Short Trade on PENGU (BosPullback)
With 38902.94 PENGU at 0.00942$ per unit. Take profit: 0.008909 (5.45 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009629 (2.19 %)
Short Trade on PENGU (BosPullback)
With 38902.94 PENGU at 0.00942$ per unit. Take profit: 0.008909 (5.45 %) & Stop Loss: 0.009629 (2.19 %)
Position
Entry 0.009423$
Qty 38902.9372 PENGU
Size 366.5824$ (margin 100$) (leverage 4)
Risk Setup
TP 0.008909 (+5.45%)
TP $ 20$
SL 0.009629 (-2.19%)
SL $ 8.01$
RR 2.5
Filtres V3 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin (−10 → +10, seuil ≥ 3), et stop loss ≥ 0.75%.
Avg Rank 8h: 0.3519
Filtres V4 : rank, confidence, régime combiné BTC + coin, SL ≥ 0.75%, Supply & Demand multi-TF (1H/4H/1D), Move Maturity multi-TF.
| TF | Near Demand | Distance (ATR) |
|---|---|---|
| 1h | clear | 0.92×ATR |
| 4h | near | -0.88×ATR |
| 1d | clear | 3.43×ATR |
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Adverse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | OK |
| 1d | ↑ up | early | OK |
V5 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
V6 ne s'applique pas à la stratégie BosPullback. Scope initial : momentum_pullback_v1, momentum_rotation_score, momentum_rotation_v2.
| Coin Market Regime V2 |
|---|
|
Strategic (1D) : bull_high (-3) 30/09 20:00 Operational (4H) : bull_high (-2) 01/10 16:00 Tactical (1H) : bear_high (+1) 01/10 20:00 Score : -4 / ±6 |
| BTC Correlation | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium |
| Strategic |
bull
0.90 |
expansion
-2 |
| Operational |
bull
0.55 |
expansion
-1 |
| Tactical |
range
0.25 |
range
0 |
| Micro |
range
0.25 |
range
|
Δ 24h négatif avec Δ 1h positif = rebond court dans structure 24h faible.
| 15m | 72.4% |
| 1h | 22.4% |
| 4h | 77.6% |
| 24h | 37.9% |
| Window | % outperf | Median ret |
|---|---|---|
| 15m | 74.1% | +0.04% |
| 4h | 65.5% | +0.61% |
| 24h | 17.2% | -0.48% |
Score composite 0–1 combinant 5 composantes pondérées, calculé sur les bougies 1H
(+ 4H pour la force relative vs BTC).
Momentum (30 %) : retours multi-TF normalisés + pentes EMA 21/50/100.
Force Relative vs BTC (25 %) : surperformance du coin sur 1h/4h/1d/3d + beta 24h.
Volume (20 %) : volume relatif vs SMA20, z-score vs SMA50, tendance EMA5/50.
Qualité de Tendance (15 %) : ADX (force, bon > 25) + Chop Index (trend vs range, bon < 45).
Volatilité (10 %) : ATR% du prix — score optimal entre 0.3 % et 3 %, pénalisé au-delà de 6 %.
Le rank compare le coin à l'univers complet tracké au même instant.
