Long Trade on MEGA (momentum_rotation_v2)
With 1532.87 MEGA at 0.0545$ per unit. Take profit: 0.0559 (2.51 %) & Stop Loss: 0.04932 (9.55 %)
01 Oct 2026 at 21:15:04
hyperliquid
MEGA
LONG
momentum_rotation_v2
hyperliquid
01 Oct 2026 21:15
→ 03:00
· 5 hours
Position
Entry 0.05453$
Qty 1532.8666 MEGA
Size 83.5949$ (leverage 1)
Risk Setup
TP 0.0559 (+2.51%)
TP $ 2.1$
SL 0.04932 (-9.55%)
SL $ 7.99$
RR 0.26
Status
loss
PnL
-7.78%
/ -6.5$
MAE -11.73%
MFE +0.94%
0.1R
expires
02 Oct 03:15
Exit
time_expired
V3 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Quality Rank (id: 171045)
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
score du 01/10/2026 21:00
score du 01/10/2026 21:00
Avg Rank 8h: 0.9835
Quality Score
0.864
score brut du coin
Quality Rank
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
BTC Regime Score
+3
−4 → +4 (macro BTC)
Coin Regime Score
+6
−6 → +6 (1D/4H/1H coin)
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Décision V3
WOULD TRADE
rank + confidence + regime + SL size
V4 Shadow Analysis
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
Quality Rank
#1 / 77
OK
seuil : top 15
Signal Confidence
100 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 40%
Combined Regime Score
+9
OK
seuil : BTC + coin ≥ 3
Stop Loss Size
9.55 %
OK
seuil : ≥ 0.75%
Supply & Demand — near Supply zone (LONG: supply = adverse)
1/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Near Supply | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | near | 0.44×ATR |
| 4h | clear | 0.75×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 2.02×ATR |
Move Maturity — move up late = adverse (LONG)
0/3 TF adverse
seuil : < 2 TF
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | OK |
Décision V4
WOULD SKIP
rank + confidence + regime + SL + S&D + maturity
V5 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, leadership aligné et breadth state aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Breadth Leadership
btc
NO
attendu : alts_leading
Breadth State
N/A
attendu : expanding / recovering
Décision V5
N/A
regime + leadership
V6 Shadow Analysis
Filtre spécifique à la stratégie momentum_rotation_v2 (side : long) : BTC regime v2 ≥ +3, Local 4h aligné et Median return 4h aligné.
BTC Regime v2 Score
+3
OK
seuil : ≥ +3
Local 4h
N/A
attendu : bullish
Median return 4h
-0.19
NO
attendu : > 1.5
Décision V6
N/A
regime + local 4h + median ret
Context
Volume 24h (signal)
5.4M $
volume USDT au moment du signal
01/10 21:02
01/10 21:02
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high_confirmed (+3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high_confirmed (+2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bull_high_confirmed (+1) 01/10 20:00 Score : +6 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
BTC/Market Regime v2
BTC Regime (snapshot) #4605
Voir snapshot →
bull
developing
bull_expansion
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
+2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
+1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
MTF alignment :
0.85
Stability :
1.00
Transition risk :
0.00
Score contribution (this trade)
+3
Market Breadth
Breadth Score
36.8%
Macro
btc_led_risk_on
Local 4h
unknown
Leadership
unknown
Legacy leadership :
btc
Breadth state
insufficient_history
Δ 15m
·—
Δ 1h
·—
Δ 4h
·—
Δ 12h
·—
Δ 24h
·—
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
% Positive (universe)
| 15m | 29.3% |
| 1h | 58.6% |
| 4h | 37.9% |
| 24h | 43.1% |
Outperformance vs BTC
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 32.8% | -0.03% |
| 4h | 34.5% | -0.19% |
| 24h | 17.2% | -0.35% |
Expansion & Tails (4h)
Up ≥1σ
—
Down ≥1σ
—
Expansion
—
Tail ↑
—
Tail ↓
—
Dispersion :
0.089
Universe :
58
· ≥ $2.0M
Regime confidence :
1.00
Snapshot évalué :
01/10 21:01
· env trend_expansion
Quality Score
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
1D
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.8158
Score SMA
0.5564
Rank
#3
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9737
Rank Norm SMA
0.4089
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.9141 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: 19.93% · r3d: 18.81% · ema21_slope: 0.8967% · dist_ema21: 18.111% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9215 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: 18.45% · rs_3d: 17.16% · beta_24h: 1.786 |
| Volume | 20% | 1.0000 | rvol_20: 4.81× · zscore_50: 4.120 · trend: 111.30% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7411 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 29.7 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 7.911% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
