Long Trade on ZRO (BalanceBreakoutRegime)
With 81.96 ZRO at 1.836$ per unit. Take profit: 2.08 (13.29 %) & Stop Loss: 1.7384 (5.32 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 21:14:37
hyperliquid
ZRO
LONG
BalanceBreakoutRegime
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 21:14
→ 09:10
· 11 hours
Position
Entry 1.836$
Qty 81.9606 ZRO
Size 150.4797$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)
Risk Setup
TP 2.08 (+13.29%)
TP $ 20$
SL 1.7384 (-5.32%)
SL $ 8$
RR 2.5
Status
win
PnL
+2.68%
/ +4.03$
MAE -2.20%
MFE +5.77%
1.1R
expires
02 Oct 09:14
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 170998)
#5 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 21:00
score du 01/10/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9656
Quality Score
0.638
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#5 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#5 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
91 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
5.32 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
2/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.09×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 1.86×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | OK |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | late | BLOCKED |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 Shadow Analysis
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BalanceBreakoutRegime. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
22.5M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 21:00
01/10 21:00
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1) 01/10 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4605
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
36.8%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.3% |
| 1h | 58.6% |
| 4h | 37.9% |
| 24h | 43.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.8% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 34.5% | -0.19% |
| 24h | 17.2% | -0.35% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.089
Universe :
58
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 21:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8009
Score SMA
0.7718
Rank
#5
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9474
Rank Norm SMA
0.8392
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9791 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: 15.59% · ema21_slope: 3.2315% · dist_ema21: 27.930% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.8920 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 13.94% · beta_24h: 0.135 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7432 | rvol_20: 1.96× · zscore_50: 1.640 · trend: 134.08% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9035 | ADX: 48.4 (trend) · Chop: 27.5 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.168% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.6384
Score SMA
0.5917
Rank
#5
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9656
Rank Norm SMA
0.6328
Calculé le
01/10/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7038 | r1h: 1.689% · r4h: -0.971% · r1d: 7.28% · r3d: 19.18% · ema21_slope: 0.3272% · dist_ema21: 4.396% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7475 | rs_1h: 1.793% · rs_4h: -1.162% · rs_1d: 5.77% · rs_3d: 17.24% · beta_24h: 2.097 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2107 | rvol_20: 0.48× · zscore_50: -0.587 · trend: -12.64% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.6547 | ADX: 18.6 (weak) · Chop: 37.9 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 2.934% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.5845
Score SMA
0.6113
Rank
#7
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9474
Rank Norm SMA
0.6570
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7988 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -3.772% · r1d: 3.54% · r3d: 15.59% · ema21_slope: 0.5828% · dist_ema21: 6.559% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.6831 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -4.025% · rs_1d: 2.07% · rs_3d: 13.94% · beta_24h: 0.761 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.4360 | rvol_20: 1.00× · zscore_50: 0.341 · trend: 50.23% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5794 | ADX: 22.8 (weak) · Chop: 51.9 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 6.002% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.316%
(0.0976)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.285% | 0.2R | -1.253% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.285% | 0.2R | -1.253% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.295% | 0.6R | -2.200% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.773% | 1.1R | -2.200% | 0.4R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.773% | 1.1R | -2.200% | 0.4R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.336% | 1.8R | -5.594% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.753% | 2.6R | -5.904% | 1.1R | 2.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +17.064% | 3.2R | -5.904% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.064% | 3.2R | -5.904% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2145 min
MAE in 1825 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 2.31
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late | — | — | 0.43 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early | — | near -0.1ATR | 0.29 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.80 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.27 | bull_medium | +0.97% | +0.51 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 15m | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.38 | range_low | +0.59% | -0.23 | 01/10 20:45 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197583
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.687 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
58%
|
noisy_chop 41% | late 16b 2.0ATR | — | — | 1.96 | 98% | ↑ +0.94 | above_value | +4.24 | — | #105788 | 0.43 | bull_high | +13.92% | +1.00 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:20
|
|
4h
#197438
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.594 | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 41% | early 3b 0.9ATR | — | near -0.1ATR | 1.00 | 91% | ↑ +0.36 | above_value | +4.24 | — | #105788 | 0.29 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.80 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:14
|
|
1h