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.7019 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: 0.000% · r1d: -1.73% · r3d: -0.15% · ema21_slope: 1.5765% · dist_ema21: 4.529% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4336 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: 0.000% · rs_1d: -3.20% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: 1.532 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2606 | rvol_20: 0.52× · zscore_50: -0.447 · trend: 14.92% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.8144 | ADX: 37.7 (trend) · Chop: 37.3 (trend) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.0000 | ATR%: 9.465% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.4091 | r1h: 0.032% · r4h: -0.243% · r1d: -2.04% · r3d: 1.17% · ema21_slope: -0.1813% · dist_ema21: -0.874% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4458 | rs_1h: 0.136% · rs_4h: -0.434% · rs_1d: -3.55% · rs_3d: -0.77% · beta_24h: 2.418 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.2947 | rvol_20: 1.18× · zscore_50: -0.214 · trend: -56.61% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5087 | ADX: 22.3 (weak) · Chop: 60.1 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 1.0000 | ATR%: 1.651% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Composante | Poids | Score | Détails |
|---|---|---|---|
| Momentum | 30% | 0.5389 | r1h: 0.000% · r4h: -0.735% · r1d: -1.73% · r3d: -0.15% · ema21_slope: -0.0597% · dist_ema21: -2.440% |
| Force Relative | 25% | 0.4038 | rs_1h: 0.000% · rs_4h: -0.988% · rs_1d: -3.20% · rs_3d: -1.80% · beta_24h: 2.741 |
| Volume | 20% | 0.1251 | rvol_20: 0.12× · zscore_50: -1.124 · trend: -54.55% |
| Qualité Tendance | 15% | 0.5941 | ADX: 28.9 (trend) · Chop: 56.3 (neutral) |
| Volatilité | 10% | 0.5263 | ATR%: 4.421% (optimal 0.3–3 %) |
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -1.634% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -2.069% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.276% | 0.1R | -6.081% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.363% | 3.8R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.363% | 3.8R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.363% | 3.8R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.72 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.94 | 30/09 20:00 |
| 4h | ↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.57 | bull_high | +2.78% | -0.22 | 01/10 16:00 |
| 1h | ↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early | — | — | 0.55 | bull_medium | +0.97% | -0.44 | 01/10 20:00 |
| 15m | ↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.69 | range_low | +0.38% | -0.08 | 01/10 21:15 |
| 5m | — | ||||||||||||||||
| TF | Direction | Phase | Structure | Strength | Momentum | Mom. score | Volatility | Regime | Tradability | PAQ | Move | Demand | Supply | RVOL | Vol %ile | Vol Trend | Vol Zone | POC ATR | LVN | VP ref | BTC Corr | BTC Regime | BTC OutPerf | RS / BTC | Évalué à / Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1d
#197668
|
↑ up | range | range | moderate | grind | 0.681 | volatile_reversal | bull_high |
58%
|
noisy_chop 37% | early 16b 0.4ATR | — | near -0.2ATR | 0.52 | 65% | ↑ +0.89 | below_value | -2.56 | — | #105815 | 0.72 | bull_high | +13.92% | +0.94 |
30/09 20:00
upd 01/10 20:24
|
|
4h
#197528
|
↔ neutral | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.490 | compression | bull_high |
55%
|
noisy_chop 31% | early 8b -0.6ATR | near -0.9ATR | — | 0.12 | 11% | ↓ -0.51 | below_value | -2.56 | — | #105815 | 0.57 | bull_high | +2.78% | -0.22 |
01/10 16:00
upd 01/10 20:18
|
|
1h
anchor #198006
|
↓ down | transition | bearish_transition | moderate | grind | 0.491 | compression | bear_high |
60%
|
noisy_chop 45% | early 6b -0.6ATR | — | — | 1.18 | 47% | ↓ -0.65 | below_value | -2.60 | — | #106049 | 0.55 | bull_medium | +0.97% | -0.44 |
01/10 20:00
upd 01/10 21:10
|
|
15m
#198162
|
↓ down | range | range | moderate | fading | 0.540 | compression | bear_medium |
59%
|
noisy_chop 39% | early 4b -0.4ATR | near -0.1ATR | — | 0.11 | 3% | ↑ +0.29 | below_value | -2.60 | — | #106049 | 0.69 | range_low | +0.38% | -0.08 |
01/10 21:15
upd 01/10 21:32
|
| 5m | Pas de snapshot | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
trade_context_snapshots — lit les colonnes SQL réelles
(donc évolue avec les futures features ajoutées à market_context_snapshots).