1H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 21:00
Score brut
0.8641
Score SMA
0.6277
Rank
#1
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9835
Rank Norm SMA
0.6974
Calculé le
01/10/2026 21:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.8921 | r1h: 7.439% · r4h: 6.033% · r1d: 26.04% · r3d: 30.27% · ema21_slope: 0.8993% · dist_ema21: 9.101% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.9967 | rs_1h: 7.543% · rs_4h: 5.842% · rs_1d: 24.53% · rs_3d: 28.33% · beta_24h: 0.199 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.7825 | rvol_20: 2.12× · zscore_50: 2.185 · trend: 83.51% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.9642 | ADX: 55.7 (trend) · Chop: 27.1 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.6557 | ATR%: 4.033% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
4H
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
Score brut
0.7033
Score SMA
0.6889
Rank
#1
/ 77
Rank Norm SMA 8h
0.9934
Rank Norm SMA
0.7771
Calculé le
01/10/2026 20:00
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7337 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -2.906% · r1d: 19.93% · r3d: 18.81% · ema21_slope: 0.4548% · dist_ema21: 10.982% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.7535 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -3.159% · rs_1d: 18.45% · rs_3d: 17.16% · beta_24h: 2.582 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.6183 | rvol_20: 1.52× · zscore_50: 0.822 · trend: 256.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.7693 | ADX: 32.3 (trend) · Chop: 14.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5574 | ATR%: 4.328% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
📌 Performance
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.554%
(0.0052)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -3.943% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -3.943% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -3.989% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.939% | 0.1R | -11.731% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -13.097% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -13.455% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -17.231% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -17.231% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -17.231% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 54 min
MAE in 1179 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Prediction
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.26
Prediction Score: N/A
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (au signal)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid | — | — | 0.38 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.96 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late | — | — | 0.45 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.93 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
74%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late | — | near 0.4ATR | 0.38 | bull_medium | +0.97% | +0.96 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 15m | ↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late | — | — | 0.23 | range_low | +0.65% | +0.40 | 01/10 20:30 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
Contexte Multi-Timeframe (relation)
ⓘ| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197713
|
↑ up | early_expansion | bullish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.593 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
70%
|
noisy_chop 47% | mid 2b 1.7ATR | — | — | 4.81 | 95% | ↑ +0.40 | value | +3.06 | — | #105836 | 0.38 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.96 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:27
|
|
4h
#197620
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | balanced | 0.738 | volatile_reversal | bull_high_confirmed |
64%
|
noisy_chop 47% | late 1b 2.2ATR | — | — | 1.52 | 96% | ↑ +0.92 | value | +3.06 | inside | #105836 | 0.45 | bull_high | +2.78% | +0.93 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:22
|
|
1h
anchor #198027
|
↑ up | transition | bullish_transition | strong | explosive | 0.810 | expansion_after_compression | bull_high_confirmed |
74%
|
noisy_chop 46% | late 6b 1.6ATR | — | near 0.4ATR | 2.12 | 98% | ↑ +0.60 | above_value | +3.85 | — | #106070 | 0.38 | bull_medium | +0.97% | +0.96 |
01/10 20:00
upd 01/10 21:11
|
|
15m
#197874
|
↑ up | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | fading | 0.327 | compression | bull_high_confirmed |
61%
|
noisy_chop 44% | late 2b 2.9ATR | — | — | 0.49 | 69% | ↔ +0.05 | value | +3.06 | — | #105836 | 0.23 | range_low | +0.65% | +0.40 |
01/10 20:30
upd 01/10 20:48