anchor #197979
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.698 | expansion | bull_high |
68%
|
noisy_chop 46% | mid 2b 1.3ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.48 | 48% | ↑ +0.50 | above_value | +4.85 | — | #106022 | 0.27 | bull_medium | +0.97% | +0.51 |
01/10 20:00
upd 01/10 21:09
|
|
15m
#197906
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | balanced | 0.637 | compression | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 44% | mid 11b 1.4ATR | — | near 0.1ATR | 0.73 | 49% | ↓ -0.74 | above_value | +4.24 | — | #105788 | 0.38 | range_low | +0.59% | -0.23 |
01/10 20:45
upd 01/10 21:01
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | late | 16b | — | 5.366×ATR | p71 | +2.006×ATR | p90 |
| 4h | ↑ up | early | 3b | — | 1.705×ATR | p0 | +0.944×ATR | p52 |
| 1h | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 1.583×ATR | p9 | +1.345×ATR | p71 |
| 15m | ↑ up | mid | 11b | — | 3.506×ATR | p64 | +1.383×ATR | p65 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
BalanceBreakoutRegime - BUY
Indicators:
- long_trend: 1
- confidence: 0.9051
- reason: up_bo width=2.95×ATR dur=37b phase=fresh
- stop_price: 1.73839213
- tp_price: 2.08001968
- atr:
- score: 0.90506068701554
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T13:14:29.419041
- max_bars: 12
- max_bars_tf: 1h
- confidence_pre_ob: 0.90506068701554
Details
- 1H:
- 15m:
- 5m:
- btc_indicators ¸
- market_structures ¸
- market_structure_v2 ¸
- trend_analyzer_1h ¸
- orderbook_context
- obi_top5 : 0.0569
- obi_top10 : 0.0429
- micro_price : 1.81758293
- spread_pct : 0.082563
- mid_price : 1.81755
- bid_wall_price : 1.81
- bid_wall_size : 86638.2
- bid_wall_dist_atr :
- ask_wall_price : 1.82
- ask_wall_size : 68495.2
- ask_wall_dist_atr :
- snapshots_count : 5
- obi_top5_mean : 0.0571
- obi_top5_std : 0.0003
- pressure_side : neutral
- collection_mode : ws_rolling
- collection_ms : 7019
- aggregation_tick : 0.01
- error : ¸
- strategy_details
- strategy : balance_breakout_regime_strict
- strategy_details
- balance_zone_top:
1.81795
- balance_zone_bottom:
1.66895
- balance_zone_mid:
1.74345
- balance_zone_start_time:
1790773200
- balance_zone_end_time:
1790902800
- balance_zone_width_atr:
2.9459
- balance_zone_duration_bars:
37
- balance_zone_quality: tight
- balance_zone_maturity: established
- balance_zone_confidence:
0.9051
- balance_zone_state: leaving_balance
- balance_zone_breakout_direction: up
- balance_zone_breakout_phase: fresh
- balance_zone_breakout_time:
1790899200
- balance_zone_breakout_price:
1.81795
- strategy_details
- balance_metrics_inside_close_ratio:
0.7297
- balance_metrics_bars_since_breakout:
1
- balance_metrics_distance_to_edge_atr:
0.3569
- balance_metrics_has_retested:
- balance_metrics_retest_count:
0
- balance_metrics_touch_upper:
4
- balance_metrics_touch_lower:
10
- regime : bull_high
- atr_entry : 0.05057871 ¸
Signal Details
duration_bars
37
inside_close_ratio
0.7297
bars_since_breakout
1
distance_to_edge_atr
0.3569
Signaux confirmants (12)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:14 | 1.83600000 | 0% |
| 2 | 21:25 | 1.83600000 | 0% |
| 3 | 21:37 | 1.83930000 | +0.18% |
| 4 | 21:48 | 1.83930000 | +0.18% |
| 5 | 21:58 | 1.83930000 | +0.18% |
| 6 | 22:12 | 1.83160000 | -0.24% |
| 7 | 22:24 | 1.83160000 | -0.24% |
| 8 | 22:35 | 1.83360000 | -0.131% |
| 9 | 22:46 | 1.83360000 | -0.131% |
| 10 | 22:57 | 1.83360000 | -0.131% |
| 11 | 23:44 | 1.81960000 | -0.893% |
| 12 | 23:55 | 1.81960000 | -0.893% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
Orderbook Context
→ neutral
ws_rolling
5 snapshots
7019ms
Confidence avant OB :
91%
→
91%
Order Book Imbalance
OBI Top 5
0.057
avg 0.057
± 0.000
OBI Top 10
0.043
Microstructure
Mid Price
1.8176
Micro Price
1.8176
Spread
0.0826%
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
Price
1.8100
Size
86,638.20
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
Price
1.8200
Size
68,495.20
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.836 | 1.7384 | 2.08 | 2.5 | 1.9003 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.836
- Stop Loss: 1.7384
- Take Profit: 2.08
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7384 - 1.836 = -0.0976
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.836 - 2.08 = -0.244
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.244 / -0.0976 = 2.5
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 150.4797 | 100 | 81.9606 | 2.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.0976
Taille de position = 8 / -0.0976 = -81.97
Taille de position USD = -81.97 x 1.836 = -150.5
Donc, tu peux acheter -81.97 avec un stoploss a 1.7384
Avec un position size USD de -150.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -81.97 x -0.0976 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -81.97 x -0.244 = 20
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 20$
Résumé
- Taille de position -81.97
- Taille de position USD -150.5
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 20
- Risk-Reward Ratio 2.5
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 13.29 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 4.03 $ | 2.68 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.2004 % | 41.39 % | 11 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.836 | 1.7384 | 2.08 | 2.5 | 1.9003 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 1.836
- Stop Loss: 1.7384
- Take Profit: 2.08
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.7384 - 1.836 = -0.0976
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.836 - 2.08 = -0.244
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.244 / -0.0976 = 2.5
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: BalanceBreakoutRegime (★
12h)
Initial Risk: -5.316%
(0.0976)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +1.285% | 0.2R | -1.253% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 12 |
| 2h | +1.285% | 0.2R | -1.253% | 0.2R | 1.0× | 24 |
| 4h | +3.295% | 0.6R | -2.200% | 0.4R | 1.5× | 48 |
| 8h | +5.773% | 1.1R | -2.200% | 0.4R | 2.6× | 96 |
| 12h ★ | +5.773% | 1.1R | -2.200% | 0.4R | 2.6× | 144 |
| 24h | +9.336% | 1.8R | -5.594% | 1.1R | 1.7× | 288 |
| 36h | +13.753% | 2.6R | -5.904% | 1.1R | 2.3× | 432 |
| 48h | +17.064% | 3.2R | -5.904% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 576 |
| 72h | +17.064% | 3.2R | -5.904% | 1.1R | 2.9× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 2145 min
MAE in 1825 min
✗ Adverse move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.