252% | 0.5R | 0.8× | 48 |
| 8h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -1.252% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +3.745% | 1.5R | -1.252% | 0.5R | 3.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -5.693% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -5.693% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 432 |
| 48h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -5.693% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 576 |
| 72h | +3.745% | 1.5R | -5.693% | 2.2R | 0.7× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 328 min
MAE in 1218 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.