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
Source : table pivot
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
Move Maturity (au signal)
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | mid | 2b | — | 2.441×ATR | p0 | +1.701×ATR | p79 |
| 4h | ↓ down | late | 1b | — | 2.567×ATR | p23 | +2.22×ATR | p91 |
| 1h | ↓ down | late | 6b | — | 0.847×ATR | p0 | +1.635×ATR | p83 |
| 15m | ↑ up | late | 2b | — | 4.494×ATR | p80 | +2.922×ATR | p93 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Signal
momentum_rotation_v2 - BUY
Indicators:
- stop_price: 0.04931602
- tp_price: 0.05589837
- atr: 0.00208759
- expires_at: 2026-10-02T07:15:04+00:00
Details
- rank: 1
- total: 77
- score: 0.8921
- delta_2h: 0.1751
- extension_atr: 2.13
- trend_phase:
- trend_direction:
- rank_norm_sma_8h: 0.9835
- confidence: 1
Signal Details
Signaux confirmants (2)
| # | Heure | Entry | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21:15 | 0.05453500 | +0.009% |
| 2 | 22:15 | 0.05404900 | -0.882% |
Market Structure
Market Structure Score: 0
Market Structure V2
No Market Structure V2 data for this trade.
Trend Analyzer 1H
No Trend Analyzer data for this trade.
📌 Entry & Exit
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05453 | 0.04932 | 0.0559 | 0.26 | 0.0487 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05453
- Stop Loss: 0.04932
- Take Profit: 0.0559
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04932 - 0.05453 = -0.00521
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05453 - 0.0559 = -0.00137
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00137 / -0.00521 = 0.263
📌 Position Size
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 83.5949 | 83.5949 | 1532.8666 | 1.00 |
Details
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
- Account Size 100
- Risk per trade 8 %
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
- Risk Amount 8
- Distance Stop Loss -0.00521
Taille de position = 8 / -0.00521 = -1535.51
Taille de position USD = -1535.51 x 0.05453 = -83.73
Donc, tu peux acheter -1535.51 avec un stoploss a 0.04932
Avec un position size USD de -83.73$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = -1535.51 x -0.00521 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = -1535.51 x -0.00137 = 2.1
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 2.1$
Résumé
- Taille de position -1535.51
- Taille de position USD -83.73
- Perte potentielle 8
- Gain potentiel 2.1
- Risk-Reward Ratio 0.263
📌 Peformances
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.51 % | 2.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 9.55 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -6.5 $ | -7.78 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -7.7774 % | 81.4 % | 3 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.05453 | 0.04932 | 0.0559 | 0.26 | 0.0487 |
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
- Entry 0.05453
- Stop Loss: 0.04932
- Take Profit: 0.0559
Calcul:
-
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.04932 - 0.05453 = -0.00521
-
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.05453 - 0.0559 = -0.00137
-
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = -0.00137 / -0.00521 = 0.263
📌 ML Extra Data
Extra TP Data
Array
(
)
Extra SL data
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0559
[entry_price] => 0.05453
[stop_loss] => 0.048799
[rr_ratio] => 0.24
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 07:10:00+00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.0559
[entry_price] => 0.05453
[stop_loss] => 0.048278
[rr_ratio] => 0.22
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 07:15:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
MAE / MFE Analysis
Strat: momentum_rotation_v2 (★
6h)
Initial Risk: -9.554%
(0.0052)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -3.943% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -3.943% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 24 |
| 4h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -3.989% | 0.4R | 0.2× | 48 |
| 6h ★ | +0.939% | 0.1R | -11.731% | 1.2R | 0.1× | 72 |
| 8h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -13.097% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -13.455% | 1.4R | 0.1× | 144 |
| 24h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -17.231% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 288 |
| 48h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -17.231% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 576 |
| 72h | +0.939% | 0.1R | -17.231% | 1.8R | 0.1× | 864 |
⏱ MFE in 54 min
MAE in 1179 min
✓ Favorable move came first
computed 2 weeks ago
Commentaires
Aucun commentaire.