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Long Trade on SKY

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01 Oct 2026 at 21:15:04 hyperliquid

Long Trade on SKY (momentum_rotation_v2)

With 2021.11 SKY at 0.0833$ per unit. Take profit: 0.08538 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.07933 (4.75 %)

SKY LONG momentum_rotation_v2 hyperliquid 01 Oct 2026 21:15 → 00:35 · 3 hours

Position

Entry 0.08329$

Qty 2021.1054 SKY

Size 168.3439$ (margin 100$) (leverage 2)

Risk Setup

TP 0.08538 (+2.51%)

TP $ 4.22$

SL 0.07933 (-4.75%)

SL $ 8$

RR 0.53

Status win PnL +2.51% / +4.22$ MAE -1.10% MFE +3.00% 0.6R expires 02 Oct 03:15

V3 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.

Quality Rank (id: 171037)
#4 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 21:00

Avg Rank 8h: 0.9358

Quality Score
0.680
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#4 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size

V4 Shadow Analysis

Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.

Quality Rank
#4 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
4.75 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
3/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Near Supply Distance (ATR)
1h near -0.22×ATR
4h near -1.29×ATR
1d near -0.30×ATR
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse seuil : < 2 TF
TF Direction Maturity Adverse
1h ↑ up mid OK
4h ↑ up mid OK
1d ↑ up mid OK
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity

V5 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership

V6 Shadow Analysis

Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.

BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.19
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret

Context

Volume 24h (signal)
1.3M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 21:02
Coin Market Regime V2

Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3)

30/09 20:00

Operational (4H) : bull_high (+2)

01/10 16:00

Tactical (1H) : bull_high (+1)

01/10 20:00

Score : +6 / ±6

BTC Correlation Coin Market Regime

BTC/Market Regime v2

BTC Regime (snapshot) #4605
Voir snapshot →
bull developing bull_expansion
Strategic bull

0.90

expansion

+2

Operational bull

0.55

expansion

+1

Tactical range

0.25

range

0

Micro range

0.25

range

MTF alignment : 0.85
Stability : 1.00
Transition risk : 0.00
Score contribution (this trade) +3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score 36.8%
Macro btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h unknown Leadership unknown
Legacy leadership : btc
Breadth state insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—

Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.

% Positive (universe)
15m 29.3%
1h 58.6%
4h 37.9%
24h 43.1%
Outperformance vs BTC
Window % outperf Median ret
15m 32.8% -0.03%
4h 34.5% -0.19%
24h 17.2% -0.35%
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion : 0.089
Universe : 58 · ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence : 1.00
Snapshot évalué : 01/10 21:01 · env trend_expansion

Quality Score

Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).

Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.

1D
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6592
Score SMA
0.6788
Rank
#13 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.8421
Rank Norm SMA
0.6967
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.8972 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 8.55% · r3d: 7.00% · ema21_slope: 1.2077% · dist_ema21: 14.863%
Force Relative 25% 0.7465 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 7.08% · rs_3d: 5.35% · beta_24h: 1.193
Volume 20% 0.4781 rvol_20: 0.86× · zscore_50: 0.306 · trend: 101.78%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7187 ADX: 26.2 (trend) · Chop: 36.2 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 0.0000 ATR%: 7.513% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
1H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.6797
Score SMA
0.5692
Rank
#4 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9358
Rank Norm SMA
0.5868
Calculé le
01/10/2026 21:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.6505 r1h: -0.586% · r4h: 0.330% · r1d: 7.10% · r3d: 6.78% · ema21_slope: 0.2816% · dist_ema21: 2.787%
Force Relative 25% 0.5930 rs_1h: -0.482% · rs_4h: 0.139% · rs_1d: 5.59% · rs_3d: 4.84% · beta_24h: 2.273
Volume 20% 0.4238 rvol_20: 1.35× · zscore_50: 0.666 · trend: -17.24%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.7178 ADX: 26.1 (trend) · Chop: 32.6 (trend)
Volatilité 10% 1.0000 ATR%: 2.004% (optimal 0.3–3 %)
4H
Calculé le 01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.6184
Score SMA
0.6326
Rank
#6 / 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9079
Rank Norm SMA
0.7217
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Composante Poids Score Détails
Momentum 30% 0.7685 r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 1.088% · r1d: 8.55% · r3d: 7.00% · ema21_slope: 0.0512% · dist_ema21: 5.092%
Force Relative 25% 0.7409 rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.835% · rs_1d: 7.08% · rs_3d: 5.35% · beta_24h: 0.962
Volume 20% 0.2167 rvol_20: 0.65× · zscore_50: -0.371 · trend: -36.94%
Qualité Tendance 15% 0.5436 ADX: 19.2 (weak) · Chop: 52.6 (neutral)
Volatilité 10% 0.7775 ATR%: 3.668% (optimal 0.3–3 %)

📌 Performance

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.755% (0.0040)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.636% 0.1R -1.095% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +1.449% 0.3R -1.095% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +2.998% 0.6R -1.095% 0.2R 2.7× 48
6h ★ +2.998% 0.6R -1.095% 0.2R 2.7× 72
8h +6.600% 1.4R -1.095% 0.2R 6.0× 96
12h +14.134% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 12.9× 144
24h +15.008% 3.2R -1.095% 0.2R 13.7× 288
48h +15.008% 3.2R -1.095% 0.2R 13.7× 576
72h +17.897% 3.8R -1.095% 0.2R 16.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 864 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Prediction