| TF | Direction | Maturity | Age (bars) | Age since BOS | Amplitude | Amp. %ile | Extension | Ext. %ile |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | ↑ up | early | 16b | — | 3.113×ATR | p21 | +0.381×ATR | p21 |
| 4h | ↓ down | early | 8b | — | 2.86×ATR | p21 | -0.566×ATR | p28 |
| 1h | ↓ down | early | 6b | — | 1.051×ATR | p6 | -0.562×ATR | p33 |
| 15m | ↓ down | early | 4b | — | 1.906×ATR | p13 | -0.423×ATR | p22 |
Maturity — late : Amp ≥ p80 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p85 · mid : Amp ≥ p50 ou Ext/EMA9 ≥ p60 · Amp. %ile : amplitude du move depuis le dernier pivot (en ATR) vs historique des swings · Ext. %ile : écart prix/EMA9 normalisé ATR14 vs historique
Indicators:
0.009618
142
0.2559
0.6018
0.3925
0.2275
0.5275
0.5342
0.4832
0.5574
0.2854
0.0413
0.5818
0.2157
-0.0913
-0.0737
0
-0.8674
-1.8239
0.35
0.65
-1
10
1
0.5449
0.4994
4.1774
0.6
0.5342
2.2315
-1.8239
0.6143
0.3115
0
-0.238
0.4268
0.4531
0.7725
0.2157
-12.0023
3.3002
1
0
1
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[time] => 2026-09-26 20:00:00
[price] => 0.009678
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 08:00:00
[price] => 0.010239
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-27 09:00:00
[price] => 0.010001
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[label] => HL
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.01095
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Array
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Array
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[price] => 0.010309
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.009659
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[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-09-30 13:00:00
[price] => 0.010646
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
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[price] => 0.009449
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[label] => LL
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.009965
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.00922
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[label] => LL
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Array
(
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[price] => 0.009618
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 01:15:00
[price] => 0.009713
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 02:00:00
[price] => 0.009578
[kind] => low
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 04:00:00
[price] => 0.009954
[kind] => high
[label] =>
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 05:15:00
[price] => 0.009832
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 06:15:00
[price] => 0.009965
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 07:15:00
[price] => 0.0096
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
(
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[kind] => high
[label] => LH
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Array
(
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[kind] => low
[label] => LL
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Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 10:45:00
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[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 14:00:00
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[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 14:30:00
[price] => 0.009448
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 15:00:00
[price] => 0.00922
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:30:00
[price] => 0.009431
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 16:45:00
[price] => 0.009261
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 18:30:00
[price] => 0.009618
[kind] => high
[label] => HH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 19:30:00
[price] => 0.009401
[kind] => low
[label] => HL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 20:00:00
[price] => 0.009575
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-01 21:45:00
[price] => 0.009338
[kind] => low
[label] => LL
)
Array
(
[time] => 2026-10-02 00:15:00
[price] => 0.009529
[kind] => high
[label] => LH
)
0.00922
0.009618
0.009618
0.00922
0.009401
0.008984
0.0091925
0.7625
Signal Details
Market Structure Score: 0
Trend
Current Swing
Structure
Context
Order Book Imbalance
Microstructure
↑ Bid Wall (Support)
↓ Ask Wall (Resistance)
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009423 | 0.009629 | 0.008909 | 2.5 | 0.007239 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009629 - 0.009423 = 0.000206
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009423 - 0.008909 = 0.000514
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000514 / 0.000206 = 2.4951
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 366.5824 | 100 | 38902.9372 | 4.00 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.000206 = 38834.95
Taille de position USD = 38834.95 x 0.009423 = 365.94
Donc, tu peux acheter 38834.95 avec un stoploss a 0.009629
Avec un position size USD de 365.94$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 38834.95 x 0.000206 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 38834.95 x 0.000514 = 19.96
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 19.96$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 5.45 % | 20 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.19 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.01 $ | -2.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.1861 % | 100 % | 1 |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.009423 | 0.009629 | 0.008909 | 2.5 | 0.007239 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.009629 - 0.009423 = 0.000206
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.009423 - 0.008909 = 0.000514
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.000514 / 0.000206 = 2.4951
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
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[take_profit] => 0.008909
[entry_price] => 0.009423
[stop_loss] => 0.0096496
[rr_ratio] => 2.27
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:05:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.2] => Array
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[entry_price] => 0.009423
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[rr_ratio] => 2.08
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[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:05:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.3] => Array
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[take_profit] => 0.008909
[entry_price] => 0.009423
[stop_loss] => 0.0096908
[rr_ratio] => 1.92
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:15:00+00
[result] => loss
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[1.5] => Array
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[take_profit] => 0.008909
[entry_price] => 0.009423
[stop_loss] => 0.009732
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2026-10-02 04:20:00+00
[result] => loss
)
)
| Horizon | MFE % | MFE R | MAE % | MAE R | MFE/MAE | Candles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -1.634% | 0.8R | 0.2× | 12 |
| 2h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -2.069% | 1.0R | 0.1× | 24 |
| 4h ★ | +0.276% | 0.1R | -6.081% | 2.8R | 0.1× | 48 |
| 8h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 96 |
| 12h | +0.276% | 0.1R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 0.0× | 144 |
| 24h | +8.363% | 3.8R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 288 |
| 48h | +8.363% | 3.8R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 576 |
| 72h | +8.363% | 3.8R | -7.153% | 3.3R | 1.2× | 864 |
computed 2 weeks ago
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