ML Trade Score: 30
ML Pullback Score: 3.31
Prediction Score: N/A

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à
1d ↑ up range range moderate grind volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 37% mid — near -0.3ATR 0.56 bull_high +13.92% +0.98 30/09 20:00
4h ↑ up range range moderate balanced compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% mid — near -1.3ATR 0.39 bull_high +2.78% +0.57 01/10 16:00
1h ↔ neutral range range strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 38% mid — near -0.2ATR 0.38 bull_medium +0.97% +0.52 01/10 20:00
15m ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 41% early near 0.0ATR — 0.42 range_low +0.59% +0.05 01/10 20:45
5m —

Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)

ⓘ
TF Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#197696
 ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.665 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
57%
noisy_chop 37% mid 15b 1.5ATR — near -0.3ATR 0.86 92% ↑ +0.84 above_value +4.19 — #105828 0.56 bull_high +13.92% +0.98
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:26
4h
#197588
 ↑ up range range moderate balanced 0.560 compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 40% mid 7b 1.4ATR — near -1.3ATR 0.65 80% ↓ -0.50 above_value +4.19 — #105828 0.39 bull_high +2.78% +0.57
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:20
1h anchor
#198019
 ↔ neutral range range strong explosive 0.673 expansion_after_compression bull_high
62%
noisy_chop 38% mid 11b 1.2ATR — near -0.2ATR 1.35 68% ↑ +0.20 value +3.65 — #106062 0.38 bull_medium +0.97% +0.52
01/10 20:00
upd 01/10 21:11
15m
#197942
 ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition strong explosive 0.852 expansion_after_compression bull_high
66%
noisy_chop 41% early 2b 0.3ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.20 28% ↔ -0.11 above_value +4.19 — #105828 0.42 range_low +0.59% +0.05
01/10 20:45
upd 01/10 21:03
5m Pas de snapshot
Source : table pivot trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles (donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).

Move Maturity (au signal)

TF Direction Maturity Age (bars) Age since BOS Amplitude Amp. %ile Extension Ext. %ile
1d ↑ up mid 15b — 4.53×ATR p74 +1.479×ATR p77
4h ↑ up mid 7b — 2.606×ATR p33 +1.422×ATR p69
1h ↑ up mid 11b — 3.437×ATR p67 +1.248×ATR p60
15m ↓ down early 2b — 2.697×ATR p46 +0.334×ATR p22

Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique

Signal

momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY

Indicators:

  1. stop_price: 0.07933477
  2. tp_price: 0.08537533
  3. atr: 0.00158329
  4. expires_at: 2026-10-02T07:15:04+00:00
Details
  1. rank: 3
  2. total: 77
  3. score: 0.758
  4. delta_2h: 0.1152
  5. extension_atr: 0.94
  6. trend_phase:
  7. trend_direction:
  8. rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9406
  9. confidence: 1

Signal Details

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

Market Structure V2

No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.

Trend Analyzer 1H

No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08329 0.07933 0.08538 0.53 0.06677
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08329
  • Stop Loss: 0.07933
  • Take Profit: 0.08538

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07933 - 0.08329 = -0.00396

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08329 - 0.08538 = -0.00209

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00209 / -0.00396 = 0.5278

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
168.3439 100 2021.1054 2.00
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss -0.00396

Taille de position = 8 / -0.00396 = -2020.2

Taille de position USD = -2020.2 x 0.08329 = -168.26

Donc, tu peux acheter -2020.2 avec un stoploss a 0.07933

Avec un position size USD de -168.26$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = -2020.2 x -0.00396 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = -2020.2 x -0.00209 = 4.22

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 4.22$

Résumé

  • Taille de position -2020.2
  • Taille de position USD -168.26
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 4.22
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 0.5278

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 4.22 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
4.75 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
4.22 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.095 % 23.03 % 3
Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.08329 0.07933 0.08538 0.53 0.06677
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.08329
  • Stop Loss: 0.07933
  • Take Profit: 0.08538

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.07933 - 0.08329 = -0.00396

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.08329 - 0.08538 = -0.00209

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00209 / -0.00396 = 0.5278

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)

MAE / MFE Analysis

Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★ 6h) Initial Risk: -4.755% (0.0040)
Horizon MFE % MFE R MAE % MAE R MFE/MAE Candles
1h +0.636% 0.1R -1.095% 0.2R 0.6× 12
2h +1.449% 0.3R -1.095% 0.2R 1.3× 24
4h +2.998% 0.6R -1.095% 0.2R 2.7× 48
6h ★ +2.998% 0.6R -1.095% 0.2R 2.7× 72
8h +6.600% 1.4R -1.095% 0.2R 6.0× 96
12h +14.134% 3.0R -1.095% 0.2R 12.9× 144
24h +15.008% 3.2R -1.095% 0.2R 13.7× 288
48h +15.008% 3.2R -1.095% 0.2R 13.7× 576
72h +17.897% 3.8R -1.095% 0.2R 16.3× 864
⏱ MFE in 864 min MAE in 4 min ✗ Adverse move came first

computed 2 weeks ago

Commentaires

Aucun commentaire.